By Brad Gray
Tips and race by race preview by Brad Gray for Golden Gift Day at Rosehill.
The rail is out 3m and the form has been done for a good track.
|Race 1 - 12:35PM SHOPPER MEDIA HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
4. Lucicello looks beautifully placed here with 54.5kg in a BM78 against her own sex. Didn’t expect to see her so soon after she was tipped out in late August, but here she is. The three-year-old grey charged through the grades last campaign which saw Chris Waller test her in black type company. She tackled the Rosehill 1100m in the Listed Rosebud and was beaten by Dawn Passage, having settled out the back from the wide draw. Punters Intelligence shows her last 600m of 33.43s was the quickest across the entire meeting. After that she flattened off a touch out to 1300m in the Up And Coming but did run third in the Group Two behind True Detective and Superium. Ignore the finishing position in her latest trial, she wasn’t out there to do much. Looks too classy for this field.
Dangers: 1. Invictus Salute has improved sharply second up in the past but will need to on what she showed behind Agent Pippa. Lumps 60kg here too. 2. And So It Goes has a history of racing very well fresh (6:2-0-2) and will run better than her odds suggest.
How to play it: How to play it: Lucicello WIN ($1.65 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT
"If she turns up at the top of her game, she’s too good for these."
— Racing NSW (@racing_nsw) November 7, 2019
|Race 2 - 1:15PM TAB HIGHWAY HANDICAP (1500 METRES)|
8. Elegant Ellen profiles like she wants this journey now and in a typically even Highway Handicap, perhaps even more so then normal, the difference could be settling positions. What you see is what you get with this five-year-old mare in that she rolls along out in front. She’ll only have 51.5kg on her back so Brock Ryan will be on his bike from the get-go. The Richard and Like Clarke-trained galloper has tackled three Highways already in her career running second behind La Scopa back in January while either side of that were fifths. She was simply no match for city-trained mare All Sassitude at Goulburn last start but don’t be too critical of that. She’ll need an aggressive ride to pinch a winning break turning for home as she lacks a turn of foot.
Dangers: 17. Southern Appeal looks a handy three-year-old on what he produced to win a maiden over 1200m at his second ever start. He is a horse worth following, just surprised how much the market has cuddled him. 7. Acquittal and 13. Takissacod both rate mentions.
How to play it: Elegant Ellen EACH WAY ($18 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: EVENS
Elegant Ellen last start at Goulburn
|Race 3 - 1:55PM IRON JACK HANDICAP (2400 METRES)|
Very open race and I can’t possibly justify having a number of these on top at the odds on offer. That sees a leftfield tip in 1. Artarmon. It comes with great risk with the import being first up for Matthew Smith over 2400m with the top weight of 59kg on his back. What we do know of the five-year-old, however, is that he was won five from 16 overseas, with all of those coming from 2400m out to 3200m. He’ll stay all day. Has he acclimated to Australia? He has looked dour in his three trials as you’d expect given his profile but he made steady improvement in each of them. To answer the question, we don’t know, but we’re getting big odds to found out. Won’t have to be a superstar to beat this field.
Dangers: 4. Angel Of Heaven is the default favourite simply because she has less convictions than her rivals this preparation. She’s a hope but leave me out at $2.50. Last start Maid Of Ore got control in front but Angel Of Heaven wasn’t taking much, if any, ground off her late (33.49s last 600m vs 33.60s). The 2400m looks to suit now. 3. Re Edit was flattened last start. Forget she ever ran. Her third prior to that was okay but still questioning how well she has returned. The same can be asked of 8. Duchess Of Lennox. 5. Humbolt Current is untried at the trip but how many more chances can we give him? 2. Desert Path at least brings winning form.
How to play it: Artarmon WIN ($23 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT
Artarmon trialling at Warwick Farm – October 22
|Race 4 - 2:35PM RANVET HANDICAP (1800 METRES)|
6. Baanone launched late to win impressively at Warwick Farm last time out and deserves his shot in Saturday company now. He relished the genuine tempo last start and this sets up similarly with a stack of speed engaged. The Bjorn Baker-trained five-year-old was equally impressive at Hawkesbury the start prior to that, rounding his rivals up from the tail of the field. Barrier 1 isn’t ideal as would’ve preferred a gate that allowed him to balance up and let rip down the outside with an uninterrupted run but it at least means he’ll settle with a couple behind him. At the double figure odds, happy to gamble that the son of Shocking will get the breaks in the straight to make it three on the trot. The horse is flying.
Dangers: 4. Stryke Rock is another one that sets up well here, with the speed likely to be on early. Chris Waller’s five-year-old didn’t have any luck at all at Warwick Farm two back off a six week freshen before finding the line behind Romani Girl at Randwick. James Doyle goes on here. Untested beyond the mile but looks ready to win again. 9. Pressure looks to want the extra trip the way he rallied again over the mile at Seymour last start. An on-pacer, it’s just a matter of how much, well, pressure, he can absorb. 11. Destiny’s Hero broke through for a long overdue third win at Kembla last time out. Strikes this at the right time. 8. Eugene’s Pick drops back form the Group Three Angst.
How to play it: Baanone WIN ($14 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: EVENS
Artarmon trialling at Warwick Farm – October 22
|Race 5 - 3:15PM THE COUNTRY CLASSIC (2000 METRES)|
1. Maid Of Ore is airborne at the moment. Nick Olive’s mare has won four on the trot and each of them have been more impressive than the last. She beat Destiny’s Hero three back (won since), Lewis two back (won since) and last start beat Angel Of Heaven (favourite in Race 3). In her latest two wins, both in town, she has controlled the race and quickened brilliantly. Won’t get that same luxury in this. The big weights haven’t seen to bother her in the past. The knock is the price.
Dangers: 11. Black Wand had no luck last start while the start prior when beaten by 17. Emanuela he was seven weeks between runs. 2. Ready For Danger only has to repeat his last start.
How to play it: Maid Of Ore WIN ($2.25 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: ODDS
|Race 6 - 3:55PM GOLDEN GIFT (1100 METRES)|
It’s not an easy task giving away a big start over the Rosehill 1100m which is what faces 10. See You Soon from the carpark draw but loved what we saw from this Jean Dubois-trained filly on debut. It was run very gently early before the race turned into a 400m sprint home. See You Soon gave them a start and rounded up the lot of them. Punters Intelligence shows the last 600m was a sizzling 32.89s while her last two 200m splits clocked were 10.72s and 10.90s. That last 200m in isolation was 2.5 lengths quicker than anything else in the race. The daughter of French stallion Siyouni, the same as stablemate Aylmerton, winner of the G2 Todman as a two-year-old, should relish the speed that this capacity field will generate. There could be a three-wide trail for this filly, which would be ideal.
Dangers: Have a lot of respect for 1. Tanker not only on the strength of his Caulfield win back in mid-October but also on the back of how he trialled at Randwick recently. The Pride Of Dubai youngster balanced up and worked to the line stylishly. Barrier 1 is a touch sticky. 3. Gravina was brave on debut taking tight gaps and like the way he found the line over 1000m. Of the unraced juveniles, 7. Blaze A Trail and 8. Malkovich were hard to miss in their trials. Both appear very sharp types and will come out running from wide draws. The other is 14. Cellsabeel. Looks a strong filly that’ll cope with the hustle and bustle.
How to play it: See You Soon WIN ($8 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT
Golden Gift runner See You Soon rattled home on debut!
— Racing NSW (@racing_nsw) November 7, 2019
|Race 7 - 4:40PM HYLAND RACE COLOURS HOT DANISH STAKES (1400 METRES)|
The Group Three Nivison is the logical form reference here, providing half the field, but the mares went to the line in a swarm. That has me looking elsewhere. Siding with 13. Vinicunca, banking on the three-year-old form to continue to stand up against the older horses. The filly ran second to Lyre ahead of the Blue Diamond last campaign. She was originally being aimed up at the Princess Series but obviously wasn’t quite right as we didn’t see her at the races until mid-October when fourth at Caulfield over 1100m after being slowly away. Loved the way she attacked the line late, however. Her trial prior to that was a beauty. Really wish she’d have drawn out, giving her time to carve across, but if she jumps clean, expect her to give a huge sight with 53kg on her back.
Dangers: 10. Reelem In Ruby is the one that profiles well out to 1400m from the Nivison. The Pierro mare had every chance to peg back winner 7. Madam Rouge but couldn’t reel her in. She definitely wants the 1400m now and maps to get the same run, stalking the leaders. Never runs poorly. The knock on Madam Rouge is that she hasn’t won beyond 1200m. Suspect she is an out-and-out sprinter. 2. El Dorado Dreaming is suited to the set weights scale but hard to get a line on how well she is going.
How to play it: Vinicunca WIN ($6.50 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT
The first seven runners home from the Nivison run here
|Race 8 - 5:20PM SCHWEPPES HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
5. Trumbull made a mess of the start last time out at Warwick Farm and it proved costly, going down by a narrow margin to Appian Way. The pair nabbed Rebel Miss late, with that mare since winning at Moonee Valley. Trumbull wanted to lay in too, which didn’t help his cause. That was 1100m back to 1000m and Punters Intelligence shows a last 600m of 32.28s. Tim Clark takes over for this. Prior to last start, Kim Waugh’s four-year-old chased home Broken Arrows on the Kenso in track record time, gapping the rest of the field, with Broken Arrows since towelling up his rivals at Gosford. Trumbull has drawn a touch wide but there is speed drawn wide to cart him across and if he lands in the first dozen and finds cover, they’ll find it hard to hold him out.
Dangers: 3. Echo Jet beat Signore Fox first up last preparation, his first run for Bjorn Baker, before getting control from in front and beating Reelem In Ruby. Liked the way he trialled at Randwick last Friday. 9. Tony’s Reward has returned in career-best form stringing two wins together. Might be looking for further now though, third up staying at 1100m.
How to play it: Trumbull WIN ($2.50 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: ODDS
Trumbull missed the kick at Warwick Farm last start
|Race 9 - 6:00PM EDEN BRAE HOMES HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
9. High Shine was beaten at the midweeks first up but it was by the race-fit Vitesse, having camped outside of the leader and quickened too well for High Shine with 60.5kg on her back, even after the claim of Chris Williams, who keeps the ride here. That fresh run was over 1300m and off two very quiet trials. Backing the five-year-old mare to improve sharply second up. The Kiwi import is three and half weeks between runs but kept her engine ticking over with a Randwick trial where she found the line late. Last preparation, her first with John Sargent, she went bang-bang at Warwick Farm and Scone, albeit in easier grade than this, but they were the wins of a horse capable of working her way through to black-type company. This race sets up well for her from the middle draw.
Dangers: 13. Pandano has won two on the bounce, beating the consistent Hildalgo on both occasions. In the latest of those the son of Dundeel relished getting out to 1400m. Look forward to seeing what he could possibly do over a mile in time. Can win but is very well found in the market. 7. Bergen had his chance from outside of the leader second up but did jump from 1200m to 1500m so was entitled to knock up. Held his ground well despite being headed a long way from home. Back to 1400m a query. 4. Final Award was part of the chasing pack that ran over Bergen. Has seemingly taken an age to get fit this preparation. 2. King Tomlola can run well.
How to play it: High Shine WIN ($5 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: ODDS
High Shine can only improve on what she did first up