By Neil Evans
Track Good 4 and rail out 9m from 1300m to 400m, then true the remainder, so likely on near the speed pattern
|Race 1 CL1 HCP (1000m):|
Excited to see smart and well bred 3YO filly 6. Sulking back at the races more than four months since a dominant debut win at Toowoomba. By prolific Snitzel out of a strong US dam line, and was never let go chasing the leader in a recent trial.
Dangers: After a dominant debut win at Newcastle as a hot favourite, 2. Fituese had an interrupted run in a useful Class 1 at Kembla, and didn't finish off, but was scratched from Rosehill on Wed and can hit back. Randwick 4YO mare 1. Glamour Cat found a couple too slick returning in a handy BM 64 this track, but looks better suited second-up with senior rider going on. Warwick Farm 3YO filly 3. Stralex debuted a year ago in smart 2YO metro company before returning off a five month spell to win a 900m scamper at Wellington as a hot favourite. Hasn't raced since, but trialled twice, comfortably winning the latest at Kembla when showing good speed at both ends, and looks a contender.
How to play it: Sulking to win. Odds and Evens (First 2): Split.
Sulking runs second in a Rosehill trial on November 14
|Race 2 CL1 & MAIDEN PLATE (2100m):|
Moderate affair for the improving stayers at set weights. Warwick Farm 3YO gelding 3. Dhiaga has made nice improvement this prep storming home to win at Bathurst second-up before finishing well in similar company at Canberra, and gets in well at the weights after rider's claim.
Dangers: Rival 4YO Warwick Farm mare 4. Dance Away is yet to fire this prep, plain through the line in consecutive BM 64s at Kembla before disappointing as favourite in the race won by Dhiaga at Bathurst. Has trialled quietly since, and can improve; while 3YO Warwick Farm gelding 7. Amore Moderno is also a likely improver at third start with the winkers going on.
How to play it: Dhiaga to win. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 3 PROV & CTRY MAIDEN PLATE (1300m):|
Only a small field but extraordinary bloodlines on show, with most sired by former Group 1 winners. Doubt there'll be a better bred filly anywhere in the country than Wyong-based 8. Reaching, by Japanese super stallion Deep Impact out of multiple Group 1 winning mare Alinghi, who should have gone close to winning on debut at Newcastle finishing hard after a checkered passaged for much of the run. Was scratched from a later race, and looks a near good thing.
Dangers: Looks a suitable race for improving 4YO Wyong gelding 2. Shamamour who was very well backed at a price second start, hitting the line hard after being ridden quieter. Draws even better here to trail up and pounce early in the straight. Liked the effort of 3YO local filly 6. Charmmebaby who got home late in a handy maiden at only her second start. By an Irish-bred Group 1 winner, and will appreciate the extra ground.
How to play it: Reaching to win and quinella 2 and 8. Odds and Evens: Evens.
|Race 4 MAIDEN HCP (1300m):|
Competitive battle for some promising maidens. Well bred 3YO Randwick gelding 4. Somnus hasn't started since doing his best work late on debut at Canterbury in late autumn, but returns as a gelding off two forward trials over 1045m, and stable is adept at placing horses early in the prep.
Dangers: Wyong 3YO gelding 5. Atherton looks much better placed here second-up after doing little resuming off a lengthy break on the Kensington track. Big watch on the 4YO Godolphin gelding and first starter 1. Parades (Epaulette x High Step by Lonhro) who has trialled strongly on the track, and debuts in blinkers. Improving 4YO Randwick gelding 2. Flying Mojo resumed from a 10-month breaking hitting the line nicely at Kembla, and while this looks a shade stronger, drops 2.5kg in weight.
How to play it: Somnus to win. Odds and Evens: Split.
|Race 5 CL2 HCP (1300m):|
Small field, but intriguing affair. Promising 3YO Warwick Farm filly 4. Bring The Ransom resumed with a nice effort at Wyong before crossing from a wide gate and giving nothing else a chance in a BM 66 at Goulburn. Drawn out again, but small field plays into her hands, and is the one to beat.
Dangers: Godolphin 4YO gelding 1. Isilmo looked impressive finishing hard to just miss resuming in a BM 70 at Newcastle before anchored under the big weight at Kembla when drifted further back than expected. Beat a handy BM 64 field at only previous run on this track. Wyong 6YO gelding 2. Calabasas was fairly plain in first two runs back before showing sharp improvement down in weight and class at Muswellbrook. That run may have switched him on, and he draws to get plenty of cover with senior rider hopping aboard; while 5YO Randwick mare 7. Rose Of Savannah improved to win her maiden at Scone two runs back, but disappointing last start here when given a nice trail, and this looks as testing as she wants.
How to play it: Bring The Ransom to win and box exacta 1,2,4. Odds and Evens: Split.
|Race 6 MAIDEN PLATE (1600m):|
Thin race. Local 4YO stallion 3. War Cabinet has had two even runs back from a spell, and trainer has removed the blinkers, and being by Camelot, extra ground here is a big plus.
Dangers: Warwick Farm 3YO gelding 4. Seporto can make an impact here coming back to the mile after chasing home two smart ones in a Gosford maiden.
How to play it: War Cabinet to win. Odds and Evens: Split.
|Race 7 BM 64 HCP (1500m):|
Typical even affair at this grade. Newcastle 4YO gelding 2. Magic Charlee has still got the best in front of him. Powered late to win a Cl1 at home two starts back before dismissing a big betting drift finishing off just behind the place-getters in a stronger race on the Kensington track. Weighted to his best, but senior metro rider goes on.
Dangers: Warwick Farm 4YO gelding 1. Test Of War is very honest around this grade leading all the way here two runs back before holding his ground into second. Drawn perfectly to take up his customary on-speed position. Improving 4YO Warwick Farm filly 9. Maibeasy hasn't been far away since bolting in her maiden at Orange three runs back, although not convinced the inside draw ill suit her pattern late in the day.
How to play it: Magic Charlee to win. Odds and Evens: Split.
Magic Charlee runs fifth at Randwick on November 5
|Race 8 MAIDEN PLATE (1100m):|
Far less competitive now with the race cut up by scratchings. Trained on the track, 3YO gelding 4. Budhwar has had three runs in his first prep, fighting on strong from the front last start behind a promising youngster, and draws to go to the front again.
Dangers: Local 4YO gelding 1. Black Star Bowie who didn't miss a place in his first prep, and 4YO Wyong gelding 2. Hidden Hills, both resume and are best of the rest.
How to play it: Budhwar to win. Odds and Evens: Split.