By Ray Hickson
Tips and race by race preview by Ray Hickson for Tuesday’s meeting at Randwick. Selections based on a soft to heavy track.
|Race 1 – 12:20PM TAB LONG MAY WE PLAY HANDICAP (1800 METRES)|
7. Seduction Queen has found herself way too far back in two runs this time in but she has hit the line strongly in both. Blinkers go on and up in distance, they are big pluses, and a small field suits. Only win was on a wet track and she should measure up.
Dangers: 2. Kermanding couldn’t have been more impressive breaking through at start five with a big win at Kembla over a mile. Should be fine on a heavy track but any improvement would help his cause. Logically one of the hardest to beat. 3. Bob was outclassed in the Gloaming and back in class at Hawkesbury he led and boxed on okay at this trip against older horses. Is a heavy track winner and expect him to give a sight with the light weight. 5. Wild Irish can be a bit hard to catch. Won as an odds-on favourite at Gosford before again favourite and reeled in late at 2000m last time. Can’t be left out.
How to play it: Seduction Queen WIN ($6.00 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
Seduction Queen’s last start at Hawkesbury on October 11
|Race 2 – 1.00PM PRECISE FIRE HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
3. Think High blew the start and was well off the pace before charging home to a close second at Lismore on debut. Curious runner here, could easily stay in the country and win a maiden on that effort. Extra trip suits and a good each-way chance.
Dangers: 4. Easifar was expected to win at her second start at Warwick Farm but was very one paced late after sitting outside the lead. Blinkers go on so entitled to another chance. Has trialled on a heavy track and drawn well so could easily bounce back. 2. Newsreader battled away without looking a threat in a Listed race here on Everest Day and the winner has since been Group 1 placed. She’s still a maiden, though, and has had a couple of chances this prep already. Include in the chances. 9. Can Do It hasn't seen a wet track yet so an improving surface helps. Charged late at Nowra last time and sure to be hitting the line well.
How to play it: Think High E/W ($10 TAB Fixed Odds); Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
Think High runs second at Lismore on October 18
|Race 3 – 1:40PM SHARP EXTENSIVE IT PLATE (1100 METRES)|
1. Cat D’Oro is proven on a wet track and had a couple of close calls back in August with successive seconds. Fitter for a recent trial and does appear to have struck a winnable race fresh. On what he’s done so far he’s the one to beat.
Dangers: 5. Onchao is a big watch on debut, he comes through the same trial as Cat D’Oro and he finished strongly from the back to tip her out of second place. Has a soft 6 trial win on the board and no surprise to see him run well. 12. Kiku was narrowly denied on debut then beaten favorite at Canterbury back in April. Soft trial winner recently and she should be okay on a wet track. Commands some respect. 10. Cross The Rubicon ran well on debut on a soft 7 then disappointed at Rosehill at Listed level. Two quiet trials so keep an eye on betting.
How to play it: Cat D’Oro WIN ($2.70 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: ODDS.
Cat D’Oro runs third in a trial at Rosehill on October 16
|Race 4 – 2:25PM HEINEKEN HANDICAP (1300 METRES)|
2. Great News is a promising mare and she did enough first-up to hold them off at Newcastle. Fitter for that, drawn well, 3kg off and has a heavy track win, and an impressive one, from back in May. Take plenty of beating here.
Dangers: 5. Dorothy Of Oz was tipped out first-up after leading then favourite and boxed on okay from just off the pace running fourth at Warwick Farm. Expect she’ll look to lead here, wet track failures could be misleading as they were in the Adrian Knox and the Oaks behind Colette. Give another chance. 8. East Asia is an up and comer who was able to swoop down the outside and win that Warwick Farm race in good style. Third horse has since won. Handles the wet and while drawn wide she can’t be left out. 13. Crosscheck was a popular winner at Kembla off a month's break, coming from well back off a strong tempo. No surprise to see her in the finish.
How to play it: Great News WIN ($2.90 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
Great News wins at Newcastle on October 17
|Race 5 – 3:40PM CLEANAWAY HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
4. Regal Stage can be a big improver third-up back onto a wet track. Eye-catching when resuming then didn’t look comfortable second-up at Warwick Farm. The 1400m suits and if he doesn’t show his best here then he’d be hard to follow beyond this.
Dangers: 10. Perfect Radiance had won two from two at Newcastle with her only unplaced run a fourth to Peltzer on a heavy track back in May. Whether it was the class or the track that was the significant factor may be known after this race but any improvement in the track would be to her liking. 8. Private Cheetah led all the way to win at Kensington, beating Easifar and Newsreader who run earlier, then took on Listed company and wasn’t quite up to it. Likely to find the lead here and could take some running down. 11. Let Me Think had been close up behind a few handy ones before breaking through for a dominant maiden win at Hawkesbury. May go on with it now but this is harder.
How to play it: Regal Stage E/W ($6.00 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: EVENS.
Regal Stage’s first-up run at Kensington on September 30
|Race 6 – 4:20PM CITY TATTERSALLS CLUB HANDICAP (1600 METRES)|
9. Atlantic King looks ready to win after a super first-up run at Kensington a couple of weeks back. He sat wide throughout and was still powering to the line. Winner of that race has won again since and a wet track is no minus. With even luck this is a big chance for him.
Dangers: 2. Gone Bye is fitter for two runs back and is a heavy track winner. Nice return at 1400m then into the placings last time both on good tracks. Gets the 3kg off here, races on the pace and he could be hard to get past. 11. Rathvilly Miss doesn’t know how to run a bad race and she went down fighting to what might be a handy one in Le Gai Soleil. Handles all conditions and is an each-way hope again. 3. Come Along handles all conditions and is fitter now for two runs back from a spell, though they have been below par. Expect some improvement.
How to play it: Atlantic King WIN ($3.30 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
Atlantic King runs third at Kensington on October 21
|Race 7 – 5:00PM BENTLEY CHOISIR HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
4. Blazing Miss was too tough first-up then had good support up to Group 3 level and had excuses after a wide run on a deteriorating track. Honest mare and she’s well worth another chance back in class.
Dangers: 8. Spaceboy faces his biggest test but gets in with 54kg and likes a wet track so he will get his chance. Had a bit of a checkered preparation so far but will roll forward and give a big sight. Last 100m might be a worry if they take him on. Read trainer Gary Portelli's comments here. 5. Invictus Salute likes a wet track and she's been freshened since a solid midfield finish in the Group 2 Sheraco. Comes right into this with the scratchings. 1. Spirit Of Valor is an interesting runner first-up for Kris Lees and overseas he was a heavy track winner. Had four trials and asked for a bit in winning the last couple. Watch betting.
How to play it: Blazing Miss WIN ($3.50 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: EVENS.
Blazing Miss wins at Randwick on October 10
|Race 8 – 5:35PM ACY SECURITIES SPRINT (1100 METRES)|
12. Never Talk looks a very promising filly and she’s unbeaten in three starts including a huge first-up win over 900m at Newcastle, where she was slow out but still had plenty on them. Is a wet track winner and wide gate may not be so bad come the last. Stick with her.
Dangers: 2. Belluci Babe hasn’t seen a wet track yet but she couldn’t have been more impressive in her city debut at Kensington where she sat just off them and zipped away in the straight. First go 1100m but hard to knock. Read trainer Bjorn Baker's comments here. 14. She’s Never Late made her NSW debut at Scone about five weeks ago and it was a huge win coming from last to score by half a length. Up in class but can handle all conditions and she could run into the money somewhere. 8. Bigger Than Thorn won on a heavy first-up and made some ground at Warwick Farm last time without threatening. Has a handy record and wouldn’t shock if he’s in the finish.
How to play it: Never Talk WIN ($4.00 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: EVENS.
Never Talk wins at Newcastle on October 17