Tips by Brad Gray
Tips and race by race preview by Brad Gray for Wednesday’s meeting at Warwick Farm. The track is expected to be good and the rail is out 3m the entire.
|Race 1 - 12:50PM TAB HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
Only five runners here and three of them are trained by Chris Waller. The market has Cormac as a very firm odds on favourite and although he has claims, it’s hard to come into him at that skinny quote. That leaves me with stablemate Dream Genie. She ran well behind Miss Shanti two back which stacks up okay here before she was expected to win at Kembla at her next outing starting even money. That was on the quick backup and she didn’t dash at all. Happy to give her the benefit of the doubt with a three week break since. Drops back from two runs at the mile to 1400m but should be able to get control of this race from the front.
Dangers: Cormac has been right around the mark all through his career and although a beaten at Wyong last time out, he gapped the third horse. His maiden win is imminent. It’d be a dream start for returning hoop James McDonald. There is not a great deal of depth to the race to a touch wary of the first starter Emerald Earth. Trials have been good without getting too carried away. She’s a half to the speedy Diamond Earth – but with Pierro as the sire, it’s no surprise to see her kick off over 1400m.
How to play it: Dream Genie WIN ($6 TAB Fixed Odds).
Best judge Dream Genie off her Wyong second two back
|Race 2 - 1:25PM PLUCK@VINERY HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
Micky Blue Eyes dashed home quickly on debut in a dawdling run race at the Hawkesbury standalone meeting. Punters Intel reveals 33.43s for his last 600m there. He’ll be forced to give these a start and could be looking for a mile already, but think he has the makings of a handy middle distance three-year-old in time. Was keen on Press Box originally but she has been scratched. Not thrilled with the price about Micky given the scenario he'll likely face here but have him on top. Suspect he'll continue to get out in the market so might be best to wait.
Dangers: Pembroke Castle ran fourth in The Autumn Sun’s race last start. That looks like a deep race. Just a slight query with him running a strong 1400m at this stage but he's close to a breakthrough win. Will make his own luck too. Commander comes out of that same race and he looks set to relish the 1400m. He warmed up nicely over the latter stages of that race and does appeal at double figure odds.
How to play it: Micky Blue Eyes WIN ($2.90 TAB Fixed Odds) and Commander WIN ($16).
Micky Blue Eyes on debut at Hawkesbury
|Race 3 - 2:00PM #THERACES HANDICAP (2130 METRES)|
It’s a bit of a throw at the stumps tipping Campaign and reckon Chris Waller feels very much the same way running him here. He jumps from 1550m out to 2130m after coming under pressure at the top of the straight last time out behind Seaway. Liked the way he picked himself up to run home in limited room. He’s the quirky type of horse Glyn Schofield could click with (he rode him early days without much success but they were his first three starts). Hopeful of him taking up a closer spot from the soft draw. At double figure odds, willing to take the punt.
Dangers: Almighty Crown has the runs on the board this time in. He won, unexpectedly, first up over 1400m before flattening out over the mile. His latest run over 1800m was good though, beaten by Live And Free and Primitivo. That stacks up well for this and he’ll be even better here over further again. Tinkermosa is yet another John Sargent-trained filly going quietly about her business at the provincials. She is ready for this now.
How to play it: Campaign EACH WAY ($10 TAB Fixed Odds).
Campaign made good late ground last start
|Race 4 - 2:35PM RANVET POWER FORMULA HANDICAP (1600 METRES)|
Four races in and four Chris Waller-trained horses on top! Tunero is the one here. Like what we’ve seen from him getting out to the mile in his last two efforts. In the first of them he gave gun filly Youngstar a little fright and she has gone right on with the job since. Last start he got the job done at $1.65 at Wyong, beating Cormac, who goes around earlier in the day. You’ll get a good look at how that form stacks up. There’s still upside to this son of Teofilo and think he is worth a ticket at the $6 currently on offer.
Dangers: Cyber Intervention has three lengths to turn around on Thy Kingdom Come before starting to worry about anything else in the race but he’s a real smokey here. He was never in the hunt at Wyong taking an eternity to wind up. When he does hit top gear though, he can really motor. Jay Ford will need to get on his bike early, even out to the mile. Desert Lord put away his rivals at Wyong. Didn’t look to beat much but he couldn’t have done much more. Stryke Rock is another that won in good style last start. Capable on going on with it now too.
How to play it: Tunero EACH WAY ($6 TAB Fixed Odds).
Tunero beating Cormac (goes around in Race 1) at Wyong
|Race 5 - 3:10PM ATC HONOURS FLYING SPUR MILE (1600 METRES)|
Age shall not weary them. Nat King Cu certainly isn’t getting any younger but he’s racing as well as ever. The nine-year-old was honest again last start when fifth at Hawkesbury. He was tucked in behind the speed there and he is probably at his best when let roll. He should get that here crossing to dictate from the wide draw. The query being how much pressure will come from his immediate outside with Poet’s Advocate getting the blinkers re-applied. Nat King Cu doesn’t have much to make up on the favourite here Hallelujah Boy and gets a little 1kg weight swing. The old boy loves the Farm too!
Dangers: Hallelujah Boy is well found here but he certainly has claims. Has been building towards a win and gets his chance in this. Ran second at Hawkesbury last start while his Provincial Championships form prior to that reads well enough for a race like this too. Jaunty can be a tad hit-and-miss but she is a handy mare on her day and her return was encouraging. Again though, looks well found in the market.
How to play it: Nat King Cu EACH WAY ($9 TAB Fixed Odds).
Nat King Ku will be out to turn the tables on Hallelujah Boy
|Race 6 - 3:45PM BOWERMANS OFFICE FURNITURE HANDICAP (1200 METRES)|
Vienna Romance is a better mare than her record suggests. She has won two from 17 but has six seconds and two thirds to her name. She was up for a long time last preparation so you can take your pick as to the most desirable form lines but she beat home Memes on one occasion, ran second to Slow Burn, took the scalp of Regimen. First up last time in she bumped into Test The World, running third beaten 1.5L. She has trialled just the once this time in off a break but looked good there, bouncing out to take up the running. She was a touch fresh early but that gives me confidence she’ll be ridden positively here. Gerald Ryan generally has them ready to go when they return.
Dangers: Medovina only won a Class 1 at Wyong last time out but did it well enough. She’ll improve again from that first up outing and has two wins from her three career outings. Jumps to city class here but doesn’t find a particularly deep midweeker to measure up. Wary of It’s Time For Magic off an eight week freshen. Tends to race well fresh and comes out of the same trial as Vienna Romance, where there wasn’t much between them.
How to play it: Vienna Romance EACH WAY ($9.50 TAB Fixed Odds).
Vienna Romance and It’s Time For Magic trialling at Rosehill – May 7
|Race 7 - 4:20PM TAB.COM.AU HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
Oxford Magic had the unenviable task of chasing home Cradle Mountain first run when he gave the Randwick track record a scare. Smartedge finished third so he’s split two handy ones. Should be able to spear across from the wide draw to take up the running with Chapelco. Straight out to 1400m shouldn't be an issue and the Kim Waugh stable is flying at the moment. Worth noting that the 1400m has a long run in to the home straight so the wide draw isn't that significant.
Dangers: Kanerupt comes out of the same race as High Mist, who was originally top pick here before being scratched, and chased hard to run second to Easy Eddie. His silks match his form at the moment, going through a real purple patch in his career.
How to play it: Oxford Magic WIN ($6 TAB Fixed Odds).
Oxford Magic running second first up