By Neil Evans
Track Good 4 and rail out 3m so fairly even pattern, with a late slight trend away from the fence
|Race 1 MAIDEN HCP (1600m):|
We start with the maidens over the mile, and while supremely UK-bred 3YO colt 1. Significance from the Randwick base of John O'Shea is the one to beat fourth-up dropping down from metro company, and back on a firm surface, beware of taking too short a price.
Dangers: Improving 3YO Wyong gelding 2. Dunlee can progress off a tidy first-up run at Scone when working home late. Expecting rival Wyong 4YO 4. Gunzel to also hit the line second-up off a long break, much fitter with winkers on; while Rosehill 3YO 3. Highbury resumes for a second prep over a longer trip off two heavy track trials, and should be fit enough the run the distance.
How to play it: Quinella 1 and 2. Odds and Evens (First 2): Split.
|Race 2 3YO MAIDEN PLATE (1000m):|
Good quality sprint at set weights, with a few chances. Keen on Rosehill filly 5. Giselle Anne from the Lee Curtis yard resuming off a couple of controlled and nice trials. Drawn the widest gate, but can come across and sit outside or near the speed, and be strong late.
Dangers: Debutant Randwick filly 8. More Prophets (Smart Missile x Set To Skelter by Reset) will be fit and ready after a stack of trials, winning the latest in smart fashion, although was out in the better ground. Randwick gelding 3. Kyo has been swamped late after leading in two runs at Gosford to start his career, but gets a nice 4kg weight drop after rider's claim. Warwick Farm gelding 2. Glock finished well enough resuming in that same race as Kyo, and draws to park right behind the speed.
How to play it: Giselle Anne to win and quinella 5 and 8. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 3 MAIDEN PLATE (1350m):|
Promising 3YO gelding 4. Secretly Awesome from the Gerald Ryan stable at Rosehill was terrific on debut at Newcastle finding the line strong after covering plenty of ground, and sure to get a more economical run here up in trip.
Dangers: Warwick Farm 3YO 3. Savaspur is a big threat returning as a gelding for the Chris Waller stable. Had one trial, and was only beaten narrowly in two runs to start his career last spring in good maiden company. Include in exotics Warwick Farm 3YO 5. Seporto who resumes off two trials, and draws to get a handy trail.
How to play it: Secretly Awesome to win and quinella 3 and 4. Odds and Evens: Split.
Secretly Awesome runs second at Newcastle on March 31
|Race 4 BM 64 HCP (2100m):|
Out in distance now for a moderate and open group of stayers. Randwick 4YO mare 1. Loves To Rock is hard fit deep into her prep, and was strong late winning this grade at Newcastle after getting a lovely trail behind the speed.
Dangers: Improving Rosehill 3YO 5. Unamerican also looks ready for the rise in trip after finishing well and holding off smart Red Hot Chillypins at Newcastle last start. By 2010 Melbourne Cup winner Americain. Hawkesbury mare 6. Also Cool is under-rated finishing hard in that same CL1 at Hawkesbury as Moon Panther, but may be more effective on wet tracks. Pt Macquarie mare 2. Zellymay won two straight at Grafton in weaker company before just losing her spot at a vital time this grade at Armidale, although weighted to her absolute best with 59kg.
How to play it: Loves To Rock to win and trifecta 1,5/1,5,6/1,2,5,6/1,2,5,6. Odds and Evens: Odds
|Race 5 CLASS 2 HCP (1000m):|
Back to the sprint trip, and improving 3YO gelding 3. King's Champ from the Gerald Ryan yard looks well placed fourth-up off a dominant win at Goulburn in slightly weaker company. Gets a nice weight drop after rider's claim, and drawn to get plenty of cover just off the speed.
Dangers: Warwick Farm 3YO 4. Corcra gave nothing else a chance leading all the way as a hot favourite first-up at Nowra, and while this is tougher, drops 4kg and leading non-metro rider has been booked. Randwick 4YO 2. Invincible Lad resumes for leading yard with the blinkers off, and has trialled well enough, but normally take at least a run to his straps. Randwick 3YO 7. Vox Pop has good tactical speed, and won his last two in the country over this distance; while watch the betting on 5YO Warwick Farm gelding 5. Temple Run who returns for his first run in more than a year with the blinkers coming off, and has trialled okay.
How to play it: King's Champ to win and quinella 3 and 4. Odds and Evens: Split
King's Champ wins at Goulburn on March 12
|Race 6 CLASS 4 HCP (1600m):|
We save the best for last with the Provincial Cup over a mile, and there are plenty of chances. Smart 4YO mare 5. First Lady from the Gary Portelli yard at Warwick Farm is right at her top after sailing home from well off the speed for a dominant BM 65 win at Canberra. Not quite as effective on firm ground, but is a specialist miler and gets in well at the weights after form jockey's 2kg claim.
Dangers: Newcastle 5YO 8. Surjin is also well placed from the draw, and coming back from two gallant efforts in strong BM 70 metro company. Finished only 2.5 lens from Zebrowski who then ran second placings in the Group 2 Tulloch and Group 1 ATC Derby. Capable Wyong mare 4. Belle De Vega only needs an even break from a wide barrier to be in the finish. Did her best work late in the Tiara at Muswellbrook before charging late in a BM 64 at Gosford. Consistent Pt Macquarie 4YO 2. Acoustix has just missed in his last couple after stalking the speed, and drops in weight for this tougher test.
How to play it: First Lady each way and trifecta 5,8/2,4,5,8/2,4,5,8. Odds and Evens: Split.