By Ray Hickson
Tips and race by race preview by Ray Hickson for Wednesday’s Warwick Farm meeting. Selections based on a good track.
|Race 1 – 1:50PM IMPENDING @ DARLEY HANDICAP (1300 METRES)|
6. Easifar was responsible for a big run on debut at Kensington, sitting wide and going down narrowly. She was well clear of the rest and can only have come on. Drawn a lot kinder and while it’d not be ideal to have her cluttered up with even luck she’s well placed to go one better.
Dangers: 3. Ellsberg is another big watch on debut. Looked very good winning his first trial after sitting wide then taken back and not tested out at all trailing them home in her second. Drawn well, has to be respected. 8. Selburose was in the market on debut and probably didn’t handle a heavy track then improved at second outing. Won a trial leading into this and is in the mix. 1. Let Me Think has had two runs around a mile of late and been competitive, one of those at this level. Drop in trip may suit.
How to play it: Easifar WIN ($1.80 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: EVENS.
Easifar runs second at Kensington on September 30
|Race 2 – 2.25PM HEINEKEN HANDICAP (2200 METRES)|
4. Parry Sound looked a run away from a big performance when he closed in for third over 1800m at Kensington second-up. Proven in this distance range, James McDonald goes on and this is certainly no harder than last time. Go close.
Dangers: 1. Pecuniary Interest is a real up and comer with five wins from his last seven starts and raced right away from them to win the Bathurst Cup third-up from a break. Even better suited out in distance and it won’t surprise to see him measure up. Read trainer Nick Olive's comments here. 6. Etheridge is more than good enough to win this race though seems to be going through the motions a little. Ridden upside down two starts back then boxed on okay two weeks ago. Back slightly in trip and can’t be left out. 5. Aoraki comes through the same race as Parry Sound and he was finishing off okay without threatening. First try at the extra trip, it could be what he’s looking for so has to be included.
How to play it: Parry Sound WIN ($3.00 TAB Fixed Odds); Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
Parry Sound runs third at Kensington on September 30
|Race 3 – 3:00PM GLENN PICKWICK MEMORIAL HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
1. Military Magic made a promising return with a solid third at Canterbury in a similar race and she can be expected to be competitive here. Second-up last prep, off a nice return, she was thrown into a Listed race then failed on a heavy so forgive those. Consistent and will run well.
Dangers: 2. Switched comes through a very fast run race first-up and she got a bit lost after not landing on the pace before rallying late. If she can find a spot closer to the lead or get control she can be hard to get past. 5. Frozen In Time took some steps through the grades last time in and was placed in a race of this quality back in June. Latest trial win was encouraging and with any luck in running she can be in the finish. 3. Let It Pour finally broke through when resuming at Gosford then back to this class and boxed on well in a decent form race here three weeks ago. Drawn a little better here and is a definite chance.
How to play it: Military Magic E/W ($5.00 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
Military Magic runs third at Canterbury on September 23
|Race 4 – 3:35PM TAB LONG MAY WE PLAY HANDICAP (1600 METRES)|
6. Kirwan’s Lane was quite impressive winning first-up at Canterbury and there’s no reason he couldn’t repeat. Did get a nice passage through them last time but drawing out is no negative if there’s a reasonable tempo as expected. Hard to hold out.
Dangers: 4. Chains Of Honour is an interesting runner first-up since an ATC Derby and VRC St Leger campaign where he finished around midfield in both. Kept under grips in his trials and kicking off at a mile really suits. Keep safe. 5. Coterie won nicely over this course two runs back then not disgraced when up to this grade at Canterbury. Sticky gate to overcome but is honest and should put in again. 7. Zero Doubt was an all the way winner at $26 at Sandown a month ago so is a little hard to line up against this opposition. That was his first sign of form for a while but the stable is flying at present as is the jockey so rather include than dismiss.
How to play it: Kirwan’s Lane WIN ($2.80 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: EVENS.
Kirwan’s Lane wins at Canterbury on September 23
|Race 5 – 4:15PM HYLAND RACE COLOURS HANDICAP (1300 METRES)|
6. Snippy Fox ran a very cheeky race in similar company at Kensington two weeks ago. She tracked the leader into the straight but had to change course a couple of times and was still making ground on the line. Worth a look each-way.
Dangers: 3. Dorothy Of Oz was well supported and led the same race in question before being run down over the last 100m. Fitter, expect her to lead again and she could be harder to run down. 7. Special Snap is back from Victoria where she strung together three close seconds on provincial tracks. Only win to date was at this track and she should be around the mark once again. 1. Avadane is back to fillies and mares grade after two runs and showed improvement leading when run down by Salsonic two weeks ago. Could give a sight here.
How to play it: Snippy Fox E/W ($8.50 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
Snippy Fox runs third at Kensington on September 30
|Race 6 – 4:55PM VINERY HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
3. He’s A Hotshot didn’t fire in three runs last prep on heavy tracks and they should be overlooked, though the third wasn’t a bad run, when assessing him. Plenty to like about his trial leading into this, drawn well and gets a good track. Take beating.
Dangers: 5. Shadow Crush beat a subsequent winner at Hawkesbury before a sound fourth at Canterbury in a fast run race where he did a lot of chasing. No harder here and he’s one of the main chances. 9. Return With Honour has his first run for Annabel Neasham and definitely has the ability if right. Failed in a Listed race last time when never really in contention. Back in grade, blinkers on and must go in the quaddie at least. 6. Military Academy tends to save his best for Hawkesbury but is rarely far away and was a close fourth in a similar race to this back in September albeit at 1300m. Each-way.
How to play it: He’s A Hotshot WIN ($3.90 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: ODDS.
He’s A Hotshot runs fifth in a trial at Rosehill on September 28
|Race 7 – 5:35PM BOWERMANS COMMERCIAL FURNITURE HANDICAP (1200 METRES)|
4. Emanate is flying of late and she’s overcome wide gates to sit on the speed and prove too strong late at her last two. Soft draw so can sit wherever near the speed and gets a nice weight drop for taking on the boys. Sure to give a big sight again.
Dangers: 3. Xanthus may have cost himself victory when he overreacted to a check nearing the line at Kensington first-up from a spell. Down 3kg on that and fitter, he has a good second-up record so worth respecting. 2. Testifier looked to have every chance when leading at Canterbury first-up but held on well for second. Back 50m and has barrier one so can’t be overlooked. 8. Geo resumed with an even effort in the same race after sitting on the pace. Might be a touch better with some cover so no surprise to see him improve.
How to play it: Emanate WIN ($3.70 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
Emanate wins at Canterbury on September 23