By Ray Hickson
Tips and race by race preview by Ray Hickson for Wednesday’s Warwick Farm meeting. Selections based on a good track.
|Race 1 – 1:20PM TAB LONG MAY WE PLAY PLATE (1400 METRES)|
2. Hot Spring Gold is really threatening to win a race if she can get things to suit. Badly held up last week at Kensington and was only getting warm at the finish, she ran the fastest last 600m of 34.55 and last 200m of 11.72 (Punter's Intelligence). With a clear shot at them, if she can be in touch on the turn, she has a good chance.
Dangers: 4. Rapids is a well bred colt on debut, he’s been scratched a few times lately, and 1400m would appear to suit first-up looking at his latest trials. His half-brother Groundswell was Group 1 placed this time last year. Watch betting for a push. 6. Pretty Good beat Hot Spring Gold home first-up then finished behind her at Kensington last time when running on. Beaten about the same margin at both starts to date, with a 1400m run under her belt now she could improve. 5. Only Mine may get a soft lead here up in trip after a fair effort second-up at Wyong. She’s worth including in the chances.
How to play it: Hot Spring Gold WIN ($3.50 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: EVENS.
Hot Spring Gold runs third at Kensington on September 30
|Race 2 – 1.55PM IRON JACK HANDICAP (2400 METRES)|
2. Our Bambino still looks untapped and he overcame some waywardness to be strong at the finish of 2000m at Kembla last time. He put behind him a couple of below par runs and he’s ready for another crack at 2400m. Will need some luck to find a spot but go well.
Dangers: 5. Wristband has won one from 22 so that’s a worry and was beaten out of sight on a wet track at Geelong last time but finds a race where he can be competitive and gets Kerrin McEvoy to ride. Chance to turn things around. 1. Total Recall is on the way up and beat two rivals when given control in front on a heavy track at Hawkesbury a few weeks back, his first try at 2100m. Not a lot harder here and a dry track suits. 3. Yuralla Boy had some support at odds and was a bit too strong at 2300m at Newcastle a couple of weeks back. Right down in the weights, races handy and could be in the finish.
How to play it: Our Bambino WIN ($3.90 TAB Fixed Odds); Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
Our Bambino wins at Kembla Grange on September 26
|Race 3 – 2:35PM IMPENDING @ DARLEY HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
7. Ballistic Lover showed promise in her two-year-old year and resumed with a dominant showing at Wyong, sprinting sharply when the gap came. Obviously harder here but this race is stacked with up and comers like her. Expect her to be competitive.
Dangers: 6. Rocketing By won impressively first-up at Newcastle then thrown in the deep end in a race dominated on the pace at Rosehill behind Wild Ruler. Nicely drawn there and would appreciate some speed up front. Keep safe. 5. Deniki engaged in a two horse war for much of the race here three weeks ago and got the bob in on the line. May encounter more pressure here but she gets comfortable she can give a big sight. 3. Malkovich was run down first-up as favourite then up to Wyong he ran them off their feet winning over this trip. Speedy customer and has to be respected again.
How to play it: Ballistic Lover E/W ($5.50 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
Ballistic Lover wins at Wyong on September 22
|Race 4 – 3:10PM VINERY HANDICAP (1000 METRES)|
4. Pandemic is a very good fresh horse and he seems to be trialling up in very good style for another sharp first-up performance. Won at Randwick fresh last prep then close up in a G3 before striking a wet track at Rosehill. Closed off well in two trials and hard to hold out.
Dangers: 2. Villami did beat a few of her rivals in the Fireball at Rosehill in March when resuming. Form after that was mixed in low level stakes races. Won a trial leading in though the placegetters have been beaten since. Will give a strong showing here fresh. 3. California Zimbol beat Dawn Passage back in March then failed in the Arrowfield. She’s trialled quite well, has the inside gate and an on pace pattern. Definite chance. 1. Tactical Advantage gives away weight but meets Villami 1kg better for beating her in April. Not disgraced behind Classique Legend in The Shorts and this is obviously a decent class drop. Could surprise.
How to play it: Pandemic WIN ($2.70 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: EVENS.
Pandemic runs third in a trial at Hawkesbury on September 29
|Race 5 – 3:45PM SKY RACING ACTIVE HANDICAP (1600 METRES)|
8. Night Witches is well placed to break through after two runs back from a spell where she’s found it a touch short but attacked the line. Was back 100m when a close third to Joviality and Invinciano which is good form and a mile is perfect. Hard to beat.
Dangers: 9. Jack The Lad is an up and comer and he will be suited by the mile after grinding out a win at 1400m three weeks ago. Soft trial since and while taking on more experienced horses best to keep him on the radar. 1. Royal Marine made it three wins on end with a controlled on pace win at this track on September 16. Up 3kg but will roll forward and this will be a good test for him. 4. Rock Amore is another on pacer who gave a sight when run down by Kirwan’s Lane two weeks ago. Ran fifth behind Royal Marine prior to that. Racing well and has to be included.
How to play it: Night Witches WIN ($2.60 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
Night Witches runs third at Warwick Farm on September 16
|Race 6 – 4:20PM BOWERMANS COMMERCIAL FURNITURE HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
6. Rathvilly Miss has gone up a notch this preparation and she tried hard behind Invinciano at Kensington last week after doing some early work. Obviously that horse has won again since and she sets up well to be in the finish if she can hold that form.
Dangers: 1. Game Of Thorns should have finished a lot closer than 13th in the G3 Tibbie at Newcastle first-up, completely forget that run. Gate one might be an issue for her but this is her first start outside stakes grade since February when she won at Newcastle. Go well. 5. Money Magic is a handy mare resuming and did win fresh last time in at 1400m. Only failure was at G2 level before a spell, two quiet trials and she bears close watching. 3. Willowheart can press forward to offset the wide gate, which isn’t a huge issue at this starting point anyway, and will appreciate a class drop on her last start at Randwick behind Academy. Each-way.
How to play it: Rathvilly Miss E/W ($7.00 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
Rathvilly Miss runs second at Kensington on September 30
|Race 7 – 4:55PM VALE MICK HOOD HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
7. Petronius is probably a bit short in the market but he does look the one after two very good runs back. Beaten less than a length behind Academy and Icebath last start, drawn to be prominent and has a big chance to break through.
Dangers: 9. Green Mountain was a strong winner at Newcastle before up to this class and he boxed on okay for a midfield finish behind Royal Marine. Down 3kg and well worth another chance. 11. The Bald Eagle might be a good roughie here first-up. He didn’t really fire, aside from a second-up placing, last prep but looked up and about late in his trial. Has a soft run here and wouldn’t surprise if he’s in the finish. 6. Fortress Command tackled Group company and wasn’t quite up to it in four starts last time in so this class suit better. Trialled okay behind Gytrash and he could run a cheeky race fresh.
How to play it: Petronius WIN ($1.90 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: ODDS.
Petronius runs fourth at Randwick on September 19
|Race 8 – 5:30PM HYLAND RACE COLOURS HANDICAP (1200 METRES)|
6. Garrison has his first start for Kim Waugh since his easy Gosford win six weeks ago. Looked very good in a subsequent trial, drawn ideally to be just behind the speed and it would be a surprise if he doesn’t run well.
Dangers: 11. Saas Fee went off the boil late last prep but she’s generally an honest mare and she warmed up quite well in her latest trial ahead of a return. Tricky gate but tends to get back and should be running on. 3. Intrepidacious also tapered off at the end of last prep but her form early on was sound. Won two trials from on the pace in September, the only query is 1200m first-up given all three wins are at 1100m. Must include. 14. My Demetra didn’t win one last time in but was pretty honest all the way through with several placings and close up finishes. Yet to finish worse than second when resuming so is one to consider each-way.
How to play it: Garrison E/W ($5.50 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
Garrison runs second in a Newcastle trial on September 23