By Ray Hickson
Tips and race by race preview by Ray Hickson for Wednesday’s meeting at Warwick Farm. Selections based on a heavy track.
|Race 1 – 2:00PM CABRA-VALE DIGGERS PLATE (1400 METRES)|
10. Snippetspeed showed a bit of wet track ability in his two starts in June including a nice fourth to Pohutakawa on a heavy on debut. Both trials this time in have been on good ground and he has a solid 1100m trial under his belt which will stand him in good stead for a testing 1400m first-up. Expect him to run well.
Dangers: 2. Canyonero has promised a lot more than he’s delivered so far but there are wins in him. Left it a bit late on a soft 7 first-up at Wyong before again running on at Randwick in a good form race. Goes to 1400m and a wet track shouldn’t bother him. Has another chance. 6. Kashiwa comes through the same race as Canyonero from Randwick and finished alongside him. Arguably should have beaten him home too. Not sure the penny has dropped with him yet but deserves some respect. 3. Estroverto hasn’t stood out in his trials but he wasn’t far from Tarka at his last start back in July when hard in the market. Debuted on a soft 6 and hit the line okay so a wet track is not likely an issue. One to keep safe.
How to play it: Snippetspeed E/W ($3.80 TAB Fixed Odds).
Snippetspeed races away with his trial at Canterbury on November 13
|Race 2 - 2:35PM DAILY PRESS PLATE (1400 METRES)|
8. Task And Purpose was a drifter in betting first-up but finished the race off nicely late to run fourth at Canterbury. She’s placed in a few good form races to date and a wet track hasn’t bothered her as yet. Up in distance and with an inside draw she’s likely to be in a more striking position and is a big chance to break through.
Dangers: 6. Re Edit looks a nice staying bred filly who debuts on the back of a trial win at Canterbury a couple of weeks ago. On her pedigree she’s probably 50-50 to be a wet tracker and if she lines up it’ll suggest the stable thinks she’ll be fine and she’s a strong threat. 2. Galina has been costly with a string of placings when either favourite or well in the market. Seemed to have her chance at Hawkesbury last start but given she's always thereabouts you have to include her. 7. Sizzling Ace had plenty of support first-up almost two months ago and didn't do a whole lot. Sent back to the trials and it was a typically quiet one. Capable on her best form.
How to play it: Task And Purpose WIN ($3.50 TAB Fixed Odds).
Task And Purpose runs on late first-up at Canterbury on November 16
|Race 3 – 3:10PM CONSTRUCTION CONSULTANTS HANDICAP (1200 METRES)|
2. The Art Of The Bar is the filly they’ll all have to get past and importantly she has an excellent effort on a heavy track at Warwick Farm to her name. She led that day and while run down there was a big gap to third and she’s since posted an easy maiden win. If there’s a slight concern it’s the 1200m but generally if you can handle a wet track that’s more important. Take beating.
Dangers: 1. Sure Knee hasn’t raced since August where she scored a narrow win at this track over 1300m. Yet to see a wet track but her dam was at home in the going so on that you’d suggest Sure Knee will be okay. Logical danger. 4. Heavenly Thunder finally broke through at start 10 with a strong Hawkesbury win and she has a narrow defeat on a heavy 9 three starts ago to her name. The conditions will give her a chance to be competitive. 3. Seles didn’t quite measure up in the wet during the winter but she returned with a strong win at Newcastle coming from well off the pace. Sent back to the trials for a spin and if she can handle a summer wet track she’s sure to be strong at the finish again.
How to play it: The Art Of The Bar WIN ($2.60 TAB Fixed Odds).
The Art Of The Bar runs second at Warwick Farm on a heavy track in October
|Race 4 – 3.45PM ALTIS ARCHITECTURE HANDICAP (2130 METRES)|
7. Tinker Dan appeals at good each-way odds with a recent heavy track performance to his name. That was at Randwick and he gave a big sight when runner-up to Cosmologist. Two starts since then have been sound, and he didn’t have the greatest luck at Hawkesbury last start though he wouldn’t have won. Has a good chance to post an overdue win with the wet conditions.
Dangers: 3. Miss Shanti isn’t proven in heavy ground but she’s in career best form at the moment. Far too good for a subsequent winner on the Kensington track then up to Saturday class and produced a solid third to Sky Boy which is good form. If she handles the going she’s in the finish. 6. Devil’s Lair won on a heavy track last preparation and while beaten in his last few starts at Hawkesbury he’s been competitive and staying on well. He ran third in the same race as Tinker Dan (fourth) two starts back and we know he likes it wet so he has to be included. 1. Godunov has proven okay down to a soft 7 and if he can match his last start narrow defeat at Canterbury then he’ll give a sight here. Can race on or off the pace and is an each-way hope again.
How to play it: Tinker Dan E/W ($15 TAB Fixed Odds).
Tinker Dan’s game second on a heavy track at Randwick in October
|Race 5 – 4.20PM RUSSOLINI GROUP HANDICAP (1200 METRES)|
5. Taniko should have won last start at Canterbury and you have to stick with her. Cut out at a couple of stages and did a huge job to be beaten three-quarters of a length. Punters Intel data revealed she ran the second fastest last 200m of 11.48 despite being held up. She’s won a trial on a heavy track, her dam liked the wet and with a clear shot at them she can atone.
Dangers: 4. Spanish Dream was an easy Gosford winner before running second in the same race as Taniko after having her chance up on the speed. Other than a close second in a recent trial she doesn’t have any wet track form to speak of but she could get through it and therefore has to be respected. 9. Lucky Louie basically fell in at Newcastle last start to break through at start 14 and not in the manner $1.40 shots should be winning. That said she’s starting to put it together now so prepared to ignore previous wet track form. Each-way. 6. Bella Success is one of those horses you can’t leave out of the chances but she has proven costly with eight winless starts last prep. A wet track is okay for her and she does perform well fresh so if you’re game she’s not to be ignored.
How to play it: Taniko WIN ($2.60 TAB Fixed Odds).
Taniko’s luckless fifth at Canterbury on November 16
|Race 6 - 4:55PM CABRA-VALE DIGGERS SPRINT (1000 METRES)|
6. Deprive is the best horse in the race, potentially, and is first-up on the back of an excellent trial win in open company over Redouble, who was narrowly beaten at Rosehill on Saturday, and Deploy. Being out of a Canny Lad mare you’d back him to handle a wet track but that’s something we won’t know until he races. In the conditions 1000m fresh is ideal, he’s unbeaten first-up and he should take holding out.
Dangers: 4. Sikhing Glory kept coming despite being a drifter first-up when placed behind Bon Amis at Rosehill so will appreciate the step back to midweek level. He won three straight after a first-up defeat last time in and he has placed on a heavy track. Go well. 12. Heart Conquered takes on the older horses but brings with him some solid three-year-old form. Stuck on well behind Chess Star and Roheryn at Rosehill last time and was unlucky prior to that. Not proven in the wet as yet but if he handles it he’s right in this. 2. Envy Of All has no issues with a wet track and while she’s yet to win fresh she’s rarely far away so is worth including.
How to play it: Deprive WIN ($2.40 TAB Fixed Odds).
Deprive wins his trial at Rosehill on November 19
|Race 7 - 5:30PM ROSE MAREE CHAIN MEMORIAL HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
3. Regent appeals in the conditions and looks ready to win a race after three runs back from almost a year off. Finished on nicely at Randwick on a soft 6 second-up then too far back and was only warming up late there on October 31 as favourite. The runner-up from that race has since won on a Saturday. Excellent trial win at Rosehill since then and with blinkers on he is hard to beat.
Dangers: 9. Coterie won first-up on a soft 7 and was brave in defeat after sitting on the speed and fighting them all off before being nailed by a smart one in Royal Celebration. Goes up in weight for taking on older horses, which is a concern, but he’s come back in super order and is the main threat. 4. The Passage isn’t known as a first-up horse but on a wet track he could run a cheeky race at the 1400m. Last start in this class was a win at Sandown and when he strikes form he usually holds it. So keep an eye on him. 11. He’s A Given has good wet track form and he comes off a narrow defeat on a heavy track at Kembla. Usually performs well at Warwick Farm and throw in a wet track he has to be included in the chances.
How to play it: Regent WIN ($3.80 TAB Fixed Odds).
Regent wins a barrier trial at Rosehill on November 19