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Neil Evans' Tips For Newcastle (Tuesday)

By Neil Evans

Track Soft 5 and rail out 9m so should play predominantly on or near the speed early before levelling out

Race 1 MAIDEN PLATE (1600m):

Tactical battle in the small field over the mile. Despite climbing back up sharply in weight, Rosehill gelding 1. Hotel Amour looks ready to win third-up with the blinkers on after working home from well back in similar grade this track, and is bred to get much further.

Dangers: Newcastle mare 4. High Flight is hard fit and looks the main threat. Comes out of that same race behind Exoplanet as Hotel Amour when finishing off strongly from midfield; while Coffs Harbour 3YO 3. Saintly Sunrise produced his best run flooding home late as an easing favourite at Grafton last start.

How to play it: Hotel Amour to win and quinella 1 and 4.

Hotel Amour runs third at Newcastle on June 29

Race 2 CL2 HCP (900m):

Competitive sprint field. Kembla filly 2. Chicadilly resumes for strong stable. Didn't miss by much on debut last prep before winning two straight at home, including a dominant performance at BM 64 level, and races well in all ground.

Dangers: Central Coast 3YO 3. Rhythmic Pulse has been freshened up for this shorter trip after a very progressive autumn winning two straight at Port Macquarie and Scone before narrowly beaten in consecutive BM 64s. Loves the sting out of the ground. Newcastle 3YO gelding 1. Starismo was very good from the back at huge odds resuming at Gosford behind the smart Natalia, and won second-up in his first prep; while stablemate gelding 5. Go Joyce Go can improve again dropping significantly in weight after a brave first run in nearly 10 months behind a smart one at Cessnock.

How to play it: Chicadilly to win and trifecta 2-3/1-2-3-5.

Race 3 MAIDEN PLATE (1300m):

Godolphin 2YO colt 9. Shielded gets the winkers on and can break through at his fifth start against the older horses. Chased hard this track as a heavily backed favourite last start behind stablemate Chanteresse who hasn't missed a place in all six runs this prep.

Dangers: Warwick Farm 3YO 3. Proud Tradition was okay in his first prep, and returns off two solid trials for a stable that's had a terrific run with its younger horses. Warwick Farm filly 7. Fabulosa is also first-up off two trials.

How to play it: Shielded to win.

Race 4 2YO MAIDEN HCP (900m):

Predominantly first-starters on show here over the short course. Keen on resuming Randwick filly 9. Obscene (Not A Single Doubt x Scenes by Scenic). Sailed through the mud to win her latest trial with something in hand for top metro yard.

Dangers: Warwick Farm debutant filly 8. Super Longlea (More Than Ready x Longlea by Secret Savings) has won both trials in soft and heavy ground for strong juvenile stable. Stablemate colt to Obscene, 1. Leo ( Am Invincible x Swooning by Raven's Pass) has trialled quietly, so watch the market; while Newcastle filly 4. Redlight Dancer has improved across three runs in her first prep, and will take up a forward position. Randwick filly 6. Private Thoughts has also looked forward enough in two trials.

How to play it: Obscene to win.

Race 5 CL1 & MAIDEN PLATE (2355m):

Looks the right race up in trip and down in weight for 3YO Randwick colt 7. De Valera who has hit the line strongly in his last few, and ready to break through.'

Dangers: Rival Randwick 3YO 8. Elcano also looks well placed off his last couple of efforts, and should be able to control the race from a good on-speed barrier, with the blinkers coming off. Newcastle mare 11. Dreamfyre comes out of that same race as Elcano behind Mushroom Rock when specked in the market and charging home late. Again carries a postage stamp weight after rider's 3kg claim.

How to play it: De Valera to win and quinella 7 and 8.

De Valera runs second at Kembla on June 27

Race 6 BM 64 HCP (1600m):

Godolphin 3YO filly 4. Waka resumed with a solid effort on the Heavy 9 at Hawkesbury, but improves on firmer footing over more ground, and is unbeaten second-up.

Dangers: Rosehill 4YO mare 6. Frascati Miss is up in weight and back in trip, but has really attacked the line against stronger in her last two, and draws to get plenty of cover back in the field. Stablemate 3YO gelding 1. Flying Pierro (also accepted for Warwick Farm on Wed) has finished hard last two in stronger metro grade, but climbs to 60kg; while another from the Chris Waller stable 3YO gelding 5. Litzen will also appreciate a firmer track after closing okay in a Class 2 at Hawkesbury. Newcastle gelding 3. Kulnura improved dramatically to lead all the way third-up this grade at Muswellbrook, although more depth here.

How to play it: Waka each way and quinella 4 and 6.

Race 7 BM 64 HCP (1200m):

Most open battle of the day to finish. Keen on consistent and tough Port Macquarie mare 5. Je Suis Tycoon who finished last prep in full flight storming home in the Tiara at Muswellbrook before winning a Class 2 this track, and again rattling home in a metro Highway. Fresh record is sound, and rider takes 3kg off.

Dangers: Resuming Wyong 3YO gelding 4. Holy Reign progressed nicely winning consecutive races in the summer, and normally comes to hand quickly. Randwick 3YO gelding 2. Lucand Lad has plenty of ability, and chased home the extra smart Sir Elton first-up at Wyong, but drawn wide and second-up record isn't flash. Warwick Farm 5YO 1. Accelerato hasn't been far away in three runs this prep in deeper races. Weighted to his best, but trainer and rider going great guns; while Newcastle filly 10. Bubbles Ball is smart on her day, and should have won last start at Tamworth when well backed.

How to play it: Je Suis Tycoon each way and trifecta 4-5/1-2-4-5-10.

All the fields, form and replays for Tuesday's Newcastle meeting

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