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Brad Gray's Tips For Rosehill Gardens (Saturday)

By Brad Gray

Race 1 - 11:00AM SCHWEPPES HANDICAP (1300 METRES)

1. Hidden Achievement held off stablemate 3. Sarapo to win at Gosford three weeks ago and he faces the same challenge on Saturday. The I Am Invincible colt used the barrier to stalk the speed and once he shouldered into the clear, sprinted to put the race away. That was under Adam Hyeronimus, who sticks. That last start performance was on the back of an eye-catching debut at Canterbury, coming from last to rattle home into second. The step out to 1300m looks perfect now. Chris Waller has won this corresponding race the past four years, using it as a stepping stone to Queensland two-year-old features. Last year it was won by Emirate. The biggest advantage Hidden Achievement looks to have over Sarapo is the map. Not sure there is a lot between them on talent but positional speed could prove the difference.

Dangers: 3. Sarapo did a terrific job to get as close a he did on debut. He gave away race experience, had to circle the field and was bumped in the straight. Yet he picked himself up to run the winner to less than a length. There was two lengths back to third. The son of Frankel draws to settle last. Swap the barriers and he’d be on top. 4. Zoutanium led at Sale last start, running good time home. That was out to 1400m. There was three lengths back to third. Comes back slightly in trip but maps to get on speed favours. It looks a tactical race on paper and he gets the 2kg claim of Braith Nock. 6. Zebra Finch has been freshened four weeks since finishing third in the Clarendon. Gets blinkers first time. 5. Swift Legend looks suited out to 1300m but the form through his debut run hasn’t stood up.

How To Play It: Hidden Achievement WIN

Race 2 - 11:35AM TAB HIGHWAY PLATE (1500 METRES)

2. Boys Night Out has been two close finishes away from not being eligible for Class 3 company. The four-year-old has now had three starts for Matt Dunn, making him qualified for Highway Handicap races. A few things have aligned for the gelding and he looks perfectly placed to make it count. He came with a late rush to just miss at Doomben second up on a soft track. That saw him well backed at Eagle Farm at his subsequent start and after hitting the front he was run down late. That was out to the mile. There was two lengths back to third and the winner Akrotiri subsequently won a BM78. Just hoping Boys Night Out can jump cleanly for Aaron Bullock, or he risks being buried in an awkward position.

Dangers: 1. Canadian Ruler carried 60.5kg to win a Highway at Hawkesbury last start. The barrier looks scary on paper but there isn’t a lot of speed engaged so Ash Morgan can offset the draw with a positive ride. Won after leading at Canberra two starts ago. 10. Warrior For Peace is still in his first campaign but showed his talent at Scone two weeks ago, winning from last. Brett Cavanough thought enough of the three-year-old to run him in the Queensland Guineas at just his third start. 3. My Last Hooray is on the back up after peaking on his run at Randwick last Saturday, as he was entitled to given the wide run her endured. Has to run out 1500m but maps better here. 5. Heir Jordan looks big odds but can mix his form. 15. Sebilla could get on speed favours too.

How To Play It: Boys Night Out WIN

Race 3 - 12:10PM MIDWAY HANDICAP (1100 METRES)

8. Harry’s Bar looks well placed first up for trainer Paul Murray. The mare ended last campaign in Listed company. She didn’t measure up there but had perhaps come to the end of her preparation too. First up last time in she was beaten in a photo finish by Wooloowin, with Drift Net in third. Albeit she was only nine weeks between runs. This time back she is 23 weeks between runs. Like the way she has trialled ahead of her return. It was a synthetic trial at Warwick Farm but she began well to lead and quickened away late to beat Golden Mile. That was over 1175m. Her record of one win from seven starts doesn’t do her talent justice. She also ran second to Raikkonen back in December. Maps to get her chance.

Dangers: 14. I Am Brave made a big impression on debut, landing good bets at Scone to win as a $1.75 favourite. Swaps barrier 1 for barrier 12. That’s no easy task to overcome over the Rosehill 1100m. 7. Lady Extreme has only finished outside of the top three in one of her nine starts. No official trial to judge her off.

How To Play It: Harry’s Bar WIN

Race 4 - 12:45PM PRECISE AIR HANDICAP (1500 METRES)

3. Mickey’s Medal has run four minor placings in his past five starts, without winning. The four-year-old mightn’t have the upside of a few of his more lightly-raced rivals in this but the majority of them are coming through maiden or midweek company. Mickey’s Medal is battle hardened at this level and is already a three-time winner over 1500m. He should be able to use the draw to settle forward of midfield and he finds form apprentice Braith Nock. Last start Mickey’s Medal came out of the pack to challenge Oh Diamond Lil. That winner would be clear favourite here yet we’re still shopping double figure odds for Mickey’s Medal. Prior to that he kept chasing at Randwick when third, with Spione since franking that form reference. Each way.

Dangers: 6. Maori Chief is charging through the grades at the moment and has beaten two subsequent winners in his two runs back. His last 200m last start didn’t scream 1500m but like the prospect of him being ridden with cover again. Should get a perfect run in transit. 2. Fear No Evil is still in his first campaign but has won three of his five starts. Showed great determination to fight back to beat smart filly Alabama Fox at Warwick Farm. How flattered was he given the track conditions and race shape though? 9. Kundabung and 8. Hopper were both strong maiden winners last start and should relish 1500m.

How To Play It: Mickey’s Medal EACH WAY

Race 5 - 1:20PM TOYOTA FORKLIFTS HANDICAP (1100 METRES)

4. Codetta might find 1100m a touch sharp given her three runs to date have been over 1200m but there is enough in the early price to take the punt on her. She remains an underrated filly for Michael Freedman despite her good record. The prospect of a soft track is perfect too. She is versatile in terms where she can settle which gives apprentice Jace McMurray a few options pending her getaway. She resumed a winner last time in, albeit in provincial Class 1 company. Was well beaten before spelling by Scintilla but the winner is a smart filly and Flying Thinker was back in third. Just the one trial ahead of her return but like what we saw from her over the 740m.

Dangers: 13. Ellipsis has been met with early support. She’s an improving Bjorn Baker-trained filly. Only won narrowly first up but there was merit to that performance, hitting the front a long way from home. Flying Embers ran her to a narrow margin and she has since won twice herself. Ellipsis tackles this five weeks between runs but has won a trial since. Maps well from the inside. 6. Don’t Forget Jack has had three different homes despite being just six starts into his career. Won easily first up at Hawkesbury. He was too good for those. The runner up has since been beaten at Bathurst as a $9 chance. 8. Island Dec didn’t let down on the heavy track at Canterbury last start. She’s better than that. Respect her SP of $2.90.

How To Play It: Codetta WIN

Race 6 - 1:55PM RANVET HANDICAP (1500 METRES)

3. Furious looked the winner at Kensington last start, dropping back to midweek company but was run down by Pippie Beach in a tight finish. They beat the third horse two lengths. Has won out to the mile so 1500m looks perfect third up.

Dangers: 4. Enter The Dragon has scrambled home by narrow margins at his past two starts but winning has become a habit for this three-year-old. His record reads five wins from seven starts. He chased down a tearaway leader at Hawkesbury before holding off a late charge from Hurstville Zagreb three weeks ago at Gosford. 7. Little Cointreau kept trying at Warwick Farm last start, perhaps struggling through the very heavy track. 13. Pure Alpha comes back slightly in trip but he’s had plenty of chances.

How To Play It: Furious WIN

Race 7 - 2:30PM ASAHI SUPER DRY HANDICAP (1200 METRES)

10. Kerguelen has only raced once in the past 10 months. He was beaten as an odds on favourite at Canterbury back in November. It was only narrowly. He was tipped straight out thereafter. The four-year-old has trialled twice ahead of his return, doing it comfortably without being asked for an effort. To this point the gelding boasts a record of 5:2:3-0. One of those defeats was to Cool Jakey and another Eye Of The Fire. Kerguelen is a proven fresh horse, is still progressive and should get the perfect run in transit from the draw. Kerrin McEvoy jumps aboard for the first time. Four of his five starts have been on heavy tracks. This is the right time of year for the son of Lonhro to build further on his record.

Dangers:9. Unstopabull caught the eye when running fifth in that same Scone race. He was dragged back to last in the run. Hoping for a cleaner getaway on Saturday. Out to 1200m now on a soft track looks ideal. 7. Iron Man looks to fit in somewhere having run on late back to 1100m second up.

How To Play It: Kerguelen WIN

Race 8 - 3:05PM KIA LORD MAYORS CUP (2000 METRES)

5. Glory Daze appreciated getting out to 2000m third up. It looked like a form reversal on paper but his first and second up runs did have merit. His record over 2000m reads 4:3-1-0. Ciaron Maher keeps Ben Osmond aboard despite the Listed race being non claiming. That’s a vote of confidence. It’s easy to see why given how perfectly Osmond rode the horse last Saturday. The six-year-old is a big gelding so needs room. That sees barrier 2 potentially pose some problems but with clear running he’ll be hard to hold out on the quick back up. It was a very testing heavy track last Saturday but Glory Daze has obviously bounced out of that run for the stable to turn him out seven days later. Evenly matched race and that might give him a small edge.

Dangers: 7. Kadavar is likely to still be a run short of producing his best, and he maps to be giving away a big head start from the wide gate, but he charged home in the Scone Cup over the mile first up. He didn’t find winning form until fourth up out to 2400m last time in. Looking back on 11. Don Diego De Vega’s two failures over the spring, we can chalk those down to not being comfortable on good tracks. His two prior Australian runs, on soft and heavy ground, are perhaps a better indication of his talent. 1. Major Beel led the Scone Cup. He weakened late, being outsprinted over the mile. Third up 2000m looks to suit. 13. Shahzad and 9. Private Legacy both come into this dominant last start winners.

How To Play It: Glory Daze WIN

Race 9 - 3:40PM CAPTIVANT @ KIA ORA HANDICAP (1800 METRES)

12. Freight Train hasn’t had much go his way in his past two starts. Given his tendency of laying in, connections have decided to try the four-year-old the Sydney way for the first time. He hasn’t raced on anything other than a good track either. The son of Shamus Award, trained by Price and Kent, has travelled like he has had something to offer in his two most recent runs but has struck traffic. First at Flemington and then most recently at Caulfield behind stablemate Wonderkid. The appeal of Freight Train also lies in the fact that he brings a different form line into this. The Scone 1700m reference looks the obvious one here but it was a blanket finish. Freight Train draws well to park midfield.

Dangers: 7. Kind Words was just as strong to the line and just missed herself. She too is suited creeping out to 1800m. Reluctant to overlook the obvious given 8. Cormac T won that Scone race but the two mares look to get their chance to turn the tables. However, Cormac T again maps to get the right run and settle a long way in front of that pair. 2. Good Prize finds himself in Saturday company after winning four straight.

How To Play It: Freight Train WIN

Race 10 - 4:20PM TAB HANDICAP (1200 METRES)

10. Weeping Woman looks to be flying off her two trials ahead of her return. The Joe Pride-trained mare trucked to the line in the first of those before gapping her rivals most recently. That was with Adam Hyeronimus in the saddle and he stays aboard on Saturday. She is an improving mare, yet already boasts a record of four wins form 10 starts. She ended last campaign a 3.5 length winner at Wyong, running second to Gangster Granny at Canterbury prior to that. The 1200m as a kick off says she is ready to go first up given that she has resumed over 1000m in her three previous campaigns. Has good natural speed but she doesn’t have to lead. The barrier gives Hyeronimus options.

Dangers: 7. Pajanti didn’t get the clearest of passages at Randwick first up, charging home into second behind all-the-way winner Memoria. Like that she has been kept fresh since, five weeks between runs, given the mare’s first up record. 17. So You Pence dodged the heavy track last Saturday where she was set to jump a firm favourite in Highway Handicap company. A lightly-raced mare making up for lost time given she spent two years on the sidelines. Has won her past two starts by a collective margin of 10 lengths. More depth here and draws wide. 6. Monte Kate ran good time when winning a Midway at Gosford last start. The form through that race hasn’t stacked up since but expect her to hold that form now and she beat 9. Left Field fair and square back in November. 15. Totoka and 11. Allapercanto will be rushing home.

How To Play It: Weeping Woman WIN

All the fields, form and replays for Saturday’s Rosehill meeting

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