By Brad Gray
Tips and race by race preview by Brad Gray for Randwick on Saturday.
The rail is out 6m and the track is currently in the heavy range. Some improvement can be expected but the form has been done for a heavy track.
|Race 1 - 11:25AM ATC HERITAGE VOLUNTEERS HANDICAP (1200 METRES)|
1. Leviathan was brilliant winning on debut. There was some real quality about his closing speed with the Snowden-trained two-year-old clocking the quickest last 600m of the meeting (33.81s). It was a soft win too. We didn’t see the bottom of him. Punters Intelligence further highlights that despite the slow early speed, there was little between the overall times of his 1100m race and the two benchmark 70s run on the same day (won by Roman Typhoon and Terminology). The Zoustar gelding showed he has the ability to take up a spot and I’d expect to see him tucked in behind the leader 3. Switched having drawn barrier 2. Could even sit outside of that horse with Big Parade scratched. That sharp turn of acceleration will give him his chance to hold off the charge of the odds on pop, likely to be a pair behind him in the run, especially if it turns into a sit and sprint.
Dangers: That shortie is of course 2. Funstar. Nobody missed her debut. The Adelaide filly, a half-sister to Youngstar, towelled up her rivals in a Canterbury midweeker. Chris Waller wasn’t shy in voicing his big opinion of her either. In her favour there was the shape of the race, she stalked the speed and peeled out. It worked out perfectly. There is also a big knock on the depth from the race with Tawaret lapped at Canterbury subsequently, but in her defence she can only beat what’s there. The drop back from 1250m to 1200m isn’t ideal either but she swaps Canterbury for Randwick to counter that. Out to 1400m would be the natural progression. There is no denying her quality. The way she tore away from her rivals over the last 100m screamed class. Her action, efficiency of stride… it was all there. Just don’t want to take $1.55. 7. Irish Angel has good ability too. Don’t underestimate her.
How to play it: Leviathan WIN ($4.40 TAB Fixed Odds)
Is there a danger to Funstar on Saturday?
— Racing NSW (@racing_nsw) June 19, 2019
|Race 2 - 12:00PM TAB HIGHWAY HANDICAP (1200 METRES)|
4. I Am Kalani should be able to spear across from her draw to offset the gate. The market isn’t showing this mare the respect she deserves in this given her two runs back. She was a year on the sidelines so should only be getting to near her peak third up. At her first run back she had no luck at all. After box seating the runs never came and she went to the line under a hold to finish only 1.7L off the firm favourite in this 5. Irish Songs, an unlucky runner himself on that occasion. Trainer Nick Olive then threw the four-year-old into a BM78 and although she was well beaten by Gongs, she wasn’t disgraced in that grade, finishing alongside Call Me Royal, and looked to get through the heavy track well enough to recommend her back to Class 3 company.
Dangers: Irish Songs had his chance last start in another Highway but bumped into a couple of smart ones in Malea Magic and Mr Wong. He has to be in the finish again somewhere but is very well found in a typically even Highway Handicap. 3. I Am Captain should get the run of the race. He is a consistent type and the last time he saw a wet track he went close to chasing down She Knows. That was at his fourth run back and he strikes this first up, albeit with only a 12 week let up since failing at Mudgee. His two runs prior to that were good enough for this. 2. Another Sin plugged away from a long way back last start but is capable of better.
How to play it: I Am Kalani WIN ($17 TAB Fixed Odds)
I Am Kalani’s Highway luckless effort first up
|Race 3 - 12:35PM SCHWEPPES HANDICAP (2000 METRES)|
13. Belfast Bella was four weeks between runs when she stepped out at Randwick last start. She looked to just feel the pinch late but was never going to win given the way the race was controlled in front by Wolfe. He crawled in the lead before dashing home and was entitled to win in the manner in which he did. The start prior to that Belfast Bella had no luck at Hawkesbury, chopped out for a run before closing to run second beating 6. Raqeeq. We are yet to see this imported French mare on heavy ground but she was a soft track winner overseas. Happy to gamble that she’ll handle it and carrying just 50kg after the claim of Robbie Dolan, she’ll get every chance to scoot through the going. Just hoping that there is more speed in the race than what it looks like on paper. That’s the little knock on her being a backmarker.
Dangers: 1. Wu Gok has been flying up in Queensland. Loves the wet and should have enough residual fitness to counter the seven weeks between runs. The one thing that prevented 8. Primitivo being top selection was he is yet to prove he gets a strong 2000m. Everything he has done this campaign says he will and he has a great foundation to try again, but still want to see him do it. He was strong through the line behind Quackerjack last start. Kiwi three-year-old 4. Bobby Dee didn’t do much in the Grand Prix at Eagle Farm but back onto a wet track looks to suit. Raqeeq has claims again but he doesn’t win out of turn. Still a leading player in this. 5. High Power whacked away last start and looks to be wanting this staying trip already. Can also make a case for 11. Ilwendo after a good return over the mile first up.
How to play it: Belfast Bella WIN ($6.50 TAB Fixed Odds)
Belfast Bella last start behind Wolfe
|Race 4 - 1:10PM MOËT & CHANDON IMPÉRIAL WINTER DASH (1200 METRES)|
7. Sesar kicks off a new chapter under the care of Team Hawkes here (ex Steven O’Dea) and we know he’ll relish the conditions. The three-year-old was brilliant in winning the G2 Roman Consul Stakes first up back in October on a heavy track over the Randwick 1200m. He clocked a sharp 1:09.91s overall time which saw him start in the market for the G1 Coolmore Stud Stakes. Instead of being 14 weeks between runs like last campaign he is 31 weeks which is some query. Don’t be too put off by the manner in which he trialled at Rosehill in his only hitout. It was the fastest heat of the morning won by the speedy Tony Nicconi, hence why he looked to be left a touch flatfooted. Loved the way he picked up and ran through the line though. Just needs to stay in touch early given the likely frantic tempo to finish over the top. Tipping the reason he is back at this time of year is to cash in on the wet tracks. Has more upside than any of these.
Dangers: 3. I Thought So didn’t fire a shot first up at Randwick but he was 42 weeks on the sidelines. The five-year-old is better than that and gets conditions to suit again second up. It was too bad to be true and he might be worth another chance. Maps to be closer in the run, tagging a hot speed. He won this race last year. 2. Passage Of Time has won three of his last four and is such a bombproof sprinter after being gelded. They might have to ride him conservatively here with 1. Jungle Edge and 4. Cradle Mountain humming along. It’ll certainly be no picnic in front like last Saturday when Passage Of Time stacked his rivals up. On everybody’s favourite mudder Jungle Edge, he chalked up win number 16 at Sandown last Saturday. He is a warhorse and respect his wet track credentials but he looks too well found, as is the case with 9. Almanzora even though she has no weight on her back. 5. Boss Lane makes a habit of popping up at odds.
How to play it: Sesar WIN ($5 TAB Fixed Odds)
Sesar blowing his rivals away in the Roman Consul
|Race 5 - 1:50PM HYLAND EOFY SALE HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
There are a number of horses here that can improve sharply having found a wet track and one of those is 6. Pelethronius from the David Pfieffer yard. The six-year-old has been ticking over well enough in his two runs back, the latest of those behind Kapajack last Saturday, working to the line to miss in a three way go for third. His heavy track stats are pretty irresistible (5:4-0-1) and that third was a 0.4L defeat in Listed company behind With A Promise at Doomben. At his third run back last campaign he started hard in the market in the Goulburn Cup. He didn’t fire a shot on the firm track, however. He has met fellow duck 3. Conarchie on three occasions in the past and beat him home in all three, and giving away weight. Here he carries 1kg less. Just hasn’t won for 700 days!
Dangers: Conarchie has three duck eggs next to his name this preparation but that’s a touch unfair. First up he found a very sharp 1100m Hawkesbury Gold Rush before being chopped out of a run at Rosehill. Then last start he travelled wide the trip and packed up. He’ll be thereabouts if the track stays heavy. 5. No Doubt does enough to tease but simply doesn’t win. However, he gets the blinkers on for the first time and the right set up here to run well out to 1400m on a wet track. 1. Shazee Lee falls into a similar boat. The five-year-old was only beaten a length in a Group Three second up last time in. Pays the penalty with 59.5kg. 8. Charretera has claims but is too well found in early markets.
How to play it: Pelethronius WIN ($8.50 TAB Fixed Odds)
Pelethronius running fifth last Saturday
|Race 6 - 2:30PM MOËT & CHANDON GRAND DAY CELEBRATION HANDICAP (1200 METRES)|
Want to stick with 2. Terminology given how she returned on the Kensington track first up. The Waterhouse and Bott-trained galloper worked to sit outside of the leader with her massive 62kg impost but still found plenty in the straight to win comfortably. Punters Intelligence reveals her last 200m was the equal quickest of any runner (11.99s). This is a considerably deeper field than the one she met there but she comes out of the quality crop of three-year-old fillies having run in the G2 Light Fingers Stakes. It was a busy preparation for her having won the Magic Millions maiden prior to that on the Gold Coast. Before that she ran second to Military Zone in the Gosford Guineas. She is untried on heavy going and there will be pressure from inside and out in the run but she’s all guts.
Dangers: 3. Cath’s Village slips up from Victoria to take advantage of the wet track and Cranbpourne-based trainer Kevin Corstens has found a perfect race. The four-year-old certainly lost no admirers in trying to chase down Kings Brook at Flemington last start. 1. Miss Exfactor looked the winner at the 300m on a heavy Randwick track over 1200m last start but got the staggers late. The last 200m is again going to test her here. 8. Connemara ran past her late to grab second there. The four-year-old ran right up to her great trials but now has to string two together. 7. Notation was brave winning first up at Canterbury in a solid form race. Can only go forward off that, albeit a month between runs, but has plenty of scope.
How to play it: Terminology WIN ($2.60 TAB Fixed Odds)
Terminology winning on the Kensington track first up
|Race 7 - 3:10PM MOËT & CHANDON GRAND VINTAGE MILE (1600 METRES)|
Happy to conclude that 7. Napoleon Solo simply doesn’t stay, despite giving the impression he’d relish the extra trip. His 1900m effort at Canterbury when second favourite to Wolfe was plain before he didn’t finish off out to 2200m in the Grand Prix at Eagle Farm. That saw the Queensland Derby mission aborted. A month later here he is back to a BM78 and back over the mile. There looks to be an edge here in the market if we forgive him those two efforts. Go back to the first two runs of his campaign and he looks very appealing in thus. First up he hit the line over 1400m in a hot South Pacific Classic won by Fasika before finding the line behind Gem Song in a Group 3 in Queensland out to the mile. His one heavy track run he ran fifth but it was over 1100m behind Roheryn and he worked through the ground nicely. If anything, think the wet track plays into his hands and not against him.
Dangers: There was no better $80 pop on the day than 8. Our Winnie but that’s trimmed up considerably! It’s amazing that given her record is now six wins from 19 starts that it took her 10 runs to break her maiden! She won five on the bounce last campaign which saw her tested in town and she ran third to Savacool. Her second up effort this time back was an eye catcher behind Asterius. Punters Intelligence reveals her last 200m split of 11.73s was second to only the winner. That was in BM88 grade, here she is in a BM78 and a very open one at that. Sooner rather than later they’ll push the button on 13.Toryjoy and let her rip. She hasn’t had any luck at all this preparation. Two of 12. Sweet Victory’s three wins have been on the back up but she’s becoming costly to follow. 5. Monsieur Sisu had everything possible go his way last start and looks a false favourite.
How to play it: Napoleon Solo WIN ($9.50 TAB Fixed Odds) and Our Winnie EACH WAY ($26)
Napoleon Solo in the South Pacific over 1400m on a wet track
|Race 8 - 3:50PM MOËT & CHANDON ROSÉ SPRINT (1200 METRES)|
There was arrogance about the way 8. Jack’s Bar won at Warwick Farm last start. Back in third was subsequent winner Embracer. That made amends for the four-year-old’s luckless sixth the start prior to that. Kris Lees has this gelding in a very good spot at the moment and although he jumps back into Saturday grade, this is a winnable race for him. Where he settled last start, parked behind the leaders, albeit without cover, gives me the confidence that Aaron Bullock will be able to use in inside draw to be stalking the leaders again here. How the fence is playing come this race, we’ll have to keep an eye on but he’s unlikely to find himself buried away midfield so if he needs to get off the rail in the straight, that opportunity should present itself. Yet to see a heavy track but is two from two on soft ground.
Dangers: Very wary of 3. Echo Effect onto a wet track. Kristen Buchanan has the five-year-old settling in his races which is a feat in itself! Three back he hit the line sweetly at Doomben before he was no chance in G2 Moreton Cup given how slowly it was run in front. Last start he was disappointing but it was a Listed race behind Victorem. Can we trust him? At the odds, we probably can. 7. Inanup may have been fortunate to beat Jack’s Bar last start but it’s hard to knock that way he has returned. 1. Noble Joey was weak at the finish last start but was only beaten 3.6L by Deprive and prior to that he ran third to that same horse, beating home Albumin. Hard to catch though. Always respect 2. Viceroy fresh while 13. Epic Dan and Roman Typhoon go in the exotics.
How to play it: Jack’s Bar WIN ($4.20 TAB Fixed Odds)
"The was arrogance about the way this horse won last start."
— Racing NSW (@racing_nsw) June 21, 2019
|Race 9 - 4:25PM TAB.COM.AU HANDICAP (1000 METRES)|
There’ll be early fireworks in this but despite that, still backing 13. Spiritual Pursuit to prevail. Would have preferred her drawn out a touch wider as Kathy O’Hara is going to have to burn some early fuel to keep kicking up. Is this the day we see the Jason Coyle-trained filly be given the chance to take a sit? There is a lot of speed drawn wide with 5. Rare Episode, 6. Lion Couchant, 12. Invictus Salute and 8. Sei Stella all likely to make some sort of play for the front. Spiritual Pursuit looked the winner first up despite being wide throughout but ran out of carrots the last 100m. She’ll have to adapt back to the frantic tempo of an 1000m race (even though it doesn’t seem like much of an adjustment on paper from an 1100m assignment), but she handles the wet and that second to Baller last campaign is still jumping off the page.
Dangers: 9. November Man is in the form of his life at the moment. Could easily switch to his camp if by this time of the day, the race looks to be set up for him to sweep down the middle. His problem is he doesn’t get any further than 1000m. That was the case last start when he presented like the winner despite lumping 60.5kg, on a soft track. Of course we needn’t worry about that here back to his pet trip. Was a strong winner over the Randwick 1000m two back after catching the eye prior to that behind Brook Magic. Untried in heavy ground. Invictus Salute wasn’t far away from Spiritual Pursuit first up but had the fitness advantage. It’s hard to see her turning the tables but she’ll be thereabouts. 3. Tell Me is another that will appreciate dropping back to 1000m from four cracks at 1100m. This is a lovely race but it only a winning chance if the track gets upgraded.
How to play it: Spiritual Pursuit WIN ($2.10 TAB Fixed Odds)
Spiritual Pursuit was brave first up at Rosehill