By Brad Gray
Tips and race by race preview by Brad Gray for Saturday’s meeting at Rosehill Gardens.
The rail is out 6m, the track rated in the Heavy range (Friday morning) and the first set to go at 12:50pm.
|Race 1 - 12:50PM TAB HIGHWAY HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
3. Gumshoe has returned in fine form for trainer Marc Quinn, with two wins from three outings, and his SP profile is extremely strong having never started bigger odds than $1.45 all preparation! The time he was beaten, the two horses that reeled him in swept right down the outside fence. Drawn 10 but he’ll work across to lead these up. He meets a few of her key rivals with a big fitness edge on her side and couple that with his no frills racing style, he is an attractive proposition. At just his second ever start he started $4 against So Taken and Jen Rules on the Kensington track. He was beaten but certainly not disgraced. This is a pretty smart three-year-old.
Dangers: Now for the case against 2. Burning Crown. We know his best would blow these away however to take $1.65 I need all of the ducks to line up. That’s not the what we get here. The three-year-old wasn’t all that comfortable on a wet track the last time we saw him before he spelled and he isn’t a great barrier horse. He takes a couple of strides to muster. That can pose problems. Certainly wouldn’t want to see him back in the ruck. 6. Caprera is clearly a horse with soundness issues having run once in nearly two years but his two trials this time back have been excellent.
How to play it: Gumshoe WIN ($4.20 TAB Fixed Odds)
Gumshoe winning at Port Macquarie last start
|Race 2 - 1:30PM CHANDON S SILVER SLIPPER STAKES (1100 METRES)|
It’s been three months since we saw 3. Tassort destroy his rivals on debut over the Rosehill 1100m, the same track and trip for Saturday’s Silver Slipper Stakes. He was outstanding there with Punters Intelligence revealing a 33.75s last 600m, five lengths superior to the next best in the race. There’s a query around what he beat but Tassort ran time and was very strong through the line. His last 200m alone (11.38s) was four lengths quicker than any of his rivals. That win catapulted Tassort into Golden Slipper favouritism, and justifiably so. He set the benchmark that the two-year-olds in Sydney have to rise to. The colt looked stylish in his trial win, despite not running blistering time and the way the Godolphin two-year-olds are going, you’d be brave to back against him.
Dangers: 7. Faretti will need to produce something outstanding on debut to beat Tassort but this Gai Waterhouse and Adrian Bott-trained youngster has looked brilliant in his trials. James McDonald is an important piece to the puzzle in working out this race having ridden Faretti in both trials and 2. McLaren on debut. McDonald considers Faretti his biggest danger. McLaren got the job done on debut but it’s hard seeing him improve enough off that to give Tassort a scare. You have to go back to 2007 to find the last horse to win the Silver Slipper on debut, but it was John Hawkes with Shaft. Can he do it again with 6. Born A Warrior? His latest trial was a beauty.
How to play it: Tassort WIN ($1.80 TAB Fixed Odds)
Tassort smashed Yankee Rose's Golden Gift race record on debut.
— Racing NSW (@racing_nsw) February 20, 2019
|Race 3 - 2:05PM RANVET HANDICAP (1350 METRES)|
10. Coterie ran super first up in the Inglis Sprint. He just felt the pinch late when he looked like he was going to pinch third behind Fiesta and Estijaab. It was a very deep race. None of his rivals faced opposition of that quality last start. There was money for him too to start $13. He has always been a bit of a work in progress but reckon the penny had dropped for him now. His trial behind Brutal, before he resumed, was outstanding, coasting to the line. It’s a big tick out to 1350m and he should be able to pop in behind what looks like a race with plenty of speed engaged. The more the track dries out the better his chances so keep an eye on the rating.
Dangers: 7. Archedemus has worked the racing caper out now and it’s seen him win three on the bounce. He made the transition to city class easily first up, albeit in a weak Warwick Farm field. He led them up but still ran the fastest last 200m in the race (Punters Intelligence). Unlike Coterie, the wetter the better. He goes on all surfaces but especially loves the wet. 9. Star Of The Seas zipped home his last 200m in 11.5s over 1000m first up with a last 600m of 32.37s. Straight out to 1350m suits. They are the three key winning chances but expect 6. So Spirited and 8. I Got You to be thereabouts if you’re playing exotics.
How to play it: Coterie WIN ($5.50 TAB Fixed Odds)
Coterie’s fourth at Warwick Farm first up
|Race 4 - 2:40PM SCHWEPPES HANDICAP (1500 METRES)|
7. Seaway resumed as a gelding at Rosehill and won brilliantly. The four-year-old looks destined to contest much better races in the early part of the autumn carnival. He ended last camping with a second in the G2 Queensland Guineas before an end of prep run in the G3 Sunshine Coast Guineas, running seventh. Seven of his 10 rivals are first up here and the majority of them will find the 1500m too sharp. There is a real lack of speed in the race so don’t be at all surprised if Kerrin McEvoy takes Seaway straight to the front. He has never led before but has box seated on a number of occasions. Wet track no issue. His race to lose on paper.
Dangers: 10. New Universe rattled home behind all the way winner Samadoubt last time out backing up his dominant Randwick win two back. The five-year-old has been notoriously hard to catch and is deep into a campaign but has found his form after promising so much early days. 2. One Foot In Heaven resumes a gelding. He ran midfield in the G2 Chelmsford at WFA last campaign. Could run a race fresh. 3. McCreery could be hugely advantaged by the map if he is ridden positively. 8. All Too Soon some knockout hope too but looked dour in her trials.
How to play it: Seaway WIN ($1.70 TAB Fixed Odds)
Seaway bolting in first up at Rosehill
|Race 5 - 3:15PM HOBARTVILLE STAKES (1400 METRES)|
1. The Autumn Sun has his knockers off the back of two non-descript trials but they are just that, trials. The latest trial at Rosehill, the leaders zipped home in an official last 600m 33.75s. He was left flatfooted and was only warming up. Enough on that. He has panels on his rivals class wise and will be tuned up ready to go here. Chris Waller will be keen to keep the prized colt’s mini winning streak going to build his CV as a stallion. The horse is a Group One winner over 1400m, the Golden Rose, and although that was frantically run, and this shapes up to be a sit and sprint, it justifies his long odds on price. He’ll be stalking the speed and Kerrin McEvoy will know he isn’t a horse you can ride cute. Too good for these. Wins and wins easily.
Dangers: We've lost Gem Song and Royal Celebration. 6. Vegadaze keeps raising the bar every time he steps out. Ljungberg looked to have him cold last start but he found a way to beat that horse and hold off the closing Adana. It was more a case of Ljungberg failing to run 1400m than Vegadaze finding but all he can do is win. He’ll punch up to hold the front again. 2. Bondi is the most likely to push on to keep him company.
How to play it: The Autumn Sun WIN ($1.40 TAB Fixed Odds) and 1,6 EXACTA
That latest trial from The Autumn Sun – Feb 11 at Rosehill
|Race 6 - 3:50PM SPARK OF LIFE HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
4. So Taken is one of only a handful of runners with a run under their belt already. That could prove the difference in what shapes as a tricky race. It's a deep race but not an easy one to assess. So Taken impressed winning at Warwick Farm, albeit in midweek company, and draws to get every chance here. There's a little query staying at 1100m, given she was out to 1250m second up last time in work but the wet track will make it a testing 1100m. Nicely weighted with 54kg as the highest rated runner in the field.
Danger: 2. Ragged Rascal only fired one bullet last preparation but it was first up over 1100m. He beat two subsequent stakes winners in Meryl and Charge. Could history repeat? The Paul Perry-trained colt never threatened after that. His form is patchy but at the big odds, keep him in your thoughts. 9. Baller should have some residual fitness from his first preparation, given it was only nine weeks ago. He is a talent. 6. Roosevelt's best win was on a wet track. The chances certainly don’t end there!
How to play it: So Taken WIN ($3.80 TAB Fixed Odds)
So Taken winning at Warwick Farm first up
|Race 7 - 4:30PM MILLIE FOX STAKES (1300 METRES)|
10. Savatiano had very little go her way last preparation which resulted in one win from her five runs but it could have easily been four wins, if things played out differently. With 54kg on her back and Kerrin McEvoy in the saddle, she well placed to resume a winner, like she did last preparation at Wyong beating Shumookh, despite making a mid-race move. It was an enormous win. She has had the one trial but looked strong. She doesn't have to improve to take this out but suspect she'll go to another level again this autumn. Goes on all surfaces.
Dangers: Terrified of 7. I Am Serious. Her trials have been unbelievable, and I’ve got no doubt in the world she is airborne, but she’s always vulnerable first up. I know she ran well behind Flow first up last campaign but that was 1400m before she spring boarded to run second behind Avilius. The preparation prior to that she ran seventh first up over 1200m before bolting in second up out to 1400m. It’s that established pattern that makes me wary. Want to have a look at her here before having a good go at her in the Coolmore Classic.
How to play it: Savatiano WIN ($6 TAB Fixed Odds)
Savatiano taking out the Mona Lisa first up last preparation
|Race 8 - 5:10PM PARRAMATTA CUP (1900 METRES)|
There is no denying that 11. Tangled was pretty plain last start at Warwick Farm but he has a history of doing that before bouncing back. Last campaign he ran a long last in the Randiwck Guineas before finishing close up to D’argento out to 2000m in the Rosehill Guineas. He really comes into his own once he hits this distance range. His first up run behind Tom Melbourne confirmed he has come back in good order. He strikes a perfect race, with 53kg on his back. There’s queries over 10. Samadoubt, who beat him last start, and 12. Gresham at this trip, while there’s a lot of resuming stayers with much bigger targets over the autumn. Has his convictions with two wins from 19 starts but this is a lovely race for him.
Dangers: Would be a lot keener on 9. High Bridge had he shown something, anything, in his two trials. He was horribly outpaced. I know they are just trials though. The one time hurdler hit the ground running with Chris Waller with impressive midweek wins which saw him start $5 in the Metrop! He ran fourth. Willing to forget his last start flop, he may have had enough by then. Follow any money for him. 2. Big Duke was only beaten five lengths in a 1400m G2 first up last preparation by Showtime and Hartnell. No surprise this ex-Weir stayer finds himself with Kris Lees as the seven-year-old races so well in Sydney.
How to play it: Tangled WIN ($4.80 TAB Fixed Odds)
Tangled’s first up run behind Tom Melbourne
|Race 9 - 5:50PM GOLDEN SLIPPER HOSPITALITY HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
Must admit, I expected a touch more from 5. She Knows first up at Warwick Farm but trainer Danny Williams was pretty frank prior to the race suggesting she’d take a lot of improvement from the run. She’ll need to but is worth another chance in a very suitable race. The 1100m on a wet track is perfect and he second up record is strong (3:2-0-0). She was competitive in Group races over the Melbourne spring and if she can recapture that form, she’ll be in the finish here. Expect her to be a pair closer here too, having mapped her to box seat behind 10. Memes and 6. All Too Royal. Want to be with her each way.
Dangers: 14. Junglized was on the back up last start and down in grade, getting the job done nicely at Randwick. He shoots back up to BM94 company here but is down in the weights because of it. His second to Bon Amis two back is certainly good enough for this. His form can be patchy but he has strung two excellent runs together now. All Too Royal hasn’t finished outside of the top two in seven runs this campaign. This is harder again but recall saying that last start before he won again! Keep an eye on any market support for 1. Camdus. Now with John Thompson, the seven-year-old is a last start Listed winner.
How to play it: She Knows EACH WAY ($7.50 TAB Fixed Odds)
She Knows first up at Warwick Farm