By Neil Evans
Track around heavy 9/10 and rail back to true post to 1300m so likely just off the speed early before trending wider as the meeting goes on
|Race 1 3YO MAIDEN PLATE (1100m):|
We start on another rain-hit surface with a small maiden field. Randwick filly 5. Orpheum resumes off a nice trial, and showed plenty on rain-affected going in her first prep.
Dangers: Rival Randwick filly 9. We Had Too Many is a threat at her second start, drawn the inside.
How to play it: Orpheum to win and in order first four 5-9-8-1. Odds and Evens: Odds
|Race 2 4YO & UP METRO & PROV MAIDEN HCP (1100m):|
A few chances in this one, and there should be good speed on. Lightly raced Randwick 5YO 1. Shadow Colour from the Mark Newnham stable will handle the conditions, and looks well placed resuming off two quiet trials, with a crucial 3kg claim.
Dangers: Tough Wyong mare 5. Minifinn has beaten all but the winner in her last two at this track, but inside draw may not help her likely pattern; while watch the market on debutant Warwick Farm mare 6. Sibley (Choisir x Manon by O'Reilly) who looked sharp enough winning the second of two recent trials.
How to play it: Shadow Colour to win. Odds and Evens: Odds
|Race 3 MAIDEN PLATE (1600m):|
Liked the way Newcastle 3YO 12. Olympic Gaze from the Paul Perry yard finished off at Wyong in only his second start. Will need to find cover from the wide draw, but extra trip is ideal, and Group 1-winning sire was a beauty on rain-affected ground.
Dangers: Improving mare 5. Calbuco has hit the line hard in her last two at home in the heavy, and the mile also looks right fifth run in. Include local mare 10. Queen Lear who charged home late at Forbes on Cup day, although a query in these conditions; while watch the betting on returning Warwick Farm mare 11. Sebring Lass who has trialled well for form stable, and draws to get cover back in the field.
How to play it: Olympic Gaze to win and quinella 5 and 12. Odds and Evens: Split
Olympic Gaze runs fourth at Wyong on July 21
|Race 4 BM 64 HCP (2100m):|
Out to the longer journey for the more experienced gallopers, and there's plenty with solid form headed by improving Warwick Farm 5YO 1. Dambulla from the Maher-Eustace stable who stuck on well in a similar race four weeks back considering he jumped sharply in trip second-up, and much fitter now.
Dangers: Randwick 5YO 6. Prince Camelot beat gets plenty of weight relief after rider's 3kg claim, but has an awkward draw to overcome. Hawkesbury 6YO 3. Hendo's Magic (also accepted for Warwick Farm) has rolled forward and boxed well in his last couple at home, and should find this a shade easier; while Newcastle mare 7. Wild Sheila steps back up in grade, but has hit the line well in her last two at country level, and prefers wet ground.
How to play it: Dambulla to win and box trifecta 1,3,6,7. Odds and Evens: Odds
|Race 5 BM 68 HCP (1200m):|
Warwick Farm mare 1. Oksal from the Bjorn Baker yard comes to hand quickly, and is a threat first-up off two trials, although all four career wins have come on firm ground.
Dangers: Far North Coast mare 5. Chazelles resumed with a good closing effort in a Highway but was only plain second-up at this track. Drops in weight with senior metro jockey going on.
How to play it: Oksal to win and quinella 1 and 5. Odds and Evens: Odds
|Race 6 CLASS 1 HCP (1200m):|
Hawkesbury 4YO 2. Budhwar from the Brooke Somers stables can strike here second-up in suitable ground on what should be a leisurely tempo with so many coming out.
Dangers: Wyong colt 5. Riccardo beat a smart maiden field at Newcastle two runs back before disappointing in a CL1 at Kembla, and is query in these conditions.
How to play it: Budhwar to win. Odds and Evens: Odds
|Race 7 BM 64 HCP (1100m):|
Open battle to finish. Keen on Newcastle 5YO 6. Patagonian from the Perry stable as long as he steps away okay and doesn't concede too big a start. Has charged home in his last couple to miss by a whisker at this track, and the wetter the better.
Dangers: Warwick Farm mare 9. Moccasin Miss doesn't win often, but has a better than 50 per cent place record from 41 starts. Maintained a strong fresh record surging home first-up at Wyong, and while this is tougher and her second-up credentials are nowhere near as good, she does relish the wet. Talented Warwick Farm 4YO 5. Coco Cuber may have finally turned the corner after a dominant heavy track win at Wyong despite drifting in betting, and stable is content to back her up quickly.
How to play it: Patagonian to win. Odds and Evens: Split
Patagonian runs second at Gosford on July 25