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Neil Evans' Tips For Hawkesbury (Tuesday)

By Neil Evans

Track improving to around Good 4/Soft 5 and rail True so even pattern early before a late trend wider

Race 1 MAIDEN PLATE (1800m):

The middle distance maidens get first use of an improving track, and progressive 4YO mare 6. Lanu Moana from the Chris Waller stable can break through. Finished close-up working home in the heavy at Warwick Farm before doing her best work late as a hot favourite at Gosford after over-racing in the middle part. Only missed a place in five starts and back on the bigger track should do the trick.

Dangers: Liked the way improving Randwick filly 8. Soul Purpose hit the line after forced to switch course late in that same Gosford maiden. Had previously attacked the line hard from well back, and will be hard to gold out getting back on the bigger track. Clear threat! Rosehill 3YO 3. Crown Affair has had four runs back from a spell showing steady improvement. Kept finding the line after a cosy run at Gosford, and the drier the better. The best form of 4YO Randwick mare 5. Dame Margot would see her right in the finish, but she's hard to predict, although firming surface is a plus, and she draws to get a soft run on the inside.

How to play it: Lanu Moana to win and quinella 6 and 8. Odds and Evens: Evens

Race 2 MAIDEN HCP (1300m):

Back in distance now, and there's not much between a few of these. Rosehill 3YO 3. Srini from the Gerald Ryan yard looks well placed second-up staying at the trip after working home late behind a good one at Goulburn.

Dangers: Mudgee mare 9. Polished Penny charged home to just miss resuming at Orange. This is a bit tougher, but draws the inside and down in weight. Watch the betting on debutant 3YO gelding 1. Eyeknow (So You Think x Kvarena by Arena) who is bred to get much further, but looked good winning a trial on the track.

How to play it: Srini to win. Odds and Evens: Odds

Srini runs fourth at Goulburn on April 16

Race 3 MAIDEN HCP (1500m):

Improving 3YO filly 2. Perfect Impression from the Anthony Cummings stable at Randwick is bursting to break through, and getting back on the big track fourth-up suits. Has hit the line impressively all three runs this prep against stronger metro and provincial opposition.

Dangers: Lightly raced Warwick Farm 3YO 3. Savaspur is the logical threat second-up also getting on to a bigger course. Chased home a smart one first-up at Wyong, and at same time in first prep last spring, ran smart Earth Song to a long neck at Canterbury.

How to play it: Perfect Impression to win and quinella 2 and 3. Odds and Evens: Split

Perfect Impression runs second at Canterbury on April 22

Race 4 MAIDENS PLATE (1100m):

Still with the maidens over the shorter course, and boom gelded 3YO trial performer 5. Ralph's Folly (Snitzel x Vital Miss by Encosta de Lago) from the Wyong base of Kim Waugh looks to have found an ideal debut race. Bolted in a good quality maiden trial at home just before Xmas before again impressing in a trial win on the Beaumont track. His race to lose!

Dangers: Another first starter, 3YO gelding 4. Noble Albert (Albrecht x Timecutter by Ready's Image) has also looked sharp in three trials, although breeding suggests may be better with more cut out of the ground; while debutant 3YO filly 9. Pia Sofia (I Am Invincible x Miss Venice by Danehill Dancer) got through the line nicely in the second of two recent trials.

How to play it: Ralph's Folly to win and quinella 4 and 5. Odds and Evens: Split

Race 5 CLASS 2 HCP (1100m):

Expecting 3YO filly 3. Crimlet from the Snowden stable at Randwick to fire first-up off two trials, the latest sitting wide all the way on a modest tempo but still worked to the line under a decent hold. Won back-to-back races up to BM 64 level early in only previous prep, and just needs to get in from the outside draw.

Dangers: Warwick Farm 4YO 2. Shadow Bridge has had a frustrated time since consecutive wins as a 3YO in the spring of 2018. Showed good improvement this track in a deeper CL2 at second run back from a long spell, and firmer ground also a plus. Warwick Farm 3YO colt 4. Texas Forever boxed on okay after being challenged in front on the turn first-up at Gosford. Drops 2kg for this and winkers come off. Include Warwick Farm 5YO 5. Temple Run who didn't do much at Wyong resuming off a year-long break, but best form is easily second-up.

How to play it: Crimlet to win and trifecta 2,3/2,3,4,5/2,3,4,5. Odds and Evens: Split

Race 6 CLSSS 2 HCP (1800m):

Much more open affair here, with several chances. Progressive 4YO gelding 4. Moon Panther from the Bjorn Baker stable at Warwick Farm can take another step after launching home under a big weight to win a BM 58 third-up at Orange. This is tougher, but he carries 4.5kg less, and draws to find a handy trail.

Dangers: Rosehill 4YO gelding 2. Fast Train returns to the track and trip where he last one storming home in a CL1 more than eights back. Has had three spaced runs this prep at BM 64 grade, finding the line okay and can peak here down a little in weight. Similarly, Rosehill 4YO 3. Elaborate is also knocking on the door after four runs this prep, not beaten far in his last couple, and draws to park right behind the speed. Randwick filly 5. Apicius returned in dominant fashion leading all the way in a BM 66 at Goulburn, and looks handily placed carrying 1kg less. Include improving Kembla filly 7. Readathon who made up plenty of late ground fourth-up in a CL1 at home; and Goulburn 4YO 8. War Deck who hit the line late behind Apicius.

How to play it: Moon Panther each way and first four 2,3,4/2,3,4,5,7,8/2,3,4,5,7,8/2,3,4,5,7,8. Odds and Evens: Split

Race 7 BM 64 HCP (1600m):

Another even battle, with a stack of hopes headed by 4YO gelding 8. Estroverto from the Kylie Gavenlock yard at Gosford who can make it three wins from his last four after taking 18 starts to break his maiden. Was terrific over the mile at Scone working hard from a wide draw, and then holding off all challengers, and draws to get a more economical run here.

Dangers: Improving 3YO Randwick filly 6. Shuhood takes the next step after a tough maiden win at Canterbury beating Perfect Impression who goes around as a big fancy earlier. Talented 4YO Newcastle staying mare 3. Alam Mo Na resumes off a quiet trial, and normally comes to hand early in the prep. Won twice late last year including a 5.25 lengths demolition in a CL1 at the Sunshine Coast. Warwick Farm filly 10. Segrill put two wins together in smart fashion at the provincials before pulling up lame after dropping out at Canterbury, and can bounce back. Wyong mare 11. Belle De Vega can mix her form, but draws to be tucked away midfield and will appreciate the bigger track; while progressive Rosehill mare 12. High Academy steps up from a strong front-running maiden win at Kembla, but has a tough task in deeper race drawn off the track.

How to play it: Estroverto each way. Odds and Evens: Evens

Race 8 CLASS 1 HCP (1400m):

Even and tough one to finish, but keen on improving 3YO gelding 3. Stockman from the Joe Pride yard at Warwick Farm who finished brilliantly to win first-up at Goulburn. Was scratched from Wyong last Thursday when the track was heavily downgraded, and stable re-loads here in an ideal race.

Dangers: Tough 4YO Newcastle mare 7. Dreaming Of Gold finally cracked her maiden at home after a string of close second placings. Hard fit, and must be in the finish from a lovely trailing draw. Promising 3YO Warwick Farm gelding 1. Blueant is a logical threat after a dominant country maiden win as a hot favourite at third start, and draws the inside barrier. Watch the market on Randwick filly 4. Money Magic who resumes off two trials, and won on debut at Kembla last spring.

How to play it: Stockman to win and box trifecta 1,3,7. Odds and Evens: Odds

All the fields, form and replays for Tuesday's Hawkesbury meeting

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