By Neil Evans
Track Good 4 and rail out 3m so should play predominantly on-pace
|Race 1 3YO MAIDEN HCP (1600m):|
Coffs Harbour gelding 3. Saintly Sunrise has fought on nicely in his last two around this trip when well fancied in the market, and gets a nice drop in weight for what looks an easier assignment.
Dangers: Cessnock-trained gelding 1. Crime Wave finished off okay in the heavy at Gunnedah at only second start, and suited up to the mile. Was scratched from Scone on Monday to be saved for this. Expect Hawkesbury gelding 2. Ocean Villa to improve at second start after failing on the heavy behind a smart one on debut.
How to play it: Saintly Sunrise to win and quinella 1 and 3. Odds & Evens (First 2): Odds.
|Race 2 MAIDEN PLATE (1350m):|
Thin race at set weights. Rosehill 3YO filly 5. Skillet has been in the market across three runs this prep, always doing her best work late from a midfield position. Looks a good thing to break through here.
Dangers: Watch the market on well-bred debutant 2YO Godolphin filly 8. Tisane (Hallowed Crown x Camarena by Danehill) who has spent plenty of time not being knocked around at the trials; while Randwick 2YO gelding 6. Avalaunche is better suited up in trip and back on firmer footing after a plain effort at Gosford.
How to play it: Skillet to win and quinella 5 and 8. Odds & Evens: Split.
|Race 3 2YO MAIDEN HCP (1000m):|
Stack of first starters here in a wide battle, and a few have also accepted for Canterbury (Wed) so market moves will be pivotal. Godolphin gelding 4. Pandemic (Sepoy x Cataclysm by Marauding) has Golden Slipper-winning blood on both sides, and has progressed smartly through the trials, winning the latest on the Pro Ride with a late burst, and there was a huge gap from the placegetters back to the fourth horse.
Dangers: Obviously, plenty of them headed by nicely bred Rosehill filly 9. Heart Of The Oak (Sebring x Private by Encosta de Lago) who was a little tardy to leave the barrier in her only trial, but showed terrific acceleration to zip through and cruise to the line in front. Looks smart, and draws a nice gate. Warwick Farm colt 2. Courageous (El Roca x Bead Of Courage by Captain Rio) also looks forward enough from two trials on rain-affected ground. Include Warwick Farm filly 8. Fulmina (Snitzel x Inchita by Encosta de Lago) who won her latest trial on the synthetic under a decent hold, and stable is flying with their youngsters this season, but has drawn a wide barrier with the blinkers on.
How to play it: Pandemic to win and trifecta 4-9/1-2-4-8-9. Odds & Evens: Split.
|Race 4 PROV & CTRY MAIDEN HCP (1200m):|
Another competitive affair. Hawkesbury 2YO filly 4. Icebath took on much tougher company in the autumn, and looks ready for a strong return off two progressive trials for smart juvenile stable. Blinkers comes off.
Dangers: Wyong 2YO gelding and first starter 8. Street Scream (Street Boss x La Kalima by Tuscany Flyer) has won three of four trials since late summer, and stable renowned for producing them first-up. Draws the fence, and only needs to jump well to be in the finish. Debutant 2YO gelding 5. Icksta (Unencumbered x Bang On by Not A Single Doubt) and stablemate to top selection has been taken along more quietly at the trials, but draws to get a lovely trail off the speed and has the blinkers on; while Hawkesbury 2YO gelding 7. Rich And Shameless went back to win a trial after failing on debut in the heavy, and clearly better suited on top of the ground.
How to play it: Icebath to win and quinella 4 and 8. Odds & Evens: Evens.
Icebath wins a trial at Hawkesbury on July 15
|Race 5 CL2 HCP (1000m):|
Smart 3YO Warwick Farm filly 1. Miss Invincible resumes for strong stable, with an impressive fresh record, and trialled nicely behind high class Sylvia's Mother who won at Flemington on Saturday. Has to carry big weight in this grade, but has a tonne of quality.
Dangers: Kembla 3YO filly 2. Chicadilly progressed quickly to winning a BM 64 in the autumn, and boxed on okay first-up at Newcastle, although this is tougher. Warwick Farm 4YO gelding 4. American Salute hit the line nicely first-up in a BM 64 at Hawkesbury; while 3YO Newcastle filly 5. Miss Powerbelle has plenty of early speed, and just missed resuming at Gosford, but taking on some better ones here.
How to play it: Miss Invincible to win. Odds & Evens: Split.
|Race 6 CL1 HCP (1350m):|
Local 4YO gelding 1. Mr Plow has been freshened, with a trial win, after outclassed a mile in the Group 3 at Doomben, and normally produces off a break.
Dangers: Big watch on talented and resuming 3YO Randwick filly 6. Couru from strong metro stable who her maiden on debut late last year, and has trialled nicely twice on heavy ground. Impressed by the first-up maiden win at Kembla of 3YO Randwick gelding 2. Flash Palace, and draws to park right behind the speed. Randwick 3YO filly 3. Laila De Vega upset the favourite resuming in Soft 7 ground at Hawkesbury, and draws the fence, but not a noted second-up performer.
How to play it: Mr Plow each way and box exacta 1-2-6. Odds & Evens: Split.
|Race 7 BM 64 HCP (1600m):|
Plenty of chances here headed by 5YO local gelding 4. Foxdown who continues to improve this prep, and powered home to win a BM 66 at Dubbo last start. Hard fit, and will be hitting the line.
Dangers: Local 3YO filly 8. Joigny is smart on her day, and a serious threat from the draw. Hit the line hard in weaker grade at Tamworth two runs back before a dominant CL1 win this track. Rosehill 6YO gelding and former Singapore galloper 1. Executive Chairman resumed with a fair effort this grade, and may still be one run short, but draws a nice barrier and will be doing his best work late. Warwick Farm 3YO filly 9. Society defied her big price on debut at Newcastle sweeping home to win, and while this is tougher, she's from the top metro stable and draws the inside. Randwick 4YO gelding 2. El Coyote won consecutive Maiden and CL1 races, but this is tougher and draws wide.
How to play it: Foxdown each way and first four 4-8/1-2-4-8-9. Odds & Evens: Evens.
|Race 8 BM 64 HCP (1100m):|
Even sprint to finish, with plenty resuming. One of those, smart 3YO Warwick Farm filly 12. Musuo will be hard to stop. Has trialled strong, and both career wins so far have been first-up.
Dangers: Newcastle 3YO gelding 3. Starismo looks nicely placed rising in trip third-up, and with a good draw. Finished hard in a CL2 at Newcastle last start, and drops in weight after rider takes 3kg off. Warwick Farm 3YO filly 7. Fearless Girl resumes in an easier race, and has trialled okay; so too rival Warwick Farm mare 9. Ottomae who took on stronger last prep. Port Macquarie mare 1. Shelley Beach Road has won three from five first-up, and over her pet trip with a 3kg claim, can give this a shake; while Newcastle 3YO filly 11. Magnolia Power has been competitive all prep in deeper races, but has drawn right off the track.
How to play it: Mosuo to win. Odds & Evens: Odds.
Mosuo's trial at Warwick Farm on July 8