By Ray Hickson
Tips and race by race preview by Ray Hickson for Wednesday’s Kensington meeting at Randwick. Selections based on a heavy track.
|Race 1 – 12:50PM HEADWATER @ VINERY HANDICAP (1150 METRES)|
4. Rotator has the form on the board and the wet track credentials to suggest this is her chance. Stepped away a shade slow at Rosehill last time and the winner dictated but she kept chasing. Her last 200m of 11.24 (Punter's Intelligence) was best of the race and she was a $1.65 favourite there. Good opportunity to atone.
Dangers: 3. Mandirigma looks very promising and his win on debut at Newcastle had plenty of merit after he was also slowly out. He only had 900m to reel them in and he was dominant on the line. Has all the upside and should measure up. Read trainer Kris Lees' comments here. 1. Roman Wolf was never a chance in the same race as Rotator after getting back to last and trying to chase them down out wide. Ran on but the better form reference is his unlucky fourth to Catwalk on a heavy on June 8. Keep safe. 6. Royal Marine has trialled nicely enough on wet tracks on two occasions this month and any market support for him would be significant. He’ll have to be pretty smart or a real wet tracker though.
How to play it: Rotator WIN ($2.15 TAB Fixed Odds).
Rotator runs second at Rosehill on June 15
|Race 2 - 1:25PM AUSTRALIAN TURF CLUB PLATE (1150 METRES)|
4. Splendid Surprise trialled nicely at Rosehill against a blinkerless Sesar then went to Hawkesbury and won a trial there from on the pace. On his trials he should handle the conditions okay. No surprise to see him run a very cheeky race.
Dangers: 3. Olorin is a well bred gelding from the Godolphin camp with just the one trial under his belt on a soft 7. He bumped into a horse that has since won in that trial and has struck a race that’s there for the taking. Hard to beat. 1. Covert Operation ran on from well back in his latest trial, and first since April, at Kembla on a soft track. Worth keeping in mind. 8. Skyann was beaten 20 lengths by Funstar first-up at Canterbury but went back to the trials and looked much better winning easily on a heavy track. Blinkers go on and while it’d be a form reversal she will certainly improve.
How to play it: Splendid Surprise WIN ($5.50 TAB Fixed Odds).
Splendid Surprise’s first trial at Rosehill on June 16
|Race 3 – 2.00PM BRADLEY PHOTOGRAPHERS HANDICAP (1300 METRES)|
6. Stella Sea Sun is yet to miss a place in seven starts and while she was beaten into second on this track last start it was a good effort in a strangely run race. Lands just off the speed here, on breeding should handle a heavy track and is the one to beat.
Dangers: 4. Watchdog comes through the same race where he finished third. Appeared to have his chance there but is a consistent performer who will race in the first four and coming back to 1300m is probably in his favour too. Entitled to feature. 2. Cyber Intervention will likely be the strongest late given his best form is at a mile and further but he did enough in his trial to say he’s come back well and a wet track won’t worry him. Wouldn’t shock if he bloused them. 3. Randiki has the best wet track credentials in the race and wasn’t disgraced when resuming at Warwick Farm a month ago. Could find himself in the placings.
How to play it: Stella Sea Sun WIN ($2.25 TAB Fixed Odds).
Stella Sea Sun runs second at Kensington on June 10
|Race 4 – 2.35PM HYLAND’S EOFY SALE HANDICAP (2400 METRES)|
1. Not A Single Cent didn’t disgrace himself in the Queensland Derby finishing sixth after settling near the tail. Hasn’t seen a heavy track as yet and has 61kg to lump but hasn’t struck an easier race than this in a while.
Dangers: 9. No Money No Honey weaved through the field from midfield on the fence and kept coming to run second on a heavy track at Sandown and is an interesting runner here. Not sure where she gets to from the wide alley but at peak and can measure up. 8. Kaapfever may be a risk at a tough 2400m but his form behind Loveisili is pretty good with placings on a soft 6 at his last two. Stays down in the weights with the claim and if it isn’t a hard staying test he’ll be in the finish somewhere. 12. Shangani Patrol has now had four runs back and should be ready for this trip again. Excuses last time when he settled handy but was shuffled out the back before running on again late. Might get some control here and can improve.
How to play it: Not A Single Cent E/W ($4.00 TAB Fixed Odds).
Not A Single Cent runs sixth in the Queensland Derby on June 8
|Race 5 – 3.10PM ASTERN @ DARLEY HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
5. Unguarded has a tendency to get back and run on too late which always makes her eye-catching. Thought she had her chance behind Seles at Warwick Farm but a heavy track and the scratchings change things and she has her chance.
Dangers: 2. I’m Pretty Strong is a huge query, a former American mare first-up with two quiet trials under the belt. The latest was in the heat won by Haut Brion Her. Market will tell you plenty. 8. High Low Bet was about a length and a half behind Unguarded at Warwick Farm last time but will be fitter for the one run back. She’s fine on a wet track and will be running on as usual. 10. One Fire Beach battled on fairly in the Seles race at the Farm but has a heavy track placing to her name and in the small field has to be considered.
How to play it: Unguarded WIN ($2.20 TAB Fixed Odds).
Unguarded runs third at Warwick Farm on June 12
|Race 6 – 3.45PM ANZ BLOODSTOCK NEWS HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
1. Echo Gem looks to find the lead without too much trouble and that’s crucial to her chances with the 61kg. Controlled and won as she liked two starts back then run down late at Canterbury last week. Backing up is a good sign and she will take running down.
Dangers: 8. Sensacova chased Echo Gem home first-up from a spell three weeks ago and the wetter track is a plus for her. Extra distance helps and has a couple of kilos weight advantage so don’t be surprised if she’s hitting the line well again. 3. Seles came from last to post a narrow second-up win at Warwick Farm and can only be expected to hold her form. Has a heavy track placing to her name and if they overdo it up front she’ll be strong late again. 6. Southern Romance failed on a heavy track last preparation but has returned with two good efforts the latest a soft 6 win at this track. Can't be overlooked.
How to play it: Echo Gem WIN ($2.80 TAB Fixed Odds).
Echo Gem runs second at Canterbury on June 19
|Race 7 - 4:20PM TAB.COM.AU HANDICAP (1550 METRES)|
Tough race. 8. Breakdance looks an improver on a solid first-up effort at this track a couple of weeks back. Drew wide and went back to last but worked home as though he wants a bit more ground. Has that here plus a wet track and a nice draw so it sets up for him to be running well.
Dangers: 7. The Party Girl was the winner of that race on June 10 where she came with a sweeping run down the outside in an impressive performance. Likely to get back again and no surprise if she repeats the dose. 5. Lady Of Shalott gets back and runs on but just finds them a bit hard to win at times doing that. Placed her past two in those circumstances. Her wet track form is inconclusive as she’s contested Group races at her past couple of soft 7 attempts. Can’t be overlooked but may be under the odds. 1. Dalmatia Prince has drawn out but he’s a handy wet tracker who has been chasing home Kapajack in his two runs back from a spell. First-up he definitely should have finished closer. Has to be included in the multiples at least.
How to play it: Breakdance E/W ($8.50 TAB Fixed Odds).
Breakdance runs fifth behind The Party Girl at Kensington on June 10