By Neil Evans
Track Good 4 and rail out 3m so should play predominantly on or near the speed
|Race 1 3YO MAIDEN HCP (1350m):|
Plenty of potential to start, none more so than progressive filly 10. Shuwaamekh from the Waterhouse-Bott stable at Randwick who drops 3kg from a strong finishing second-up effort at Newcastle, and draws to get a charmed run just off the speed.
Dangers: Hawkesbury colt 1. Daksha has his foot on the til at fourth start after finding the line well in his last two behind a couple of handy ones. Sparingly raced Godolphin filly 6. Delicately also looks on the cusp finishing well at Canberra in only third start, although tricky barrier here on a smaller track for one who likes to settle back.
How to play it: Shuwaamekh to win. Odds and Evens (First 2): Split
|Race 2 MAIDEN HCP (1100m):|
Good quality maiden, with several chances. Home track 3YO filly 4. Great News from the Kim Waugh yard resumes off a nice trial from the inside barrier. Only missed by a whisker on debut at Kembla when having little luck last spring off two winning trials, and looks ready fresh again.
Dangers: Warwick Farm filly 6. Ballistic Lover charged home late resuming in a stronger maiden on the Kensington track, and should get enough speed on up front to drive into the finish again; while improving Warwick Farm 3YO 7. Glock was edged out in a tight finish here two runs back, and while find this a bit easier than last start at Warwick Farm.
How to play it: Great News to win and quinella 4 and 6. Odds and Evens: Evens.
Great News runs second in a trial at Gosford on May 5
|Race 3 2YO MAIDEN PLATE (1100m):|
Back to the babies over same trip at set weights, with a few debutants stepping out. Keen on promising colt 1. Anders from the Maher-Eustace stable at Warwick Farm after a tough effort on debut at Kembla when over-racing from a wide gate. Draws the fence here so can settle better right behind the speed and launch early in the straight.
Dangers: Expecting good improvement from 13. Burdekin who had to work hard on debut from a wide draw at Warwick Farm, and stuck on well. Was specked in the market that day, and draws to get a much softer run here. Be surprised if anything else wins, but watch the betting on Randwick colt and first starter 4. Falcon (Not A Single Doubt x Touched In Flight by Fasliyev) who has trialled well; while both Hawkesbury colt 7. Tycoonist and local filly 10. Black Jacamar (Dream Ahead x Festinate by Testa Rossa) on debut have also trialled nicely.
How to play it: Anders to win and quinella 1 and 13. Odds and Evens: Odds.
Anders runs second at Kembla Grange on April 28
|Race 4 MAIDEN PLATE (2100m):|
Now for the stayers, and typically any number of hopes. Very forgiving of Japanese-bred 3YO filly 10. Epiline from the Chris Waller stable who made a tidy start to her career before racing wide and pulling up lame third-up at Canterbury. Has trialled quietly since, drawn well, and bred to perform over this distance being by a former dual Group 1 Japan Cup and St Leger winner.
Dangers: Scone mare 8. Les Amoreux is bursting to win one after 16 starts, having run three seconds in her last four, including last start close-up effort in a CL1 at Tamworth. Draws to get a soft run, but seems more effective ridden off the speed. Randwick 3YO 3. Gunaluva should appreciate the extra ground third-up from the inside draw after doing his best work late at Goulburn. Rosehill 3YO 1. Crown Affair has been up for a while, and boxed on okay after leading at Hawkesbury, but needs to improve over longer trip.
How to play it: Epiline each way. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 5 CLASS 1 HCP (1600m):|
Supremely bred colt 1. Significance destroyed a maiden field over this trip here two runs back before being pushed off the track and not responding in a BM 70 at Warwick Farm. Pulled up with a cough and was scoped, but reportedly back in fine shape, and draws to get a gun run.
Dangers: Warwick Farm mare 7. Benfica Maid hit the line hard two runs back here before boxing on okay after taken to the front in a much stronger BM 72 at Canterbury. Better off ridden quieter, and has an effective closing sprint. Rosehill 3YO 4. Dummy Run likes to roll forward and comes out of a couple of handy form races when not beaten far. Warwick Farm 3YO 3. Stockman was very disappointing at Hawkesbury after a dominant off-speed maiden win at Goulburn, but races like he prefers a wider draw where he can get outside rivals.
How to play it: Significance to win and quinella 1 and 7. Odds and Evens: Odds
|Race 6 CLASS 1 HCP (1200m):|
Capable 3YO 1. Fiery Red will be hard to stop here returning as gelding fresh from a handy draw for the Waterhouse-Bott camp at Randwick. Hasn't raced for nearly eight months, but fitted with two forward trials, and only career win came first-up at Warwick Farm in late August.
Dangers: Wyong filly 7. Sarah Elizabeth should have won first-up at Kembla this trip and grade when luckless trying to get clear. That was only her second start after winning on debut at Hawkesbury last spring, and she's on the rise. Similarly, Gosford 4YO 6. Head Spins is destined for better races after rattling home in a stronger BM 64 at home second-up in only fourth career run.
How to play it: Fiery Red to win; Tapiconic each way and box exacta 1,6,7. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 7 BM 64 HCP (1350m):|
Competitive and very open race to finish. Godolphin-trained 3YO gelding 2. Camp Rifle hasn't started for nearly six weeks since finishing close-up in a CL2 at Kembla, but drop back in trip suits under the big weight, and blinkers crucially go on. Was scratched from Warwick Farm on Wednesday to be saved for this.
Dangers: Consistent Newcastle 4YO 4. Salsa Man has run four straight third placings in handy company, and is on a quicker back-up here, but query from the inside barrier for one who naturally gets well back. Hawkesbury 4YO 6. Reiby's Regent is far more talented than his one win from 13 starts suggests. Hard fit deep into the prep, and charged home this grade at Newcastle in latest run. Just needs some luck to get in from a wide draw. Watch the market on local 6YO 3. Mo The Great who resumes off a lengthy break and quiet trial, but fresh form is solid enough.
How to play it: Camp Rifle to win. Odds and Evens: Evens.