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Neil Evans's Selections For Warwick Farm Races (Wednesday)

By Neil Evans

The track is a Soft 5 with the rail out 5m from the 1000m to the winning post and out 3m the remainder.

Race 1 (2:20pm) STUD & STABLE STAFF AWARDS HANDICAP (1400M)

Competitive and tricky opener for the three-year-old fillies. Improving 3. Shivani ($2.80 on TAB) was sound through the line after sitting in the breeze second-up at Newcastle. Can be ridden a little quieter here with winkers coming off.

Dangers: The debut run at Canterbury of 1. Comporta ($2.25 favourite) was solid enough and she should take natural improvement over more ground, although asked to carry 4kg more. Must include 6. Desert Flame ($5) who drops back in trip after two solid efforts at the provincials and draws to get a cushy run right behind the speed.

How to play it: Shivani to win and box trifecta 1,3,6
Odds and Evens: Odds

Race 2 (2:55pm) VINERY STUD HANDICAP (1400M)

Now the boys' edition over the same journey and keen on impressive gelding 1. Law Party ($2.40 equal fav) at his second start from a better draw. Only missed by a head hitting the line on debut after doing work from a wide gate and the step up in journey looks tailor-made.

Dangers: Similarly, 3. Vanderland ($2.40 eq fav) did it tough from the draw resuming but dug deep to find the line, going under by less than a half-length. Strong gelding who hasn't missed a place yet in four starts. Improving gelding 2. Cash Register ($7.50) has found the line okay in two runs on rain-affected ground and will appreciate the extra trip.

How to play it: Law Party to win
Odds and Evens: Odds

Race 3 (3:30pm) IMPENDING @ DARLEY HANDICAP (1000M)

Few chances in this sprint. Progressive three-year-old 7. Able Hill ($2.80 fav) put the writing on the wall resuming in a BM 64 at Wyong in his first run as gelding off a five-month break, leading all bar the last few strides. Should progress nicely here and rise in class more than off-set by a 3kg drop in weight.

Dangers: Tough five-year-old 3. Shadow Bridge ($9.50) crossed to lead from a wide draw second-up and stuck on bravely before being collared by Triple Ace who has been one of the form gallopers all spring winning four from five. Newcastle five-year-old 2. Calipari ($5.50) hasn't raced since last May but looks right up to the mark off a smart provincial trial win. Not sure how four-year-old mare 4. Brazenpine ($7) will back up from Saturday grade four days back, especially back in trip, but will get an economical run from the inside gate. Watch the betting on stablemate mare to top selection, 6. Rosina Kojonup ($3.90) who resumes off a quiet trial for only her second run in more than two years.

How to play it: Able Hill to win
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 4 (4:05pm) RANVET HANDICAP - HEAT OF THE RISING STAR (1400M)

Another competitive and fairly open Heat of the Rising Star Series for the older mares. Consistent four-year-old 6. Havin' Fun ($2.90 fav) is one of the better-weighted runners all meeting and can score a deserved win fifth-up. Kept finding the line in all four metro runs and will carry only 53.5kg after country-based jockey's full metro claim.

Dangers: Newcastle five-year-old 3. Constanzia ($3.20) is well above average and looks suitably placed third-up with a claim. Beat a good country BM 66 field first-up before working home late in a heat of the Provincial Summer Series behind Itz Lily who then won the Final. Should park just off midfield away from the fence. Resuming five-year-old 1. Guise ($6.50) is over the odds from a nice draw and with a 3kg claim off-setting the weight. Was competitive right through last prep in stronger metro grade over longer distances, and generally comes to hand early in the prep. Honest 4. Margie Bee ($4.60) rarely runs a bad one. Led all the way in dominant fashion in weaker provincial grade two runs back before not surprisingly over-run in that Summer Series Final. Prefers it dry and a little drop back in trip and carrying 55kg after the claim is significant.

How to play it: Havin' Fun to win and trifecta 1,3,6/1,3,4,6/1,3,4,6/1,3,4,6
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 5 (4:40pm) DRINKWISE MILE (1600M)

Plenty of chances in this one too over the mile headed by five-year-old staying type 1. Home Ground ($5) who can bounce back hard second-up down in grade from an ideal trailing draw. Resumed from a wide barrier in a much deeper metro race, yet still made up late ground and nothing will be hitting the line stronger.

Dangers: Newcastle mare 6. Azarmin ($4.80 fav) got under the market's guard at home sweeping late to win first-up and while this is stronger, she carries 4kg less and normally maintains second-up form. Trained on the course, 8. Galahad's Quest ($7.50) was very well backed fourth-up in that race won by Mubariz, but weakened after leading. Suspect he'll improve on drier ground with more fitness to call on, while four-year-old 3. Wairere Falls ($5) has been running on okay in and around this distance and draws to get a soft run.

How to play it: Home Ground each-way
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 6 (5:15pm) HYLAND RACE COLOURS HANDICAP (1400M)

Back a little in distance for the boys four-year-old and up in potentially the most open race of the day where it could well be easier nailing the exotics than the winner. That said, like the value of six-year-old 2. Casino Mondial ($5.50) getting back on to a much firmer surface. Was only fair resuming at the provincials but is a proven second-up performer.

Dangers: Talented gelding 1. Awesome Lad ($3.70 fav) has roared back this prep, winning two straight at the provincials from just off the speed and ready for the step-up to metro level. His chance hinges on whether he can slot in close enough from the outside gate. Punters might be near the end of their tether with four-year-old stallion 4. Darleb ($5) who has been running on without threatening. This is probably the weakest race he's contested in a while and draws to do no work on the inside. Goulburn six-year-old 5. Obelos ($9.50) is also fifth-up and capable of winning from off the speed after working home nicely all prep in deeper races. Expect 12. Bravio ($7) to be competitive stepping into metro company after three solid runs at provincial level. Draws to get cover just off the speed, and will carry only 51kg after the claim.

How to play it: Casino Mondial each-way and trifecta 1,2,4/1,2,4,5,12/1,2,4,5,12
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 7 (5:50pm) TAB HANDICAP (1200M)

Keen to round out the card aboard promising three-year-old 11. Vreneli ($3.10 fav) from a good draw as long as he steps away okay. The start was costly last time, but so much to like about his dominant debut win nearly four weeks back and the second horse has since bolted in her maiden.

Dangers: Progressive mare 9. Miss Sure Shot ($4.60) steps up from consecutive BM 64 provincial wins and carries her lightest weight in a long time after the claim, but taking on some better ones here from a tricky draw, while 10. Front Money ($3.90) can peak third-up at this trip after two solid efforts.

How to play it: Vreneli to win
Odds and Evens: Odds

BEST BETS
R2 1. LAW PARTY ($2.40 eq fav)
R7 11. VRENELI ($3.10 fav)

BEST VALUE
R5 1. HOME GROUND ($5)

View the final fields with full form & race replays for Warwick Farm here

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