By Neil Evans
Track likely Good 4, although may slip back to Soft 5 with a few showers about, and rail True
|Race 1 CLASS 1 & MAIDEN PLATE (2000m):|
We start over the longer journey, and imported five-year-old mare 5. Lamu can strike dropping a long way back in grade. Had worked home okay in a deeper metro race before settling well back in the Group 3 Epona at cricket score odds. Looks well weighted carrying only 3kg more in this field, and will enjoy the long run run home.
Dangers: Improving 2. Bob got home late resuming at Kembla, and has found a race with less depth over a much more suitable and longer trip. Any rain would help. Another one appreciating a drop in class is 3. Real Peace who was beaten out of sight in two metro runs, but also gets out to a more favourable distance, and only win so far came at this track back in spring.
How to play it: Lamu to win. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 2 MAIDEN PLATE (1100m):|
Very keen on Written Tycoon filly 10. Six Again who has been patiently prepared for her debut. Looked terrific in two recent dominant trials wins, and jumps from an ideal gate.
Dangers: Godolphin-trained 3. Beyliks is a month between runs after finding one better as a hot favourite first-up here. Same weight and draw, but would need to find a length to trouble the top selection. Debutant Zoustar colt 2. Auzstar has also impressed at the trials, and draws to get a soft run; while a big gap to the rest headed by resuming mare 7. Eye See Things who has had two quiet trials.
How to play it: Six Again to win. Odds and Evens: Split
Six Again wins a trial at Warwick Farm on March 23
|Race 3 2YO MAIDEN PLATE (1000m):|
Most are on debut here, but Capitalist colt 4. Gleneagles is the one to beat from the inside draw resuming for his first run in the David Payne stable. Trialled strongly behind Saif who then comfortably won a Group 3 at Rosehill on Saturday, and swept home for an impressive debut win at Ballarat two months back.
Dangers: Vancouver colt 7. Overpass debuts off two progressive trials, winning the latest, and leading jockey sticks for the real thing.
How to play it: Gleneagles to win. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 4 MAIDEN HCP (1400m):|
Tricky speed map here with the two likely fancies drawn a long way apart. Well bred two-year-old colt 7. Maurice's Medad is a son of Japanese powerhouse and four-time Group 1 winner Maurice. He tackles the older horses here fourth-up after two latest runs in very handy juvenile company. Was only claimed late after leading three weeks back, and the second horse from that race produced a bottler flying home from a mile back in Saturday's opening Group 3 at Rosehill. Maurice's Meded missed out on a run in that race which is significant.
Dangers: Progressive filly 8. Toostar did her best work late in heavy ground on the Kensington track when unwanted in betting, but a firmer surface and inside barrier brings her right into this.
How to play it: Maurice's Medad to win and quinella 7 and 8. Odds and Evens: Split
|Race 5 BENCHMARK 64 HCP (1300m):|
Open affair with plenty of chances. Home track four-year-old 3. Budhwar has more than enough ability in this grade, and will find this easier than a solid effort behind a smart one in a Provincial C'ship qualifier. Gets in well at the weights after a 3kg claim, and only needs to slot in from the outside draw.
Dangers: Keep safe 7. Sophomore resuming off two steady trials; and 6. Noble Privilege who can improve sharply second-up with the blinkers going on.
How to play it: Budhwar to win. Odds and Evens: Odds
|Race 6 CLASS 1 HCP (1500m):|
Potentially strong race for this grade. Improving three-year-old 1. Yardstick is ready to win third-up from the inside draw. Has been close-up in two handy provincial maidens this prep, and the form around is solid. Was good enough to be thrown in the Group 1 deep-end last spring.
Dangers: Got plenty of time for Japanese-owned filly 2. Fifteen Aria who resumes off two trials for only her third start. Beat a good metro field on debut in late December. Improving mare 6. Palazzi Signorili broke a run of second placings with a dominant maiden win here. Will roll forward again and sit on the speed, and if there's any cheap sectionals to grab, he'll be hard to run down again; while 3. Taumalolo put it all together third-up at Gosford, but under the same weight here is not well treated against some of these.
How to play it: Yardstick to win. Odds and Evens: Split
Yardstick runs second at Hawkesbury on March 16
|Race 7 CLASS 1 HCP (1100m):|
Smart provincial filly 7. Glowing Red resumes off two progressive trials, and comes to hand quickly. Draws to get a nice trail in behind and be very strong late.
Dangers: Watch the betting on 3. Resilient Star who resumes off two tidy trials; while 1. Gravina is also over the mark first-up off two quiet trials. Include both 2. Fresh second-up; and 5. More Joie fourth-up; in exotics.
How to play it: Glowing Red to win. Odds and Evens: Odds a special