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Neil Evans' Tips For Hawkesbury (Thursday)

By Neil Evans

Track around Soft 5/6 and rail true so pattern likely to creep away from the fence

Race 1 2YO MAIDEN PLATE (1000m):

Tough one to start at set weights for the babies, but plenty of potential quality. Warwick Farm colt 4. Exceed The Stars led to the furlong in the Group 3 Canonbury before weakening behind early Golden Slipper fancy McLaren, but fitter now and back to 1000m suits.

Dangers: Randwick colt 2. Aussie returns from a strong close-up effort in the Group 3 Blue Diamond Prelude, and was solid in the market previously behind the smart Dawn Passage at Randwick. From top 2YO yard. Rosehill filly 11. Classic Gown (Fastnet Rock x Nobody But You by Testa Rossa) looked sharp winning a recent trial, and trainer/rider combination proven with youngsters. Nicely bred local filly 8. Beachbreak (Sebring x Oakleigh Girl by Snitzel) looks well above average and tuned up with a convincing trial win from the front in soft ground. Leading rider sticks from trials. Randwick colt 3. Dresden Green was pushed out to win a recent trial, and from stable renowned for having them fit on debut; while Godolphin filly 9. Bollywood gave a big sight at good odds second-up before over-run late at Kensington.

How to play it: Exceed The Stars to win and first four 2-4-11/2-3-4-8-9-11.

Race 2 CL1 HCP (1100m):

Looks ideal for 3YO Warwick Farm filly 4. Lashes dropping right back from the Inglis Sprint where she was outclassed second up behind Fiesta. Had previously resumed to upset Kylease in heavy ground who then bolted in last start. Looks near a good thing!

Dangers: Doubt there are any, although keep Godolphin's 1. Ligulate safe, only win from nine starts was first-up and he returns as a gelding. Include promising Wyong 3YO 9. Oakfield Geronimo who rewarded punters flashing home to win on debut at Pt Macquarie.

How to play it: Lashes to win.

Lashes wins at Warwick Farm on January 28

Race 3 CL1 & MAIDEN PLATE (2000m):

Warwick Farm mare 4. Uber Lux has only won once from 11, but that was on rain affected ground, and continues building towards another win. Chased home valiantly from the back similar grade at Kembla last start, and peaks now staying at the 2000m.

Dangers: Randwick 3YO filly 6. Mrs Madrid jumped from 1400m to this trip at third start and was strong through the line in that dominant Kembla win. Well in at the weights and looks obvious threat. Warwick Farm 4YO 1. My King's Counsel has disappointed in his last three, each time an easing but clear favourite. Again draws to sit right behind the speed and should be around the finish.

How to play it: Uber Lux to win and quinella 4 and 6

Race 4 MAIDEN PLATE (1300m):

Time for Randwick 3YO 1. Canyonero, by Pierro, to finally break through! Found the maiden company a little tough in heavy ground resuming last start, but second-up on an improved surface over longer trip looks spot-on, especially at the set weights conditions.

Dangers: Randwick-trained 6. Galina is a capable filly who powered home from well back in the stronger Magic Millions Maiden on the Gold Coast. That was her first run in six weeks, and again comes off a freshen-up for top stable so watch for her late. Beautifully bred Warwick Farm filly 11. Tuesday Special - by Snitzel out of Group 1 winning mare Tuesday Joy - has taken a while to get to the races, but two trials have been promising enough and debuts in blinkers. Another Randwick filly 4. Bacinblac was friendless in betting on debut at Goulburn before flying home from a mile back. Will appreciate the long straight here, and is bred to get through soft ground. Big watch on well bred local filly 7. Lily Astolat (Camelot x Whippy Van by Street Cry) whose had three trials, winning the latest at home; and Randwick filly 9. Premier Rose who returns from a long absence with two nice trials under her belt.

How to play it: Canyonero to win and quinella 1 and 6.

Race 5 MAIDEN HCP (1500m):

Grey gelding 2. Mr Dependable did a stack of work on debut at Kensington from a wide gate over 1400m before coursing to the front, and understandably knocked up by the furlong. That came off two winning trials for leading Randwick stable, and drawing a kinder gate here second-up, he's the one to beat in a race of moderate depth!

Dangers: Out of that same race, like the third-up run of 3YO Warwick Farm filly 5. Oxidization who found the line and is bred to appreciate any further ground. Another Randwick 3YO 1. Seel The Deal flew home late resuming at Goulburn to just miss, and showed enough in his first prep to suggest this will suit. Blinkers go on for the first time.

How to play it: Mr Dependable to win.

Mr Dependable's debut at Randwick on February 6

Race 6 CL2 HCP (1600m):

Even and tricky race, but like Randwick 4YO 2. Deladies Boy who as always did nothing resuming in a stronger BM 70 on shifting Soft 7 ground; but nearly always peaks second-up around this trip.

Dangers: Another Randwick 4YO 1. Decroux was sent back to the trials after a disappointing return at Newcastle, and will improve significantly this trip, although has to lump a big weight. Randwick 3YO 4. Home Made hit the line nicely resuming at Kembla, and down in weight for step up to the mile. Did race in Group 1 company as a 2YO last winter.

How to play it: Box trifecta 1-2-4-6.

Race 7 BM 64 HCP (1800m):

Warwick Farm 4YO mare 4. Pamela will appreciate the step up to 1800m fourth-up. Charged home to easily win a BM 58 at Goulburn two runs back, and then lost on protest when brave under pressure late at Kembla. Building a nice record in only her second prep, and draws to get a cosy run behind the speed.

Dangers: Randwick 4YO 1. Chocolatier gets the blinkers for the first time and should keep improving up in trip third run this prep. Battled on okay this grade at Gosford, and better suited on bigger track.

How to play it: Pamela to win.

Race 8 BM 64 HCP (1400m):

Open affair. Godolphin 3YO 3. Leatherhead was only fair resuming as a well backed favourite in a CL1 at Kembla, but will improve despite the wide gate and big weight, and only win so far was second-up. Had strong middle distance form last prep.

Dangers: Warwick Farm 4YO 5. Stryke Rock charged home to win a CL1 at Newcastle two runs back before again finishing off okay this grade at Kembla. Parks midfield on the inside with cover and will be strong late. Rosehill 4YO 7. Time Of Glory is suited getting out to longer journey after doing his best work late in a BM 70 at Newcastle over shorter trip. Randwick mare 10. Casino Angel is only just out of CL1 grade, but continues to improve and gets in light after rider's claim.

How to play it: Box first four 3-5/3-4-5-7-10.

All the fields, form and replays for Thursday's meeting at Hawkesbury

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