By Neil Evans
Track improving to around Soft 6 and rail True so fairly even pattern with slight late trend wider
|Race 1 MAIDEN HCP (1900m):|
Very tricky race to start, with tempo pivotal, and you can make a case for a few. Local 4YO gelding 5. Dundee from the Kylie Gavenlock stable has improved steadily as the distances have risen, and should be at his peak fifth-up having first run on home track with a handy 1.5kg claim.
Dangers: Randwick 3YO filly 10. Todwick has had four fairly plain runs back, but is screaming out for more ground. By a former Cox Plate winner, although doesn't want it too wet. Warwick Farm 3YO 1. Prince Six is fourth-up in his first prep, but first start as a gelding. By a Melbourne Cup winner, and this is more to his liking, but also doesn't want it much worse than Soft 6. Scone mare 6. Les Amoureux is still a maiden after 18 starts, but placed six times, and metro rider goes on; while Warwick Farm 3YO 2. Past Tense can improve third-up out in trip.
How to play it: Dundee to win and trifecta 1,5,10/1,5,6,10/1,2,5,6,10. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 2 MAIDEN PLATE (1000m):|
Back to the short course for the maidens, and this looks break-through time for smart 3YO 1. Killin from the Kris Lees yard at Newcastle back as a gelding off a lengthy freshen-up and solid controlled trial. Only finished further back than second once in six starts, and has superior wet track form, with blinkers coming off.
Dangers: Warwick Farm 3YO 2. Light And Dark is a genuine threat off a good fighting effort at Newcastle when only run down late at his second start. Settles right on the speed, and suited on the tighter circuit. Watch the market on debutant Godolphin filly 7. Plaka (Exceed And Excel x Status Quo by Lonhro) who has trialled okay, and bred to handle rain-affected ground.
How to play it: Killin to win. Odds and Evens: Split
Killin runs second in a trial at Newcastle on June 10
|Race 3 2YO MAIDEN PLATE (1100m):|
Now the babies get their shot at set weights, and with most on debut, the first furlong will be critical. Randwick colt 16. Canton Kid from the Mark Newnham stable still needs to secure a run, but comes off a nice debut at Kembla when finishing right on the place-getters heels in heavy ground. Was well tried that day, and debuted off the back of two impressive trials.
Dangers: Hard not to see Randwick colt 2. Camerlengo being right in the finish after a brave front-running debut at Canterbury in heavy ground, and he's the obvious threat carrying 1kg less. Include Warwick Farm gelded first starter 6. Oscar Zulu (Epaulette x Ininthree by Generous) who won his most recent trial, and bred to handle soft or heavy ground.
How to play it: Canton Kid each way and quinella 2 and 16. Odds and Evens: Evens
|Race 4 3YO MAIDEN HCP (1600m):|
Keen on progressive filly 4. Jazirat having first run for the Maher-Eustace yard at Warwick Farm since transferring from Godolphin. Hit the line hard fourth-up at Wyong over this trip, and right at her peak now, with leading metro rider booked.
Dangers: Randwick gelding 1. Star Of Success struggled in the heavy at Canterbury, but that was his first run in five weeks, and expect him to improve sharply fitter and over more ground. Early scratching of stablemate is a useful lead as well. Kembla filly 5. Misty Brook also appreciated getting to the mile third-up when sticking on for a long way after leading, although up in weight and drawn wider; while Warwick Farm filly 11. Miss Keira has been up for a while, but hard fit, and did her best work late at Newcastle.
How to play it: Jazirat to win. Odds and Evens: Split
Jazirat runs second at Wyong on June 4
|Race 5 CLASS 1 HCP (1000m):|
Back to the sprint trip for a race of great potential. Warwick Farm 3YO gelding 3. Coco Cuber has superior ability on his day, but isn't the most reliable. Raced too fiercely and failed to run on resuming in stronger metro grade, and trainer has shuffled the gear around to find his best. Only start here late last year, blitzed a handy maiden field as a hot favourite, and always looked a smart one in the making.
Dangers: Big watch on Warwick Farm 3YO 2. Innisbrook who also resumes off a smart trial win. Only missed by a long head first-up this track last time, and bred to relish rain-affected ground, with blinkers coming off. Progressive filly 8. Absolute Foxy improved sharply to beat a handy maiden field second-up at Wyong; while Hawkesbury filly 7. Vulpine found CL2 company too slick after an all-the-way maiden win in heavy ground at Kembla, and draws the inside.
How to play it: Coco Cuber to win and quinella 2 and 3. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 6 BM 64 HCP (2100m):|
Tough and open staying battle with plenty of hopes. Progressive 3YO Rosehill filly 8. Dinado from the Freedman stable can make it three straight going further up in distance. Has relished the heavy conditions winning his last two in dominant fashion, and while won't get the near bottomless track this time, she has plenty of her sire Toronado who was unbeaten in soft ground.
Dangers: Rosehill 3YO 1. Crown Affair will be hard to hold out again from a nice draw after a tough all-the-way win in the heavy at Warwick Farm. Rises sharply in weight, but this is a drop in quality. Improving home track 4YO 7. Arabolini capped some consistent form with an all-the-way win at Wyong over a similar trip, and carries 2kg less; while improving Rosehill mare 10. Misty Summer bolted in a Class 1 over this trip here two runs back.
How to play it: Dinado each way. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 7 CLASS 2 HCP (1200m):|
Competitive sprint. Loved the way Warwick 4YO gelding 2. Exceltic from the Gary Portelli stable savaged the line from well back first-up here for nearly a year in similar grade. Draws to get plenty of cover, and this time last year was finishing close-up in much stronger metro company.
Dangers: Expect a big run fresh from local mare 6. Patrina who comes to hand quickly and won a recent heavy track trial.
How to play it: Exceltic to win and quinella 2 and 6. Odds and Evens: Evens
|Race 8 BM 64 HCP (1600m):|
Open stoush over the mile to finish. Warwick Farm filly 8. Ladylovestogamble from the Clare Cunningham yard is on the rise, and can strike second-up back in grade & up to an ideal distance. Worked home okay late resuming in a stronger metro race, and won at second career start in the spring.
Dangers: Under-rated Randwick 5YO 5. Ladies' Gem found his best deep into the prep strolling home in a similar race at Wyong, and has a smart record on the Central Coast tracks. Godolphin filly 11. Delicately finished nicely in that same race behind Ladies' Gem, and draws to get a cosy run with cover.
How to play it: Ladylovestogamble to win. Odds and Evens: Split