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Neil Evans's Selections For Kembla Grange (Thursday)

By Neil Evans

Track is a Soft 6/7 and rail out 3m from 1100m to winning post, so likely just off the speed early before again trending wider.

Race 1, 1:05pm KAPTURE DUST BENCHMARK 64 HANDICAP (2000m)

Some handy staying types get us underway on a track that's improved significantly from Saturday's Heavy 10 rating. Improving 3YO filly 6. Space Is Deep ($3.40 favourite on TAB) from the Chris Waller stable is hard fit and primed for this distance after charging home to win her maiden at Newcastle as a hot favourite, before again strong late behind a smart one. Will drift back from an outside draw, but carrying the same weight should love the run home.

Dangers: Progressive Wyong mare 3. Trescha ($5) is the clear threat after letting down impressively for a dominant win in heavy ground this grade at Hawkesbury. Up in weight, but draws to get an ideal trail, and the trip looks suitable. Include improving Randwick filly 5. Cicero Field ($3.50) who bolted in her maiden third-up at Gosford as a hot favourite, and draws the inside. Consistent local 5YO 1. Happy Seventy ($5.50) was brave trying to lead all the way in that race won by Trescha. Was a winner at big odds two runs back, and big weight here has been off-set with a 3kg claimer booked, but would need to produce his absolute best to turn the tables.

How to play it: Space Is Deep to win and quinella 3 & 6
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 2, 1:40pm POPLAR PETFOOD & PRODUCE MAIDEN HANDICAP (1300m)

Hard to go past resuming 2YO filly 8. Global Queen ($1.65 fav) from the Snowden yard who has been freshened via a trial after a tidy debut closing off in heavy ground at Canterbury Park. Draws to be tucked away just behind the speed in a race with far less depth, and was preferred here to Canterbury on Wednesday.

Dangers: Improving Randwick filly 5. Honey Go Lightly ($2.80) hasn't been far away in a couple of handy maidens at the provincials and backs up quickly from the inside draw.

How to play it: Global Queen to win
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 3, 2:20pm TC AIR & ELECTRIC MAIDEN HANDICAP (1400m)

Still with the maidens over slightly further. Not much between the top two over this trip, but with an edge in experience and race fitness, like local gelding 1. Doctor Mancini ($2.80) from the Gwenda Markwell yard on a five-day back-up. Has hit the line well here in his last four, although not right at home on a Heavy 10 last start. Two runs back, though, was terrific surging home after blowing the start, and is primed to break through.

Dangers: At the weights and on the score of improvement, well-bred 3YO 2. Sweeping Brook ($2.50 fav) is a big threat at only his second start. Bounced to the front on debut here a fortnight back in that same race as the top selection and fought on strong to only go down by a head. Big fan of the Hinchinbrook breed on this sort of rating. Rosehill 2YO 7. Tectonicus ($3.60) was also in the same busy finish here when only fair to the line as an easing favourite, but can also improve; while consistent home track filly 9. Ma Bella Rosie ($7) is clearly best of the rest fourth-up.

How to play it: Doctor Mancini to win; quinella 1 and 2 and first four 1,2/1,2,7/1,2,7,9/1,2,7,9
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 4, 2:55pm SUPERIOR HIRE CARS 2YO MAIDEN PLATE (1000m)

Set-weights sprint over the short course for the babies. Promising colt 7. On The Lead ($1.75 fav) from the Freedman camp is the one to beat resuming with gear changes, and off two trials, bolting in the most recent on heavy ground. Took on Group 2 company and subsequent Golden Slipper winner in autumn at only his second start, and leading rider sticks from the trials.

Dangers: Debutant Waterhouse-Bott filly 8. All That Sass (Hinchinbrook x Koonoomoo by Dubleo, $7.50) has trialled nicely, drawn the fence, and bred to handle rain-affected ground; while nicely bred stablemate first starter 11. My Sister Carole (Lonhro x Sister Madly by Redoute's Choice, $9.50) also comes off a nice trial win, and is over the odds from a soft draw.

How to play it: On The Lead to win
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 5, 3:35pm WISEMAN INSURANCE CLASS 1 HANDICAP (1000m)

Very keen on smart filly 6. Harmonium ($2/80 fav) from the Freedman camp who resumes off two trials, with the winkers coming off. Was a dominant provincial debut winner in early autumn before found the sharp step into Group company too tough, but looks a class above back to this grade.

Dangers: Warwick Farm 3YO filly 4. Flash Point ($4.60) scored on debut in a weaker Hawkesbury maiden but draws to get nice cover behind the speed. Godolphin colt 1. Destination ($3.40) resumes off a handy trial and twice took on Listed company in early autumn.

How to play it: Harmonium to win
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 6, 4:10pm MARKEY SADDLERY CONDITIONAL BENCHMARK 70 HANDICAP (1300m)

Open race with plenty of chances. Hawkesbury 4YO 4. Reiby's Regent ($4 fav) from the Attard stable is still under-rated and continues building a nice provincial record. Led all the way in dominant fashion in a BM 64 at Wyong three runs back, and the third horse that day missed by a head in the BM 82 Wingham Cup next start. Has been right on the winner's heels in his last two at Newcastle, and will likely be ridden off the speed again and strong late. Scratched from Canterbury on Wednesday to be saved for this.

Dangers: Local 5YO 3. Golly I'm Lucky ($4.40) has returned off a lengthy break in terrific fashion winning two straight charging home in similar grade, despite being slow to begin. Up sharply in weight and drawn wide but extra ground will only help. Warwick Farm mare 7. Joy And Mirth ($4.40) won here two starts back before a poor effort under a big weight in stronger metro company, and can bounce back; while watch the betting on resuming 3YO 1. Baracus ($11) who won his only previous start this track, and has been given two quiet trials.

How to play it: Reiby's Regent each way and trifecta 3,4,7/1,3,4,7/1,3,4,7
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 7, 4:45pm PAGES HIRE BENCHMARK 64 HANDICAP (1500m)

Open and competitive middle-distance battle to finish. Like 3YO Warwick Farm filly 8. Saigon ($4.80 fav) from the Waller yard stepping up from a fast-finishing first-up maiden win at Newcastle when easy in betting, and again slow to leave the gates. Will also appreciate the long run home, and only needs to jump with them to be a leading contender.

Dangers: Lightly raced 4YO Randwick stayer 2. Frenzied ($5.50) is a first-up winner, and has been fitted for this with two measured and quiet trials. Will be running on. Tough Goulburn 5YO 12. My Blue Jeans ($5) has been in and around the money in similar grade all prep, and draws to be tucked away just off the speed.

How to play it: Saigon to win
Odds and Evens: Evens a special

BEST BETS:
R2 8. GLOBAL QUEEN
R4 7. ON THE LEAD

BEST VALUE:
R6 4. REIBY'S REGENT

View the final fields with full form & race replays for Kembla Grange here

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