By Neil Evans
Track slowly improving to around Soft 7/Heavy 8 and rail True so likely fairly even pattern or just off the pace before a late trend wider
|Race 1 MAIDEN HCP (1600m):|
We kick off a competitive card on an improving track with the maidens over a mile. Impressed by the debut run of Randwick 3YO 1. Malfy from the Mark Newnham stable hitting the line hard in a handy maiden through similar ground. Step up to this trip for a Dundeel filly looks ideal, and will carry half kilo less against an average bunch.
Dangers: Doubt there are any, but Grafton 4YO 7. Haven Road has been consistent enough in and around home base on wet tracks; while Newcastle 3YO 9. Rainbow Man can improve further fourth-up after working home behind a smart one at Scone.
How to play it: Malfy to win. Odds and Evens: Odds
|Race 2 MAIDEN HCP (1350m):|
Plenty of chances in this one, headed by improving 4YO Scone mare 8. Now Or Never from the Cameron Crockett stable who is searching for the extra trip after doing her best work late in both runs back from a spell. Looks to have more upside than most of these.
Dangers: Taree 4YO 5. Man And Superman stays at the track and trip where he wilted late after tracking the speed. Can adopt a similar tactic here, or even lead, and this looks a shade weaker. Hard to believe capable Warwick Farm 4YO 4. Haunting Spirit is still hunting a breakthrough win ahead of his 21st start, but he likes to roll forward, and has often battled away well in stronger company. Port Macquarie mare 1. Anamagic showed big improvement second-up when ridden in front, and can adopt a similar bid here back in distance.
How to play it: Now Or Never to win and trifecta 5,8/1,4,5,8/1,4,5,8. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 3 3YO MAIDEN PLATE (1350m):|
Progressive Randwick 3YO 7. Sweeping Brook again from the Newnham yard has seemingly found a breakthrough race at his third start, with the blinkers coming off. Fought on strong before just pipped in a better maiden at Kembla, supremely weighed after jockey's full claim, and has the necessary engine to get over and dictate from a wider draw.
Dangers: Warwick Farm 3YO 3. Happy Babe finished nicely on debut at Goulburn, drawn to settle a bit closer, and bred to eat up wet ground. Randwick filly 9. Dizzy Dawn also did her best work late third-up at Gosford, and should be hitting peak fitness.
How to play it: Sweeping Brook to win and quinella 3 and 7. Odds and Evens: Odds a special
|Race 4 3YO & UP MAIDEN PLATE (1100m):|
Intriguing sprint at set weights. Those conditions suit improving Randwick 3YO 2. Garrison from the Snowden yard at Randwick second-up off a tidy draw. Should park just off the speed, and little drop back to 1100m is crucial.
Dangers: Rival Randwick filly 9. Eye See Things showed plenty in her first prep against handy metro opposition, and is headed for better races. Has trialled well, but first-up from a tricky draw is a value query. A gap to the rest, but Wyong filly 8. Enamour gets a soft run behind the speed, with a stronger rider going on, but will need to find a length or two against the other pair.
How to play it: Garrison to win and quinella 2 and 9. Odds and Evens: Split
Garrison runs fifth at Newcastle on June 20
|Race 5 CLASS 1 HCP (1200m):|
Very good race for this class, and sets up well for 4YO Newcastle mare 3. A Fortunate Lass from the Jason Deamer stable, down in weight and drawn to get an ideal trail. Was competitive enough in a stronger metro BM 70 before edged out by a tough second-up specialist at Scone.
Dangers: Improving Randwick filly 4. Belitsa is a threat off a sound BM 64 effort at Gosford, but won't want to get too far back from the low draw. Rival Farm 3YO 2. Jacquine Reward didn't finish off second-up under the big weight at Nowra, but fitter now and carries 3kg less. Newcastle filly 5. My Rose Kingdom defied a betting drift to score a dominant front-running maiden win third-up, but this is a decent hike in quality.
How to play it: A Fortunate Lass to win and trifecta 3,4/2,3,4,5/2,3,4,5. Odds and Evens: Split
A Fortunate Lass runs second at Scone on July 19
|Race 6 BM 64 HCP (1350m):|
Tricky speed map here. Progressive 3YO Randwick filly 2. Al Snip has looked home for the tea money in her last two at the provincials before nailed both times right on the line. Again this is well within her reach, with a 1.5kg claim and trainer adding the blinkers.
Dangers: Capable Newcastle filly 5. Hard Lady comes back to her best trip after not seeing out the mile in the Grafton Guineas; while progressive 2YO Randwick colt 10. Easy Campese broke her maiden in smart fashion second-up at Scone bouncing across to lead from a wide gate, but facing a tougher group here.
How to play it: Al Snip to win and Hard Lady each way. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 7 BM 64 HCP (1100m):|
Back in trip now for a similar grade. Tough Wauchope 3YO 3. Tallis led them a merry dance in front to claim a Highway fourth-up, but of course it was a hot leader-biased Kensington track, and the win was flattering. Building a nice record, and he boasts superior tactical speed.
Dangers: Hoping talented but unreliable 3YO 8. Coco Cuber is ridden quieter from a nice draw. Dropped out after leading here in the same grade third-up, but is more potent when ridden with a trail. Big watch on Hawkes-trained 2YO filly 13. Pink Beau who resumes off a tidy trial, and draws the fence with senior metro hoop aboard.
How to play it: Tallis to win. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 8 BM 70 HCP (1600m):|
Another open one to finish, with a stack of chances. Talented Newcastle 3YO 3. Blazing Sunrise from the Kris Lees yard loomed to win fresh at home under a bigger weight before just edged out in the final couple of strides. Finished midfield in a Group 2 over 2000m through autumn, and like him staying at the mile second-up.
Dangers: Randwick 3YO 5. Vienna Rain is hard fit, and looked smart winning a BM 64 here, and the second horse Brutality then came out and scored convincingly at Warwick Farm on Wednesday. Include honest and tough local mare 9. Ondo Pasa who loves to settle back and finish hard, and relishes rain-affected going.
How to play it: Blazing Sunrise to win. Odds and Evens: Odds