By Neil Evans
Track likely Soft 6/7 and rail True
|Race 1 CLASS 1 & MAIDEN PLATE (2100m):|
We start with a tactical battle over the staying trip on a track that's had plenty of rain. Still on the rise, three-year-old gelding 3. Just A Jedi is the one to beat after a dominant provincial maiden win three weeks back on a similar rating. Is by UK Group 1 winner Free Eagle, and carries 1.5kg less.
Dangers: Improving mare 4. What A Girl has continued working home okay as the distances have risen, and can peak here fourth-up. Gap to the rest headed by three-year-old filly 6. Karuana who broke through fourth-up in heavy ground at the provincials; while honest four-year-old 1. Seporto is hard fit, and kept working to the line at Goulburn under the same weight. Advantaged in soft ground, but doesn't want it heavy.
How to play it: Just A Jedi to win. Odds and Evens: Split
Just A Jedi wins at Gosford on February 4
|Race 2 METRO & PROV MAIDEN PLATE (1350m):|
Good competitive race. Things didn't go to plan for promising filly 8. Lady Of Luxury third-up on the Kensington track when failing to run on. Had stepped up sharply in trip after making up good ground behind the smart Skedaddle, and nice weight relief dropping back to the provincials.
Dangers: French-sired colt 3. Le Vizir resumes off a lengthy break, and was pushed out to easily win the second of two trials this month. Draws well, and looks a real European-style galloper, and a little hard to fathom why he opened such a big price. Got enough time for improving colt 4. Mr Severino who was only collared late on debut at Newcastle, and draws better here.
How to play it: Lady Of Luxury to win. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 3 2YO MAIDEN PLATE (1300m):|
A few first starters here, although it's the raced brigade who should dominate at set weights. Like home track gelding 7. The Bullring who was well backed on debut at Scone, getting a long way back before hitting the line late. Steps up suitably in distance.
Dangers: Now five runs into his first prep, Xtravagant colt 8. Wilsons Prom is ready to break through, and draws to get an ideal trail off the fence. Big watch on debutant Rip Van Winkle filly 9. Gin Martini who has been fitted with two recent trials, and draws a soft barrier.
How to play it: The Bullring to win and quinella 7 and 8. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 4 3YO MAIDEN HCP (1100m):|
Tricky sprint, with a few chances. Very keen on resuming three-year-old filly 3. Zain's Girl who looked terrific stretching out at both ends in a dominant provincial trial win in good time on a Soft 7 rating. Was right around the money in four runs across her first prep, and bred to very good on rain-affected ground.
Dangers: Improving filly 10. Russbuss is a threat second-up from a good draw after boxing on okay when leading in a handy provincial maiden through Heavy ground. Debutant Godolphin filly 7. Siege, by Street Boss, has trialled well, although her race time was considerably slower than the other three-year-old trials, and she draws off the track.
How to play it: Zain's Girl to win. Odds and Evens: Split
Zain's Girl wins a trial at Hawkesbury on February 15
|Race 5 FILLIES & MARES CLASS 1 HCP (1350m):|
Progressive Dissident filly 7. Rosie Riveter was a smart all-the-way maiden winner on debut when well fancied from an each-way price, easily running the fastest final 600m on the program that day.
Dangers: Talented filly 3. Jeanne D'arc was sent back to the trials after tailing off first-up in heavy ground. Way better than that, and blinkers have been added; while keeping safe stablemate to top selection 5. Bargain who can improve sharply back in grade second-up.
How to play it: Rosie Riveter to win. Odds and Evens: Odds a special
|Race 6 MAIDEN HCP (1200m):|
Godolphin filly 4. Jadida did her best work late on debut at Hawkesbury when unplaced as a heavily backed favourite. Suited over more ground here carrying 1.5kg less, and being bred to get through the going can pay back punters.
Dangers: Consistent filly 3. Impressive Lass is right on the cusp after three runs back, the latest close-up in a metro maiden last start behind Seleque who goes around in the previous race. Up in weight from a tough draw, but this is easier. Sebring filly 9. Hialoa comes out of that same debut race as the top selection when only average to the line, but expect improvement with a string of gear changes including the addition of blinkers.
How to play it: Jadida to win. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 7 BENCHMARK 64 HCP (1100m):|
Typical wide open sprint for this grade, with plenty of chances. Local filly 2. Barossa Rosa has won two from three this prep, the latest stalking the speed at Hawkesbury before taking charge on the point of the turn. Draws to find a luxury on-speed position again, and weight hike crucially off-set with the booking of a 3kg claimer. Clearly at her best on soft ground.
Dangers: Smart filly 14. Parachuter is the immediate threat resuming off two winning trials. Reacts on rain-affected ground, and won on debut at Nowra as a heavily backed favourite. Godolphin filly 10. Bastaki kicked off her second prep with an all-the-way win at Newcastle as a hot favourite, but up sharply in grade and has drawn the outside barrier.
How to play it: Barossa Rosa to win and quinella 2 and 14. Odds and Evens: Evens a special
|Race 8 COLTS, GELDINGS & ENTIRES CLASS 1 HCP (1350m):|
Exciting three-year-old gelding 3. Bojack will go around the shortest priced fancy all day after a dominant debut win at Gosford three weeks back. Up in trip, but should repeat the dose from a similar draw, although wouldn't be diving head-first into too short a quote.
Dangers: Smart three-year-old 2. Tectonicus can run the quinella resuming off two trials. Will get a soft run on the inside, and already a winner on heavy ground.
How to play it: Bojack to win and quinella 2 and 3. Odds and Evens: Split