By Neil Evans
Track improving close to Good 4 and rail out 3m so likely pattern around the speed or just off
|Race 1 3YO MAIDEN HCP (1600m):|
A re-match looms over the mile to get us underway. Warwick Farm 3YO gelding 1. Zounate from the Gary Portelli stable is bursting to break through, with six placings from nine starts. Has been brave and close-up in his last three against better opposition, and first time back on a firmer surface in more than two months.
Dangers: Similarly, improving Randwick filly 3. Mooy was right behind Zounate in the placings at Canterbury two runs back, and comes through very solid metro and provincial form. Hit the line hard at Hawkesbury last start as a well backed favourite. Draws the fence, and will coil up around midfield. Rosehill filly 8. Swahili Mai has had four runs this prep, and chased home a smart colt at Newcastle despite being unwanted in betting.
How to play it: Zounate to win and quinella 1 and 3. Odds and Evens: Odds
|Race 2 MAIDEN PLATE (1350m):|
Warwick Farm 3YO 2. Emthree from the Bryce Heys yard came off the boil third-up at Newcastle after finishing hard resuming behind a smart one at Canberra. Draws a better gate here, and this is relatively weak.
Dangers: Randwick mare 8. Lake Marion surrendered a big lead on the turn third-up behind a handy galloper at Newcastle, and will likely roll across from a wider draw and sit right on the speed again. Expect good improvement at second start from Newcastle 2YO 9. Olympic Gaze over more ground and a soft draw; while Taree 4YO 4. Man And Superman has been in and around the money on heavy tracks over the last two months, but would need to improve further back on firmer footing.
How to play it: Emthree to win. Odds and Evens: Evens
Emthree's fourth at Kembla on June 13
|Race 3 PROV & CTRY MAIDEN HCP (1200m):|
Tricky maiden, with plenty of chances. Really liked the trial of 3YO local filly 11. Rockness Angel who resumes for the Tracey Bartley yard. Showed easy acceleration to lead comfortably before being collared in the last few strides when still well held, and there was a big gap back to third. Was reasonably competitive in better maidens last prep.
Dangers: Consistent local 6YO 1. Montana Thunder has been well in the market, and not far away in all three runs this prep, and will appreciate return to home track. Plenty of eyes on $1.45 million purchase and debutant 3YO Hawkesbury colt 2. Stark who hasn't shown much over a long time at the trials, but draws well, and is the first foal from former champion Atlantic Jewel's Group 1-winning sister Commanding Jewel. Was scratched from Goulburn on Monday. Newcastle filly 6. Rose Kingdom is ready for the step up in distance after three fair runs over the 900m scamper; while keep watch on 3YO 3. Amiens having his first run in more than nine months for a new local stable since transferring from the Waterhouse-Bott yard at Randwick.
How to play it: Rockness Angel each way and trifecta 1,11/1,2,6,11/1,2,3,6,11. Odds and Evens: Odds
|Race 4 2YO MAIDEN HCP (1000m):|
Intriguing and testing battle for the youngsters, with a few first starters who have all shown plenty at the trials. None more so than well-bred home track filly 8. Barossa Rosa (Adelaide x Androssa by Testa Rossa) again from the Bartley stable who has won both lead-up trials, the latest pinged to the front & sailed away to score by nearly five lengths.
Dangers: Randwick filly 6. Yangarra Rose is clear best of the raced brigade finishing nicely to only miss by a neck on debut at Newcastle, and draws to get another lovely trail just off the speed. Warwick Farm gelding 3. Private Eye (Al Maher x Confidential Queen by Shamardal) has had two improving trials. Looked very good in the latest when picking up from off the speed to cruise through and win under a strong hold, although time was significantly slower than Barossa Rosa on the same day.
How to play it: Barossa Rosa to win and box exacta 3,6,8. Odds and Evens: Split.
|Race 5 CLASS 1 HCP (1350m):|
Get set for a three-horse war. Progressive 3YO Randwick filly 1. Al Snip trained by John O'Shea is ready to win third-up from a soft draw over more ground. Loomed to win a BM 64 at Newcastle before caught in the last stride, and should get a nice run just off the speed.
Dangers: Improving Warwick Farm filly 3. Duchess Marizza did a terrific job scoring on debut in heavy ground at Gosford before run down late at Canberra, and then plain in a tougher metro BM 66. Drops back to easier class, and looks well in at the weights after rider's 2kg claim. Talented and lightly raced Gosford mare 4. Patrina disappointed first-up as a well backed favourite, but better off at this longer trip and ridden a little quieter. Include in exotics Rosehill filly 5. You Too who resumes off a long break for the top metro stable, but won on debut at Hawkesbury last spring.
How to play it: Al Snip to win. Odds and Evens: Odds
Al Snip runs second at Newcastle on July 7
|Race 6 CLASS 2 HCP (1000m):|
Open and tough race. Hawkesbury filly 2. Special Date failed to run on resuming in a BM 64 at home, but bolted in a weaker race second-up last prep as a hot favourite, and stronger rider goes on here.
Dangers: Newcastle filly 6. Citrouille improved into her fourth-up run at home and little more ground is a plus.
How to play it: Special Date to win. Odds and Evens: Split.
|Race 7 BM 64 HCP (1100m):|
A stack of chances in this sprint too, headed by smart 3YO filly 7. Super Longlea who has her first run for the Gerald Ryan stable at Rosehill after being transferred from the Mark Newnham yard. Hasn't raced for six months, but unbeaten fresh and has been fitted with two solid trials.
Dangers: Warwick Farm 5YO 1. Wander powered home to win a CL3 first-up at Grafton under a big weight, and generally holds form, with half his four career wins coming second-up. You're never quite sure what's coming with talented Warwick Farm 3YO 9. Coco Cuber, but firmer ground third-up is a plus, and travels best when there's decent speed on up front. Godolphin filly 3. Badia draws to get a soft trail fresh, and boasts the best final 400m in the race, but normally takes a run or two and might find a few of these too slick. Newcastle 3YO 2. Mr Polar drops back from tougher metro grade, and all four career wins from 17 starts have come on firm ground.
How to play it: Super Longlea to win and trifecta 1,7,9/1,3,7,9/1,2,3,7,9. Odds and Evens: Odds a special
|Race 8 BM 64 HCP (1600m):|
Same grade, but up to the mile to finish. Capable home track 4YO gelding 1. Holy Reign from the Kim Waugh yard is well placed back in grade from a low draw after beating all but the extra smart Strawb in a BM 70 at Newcastle.
Dangers: Warwick Farm 3YO gelding 3. Brutality is still on the rise, and draws to park in a lovely stalking position. Beat two handy maiden gallopers at Canterbury who battle each other earlier in the meeting before strong to the line in a CL2 at Kembla. Randwick 3YO 4. Vienna Rain has good early speed, and is the likely leader from the inside draw. Randwick 4YO 2. Live The Moment built up nicely before sweeping home landing a similar race at Gosford, but weighted all but to his best under 60.5kg; while Warwick farm filly 10. Duchess Adele has won her last two in dominant fashion in the country, but much more depth here, and rises in weight.
How to play it: Holy Reign each way and quinella 1 and 3. Odds and Evens: Split.