By Ray Hickson
Tips and race by race preview by Ray Hickson for Monday’s Kensington meeting at Randwick. Selections based on a good track.
|Race 1 – 1:05PM EASTER MONDAY HANDICAP (1000 METRES)|
1. Czarson has some very appealing form behind him having beaten the Golden Slipper and Magic Millions winners in his two wins. Not disgraced fourth in the Millions at his last run and looked strong late in his Newcastle trial. The horse to beat. Read co-trainer Adrian Bott's comments here.
Dangers: 6. Moreno showed speed two trials ago when narrowly beaten then given an easy one off the pace five weeks between trials. Drawn the inside and while there’s some stoutness to his pedigree he could sprint well on debut. 7. Somervell is trialling quite nicely and drawn well. Latest trial bumped into one that showed promise in the spring. Keep in mind. 8. Splintex is a half-brother to Invictus Salute and he’s also looked good in his recent trials. Not pressed in the latest and he bears close watching.
How to play it: Czarson WIN ($2.40 TAB Fixed Odds).
Czarson wins his trial at Newcastle on April 5
|Race 2 - 1:40PM ALL TOO HARD @ VINERY HANDICAP (1550 METRES)|
1. Agassi chased home Green Aeon on a heavy track then led them up in the Carbine Club and fought on so well to be beaten a length. Has the 62kg but it’s only a 56.5kg limit so he’s not too badly in. If he gets the control it appears he will then he'll take beating.
Dangers: 6. Ritmico ran a much improved race second-up behind Julkkis and while the filly has more scope for improvement he’s in the mix if he can repeat the effort. 10. Savigne had her chance first-up on this track but the two fillies who beat her home are very smart and the runner-up has won since. She’s threatened to win a race in her five starts so far and can’t be overlooked. 2. Smiling City didn't handle the class rise at Caulfield last start but this is much more his grade. Likely improver.
How to play it: Agassi WIN ($2.80 TAB Fixed Odds).
Agassi runs fifth in the Carbine Club Stakes at Randwick on April 6
|Race 3 – 2.20PM THE AGENCY REAL ESTATE HANDICAP (1150 METRES)|
1. Fox Swift blew the start by seven lengths last time we saw her in Saturday company and was slowly away also first-up so the stable pulled up stumps and started again. Her trials this time in have been solid and she’s jumped with them. Impressive winner here back in October first-up and if she's on her best behaviour she’s hard to beat. Read trainer John O'Shea's comments here.
Dangers: 10. Moccasin Miss doesn’t win out of turn but she was excellent first-up at Wyong behind Trumbull, who is on the up, and her last run here was a close second in October. Second-up record is a worry but otherwise a top chance. 6. Colombina had proven quite costly with a couple defeats as favourite before she defied a betting drift and arrived in time to win in a similar race earlier this month. Seems one dimensional so relies on the speed but has to be considered. Stablemate 7. Medovina was a close fourth in the same race as Moccasin Miss back in October at her last first-up attempt. Form after that run was ordinary and a quiet trial is inconclusive. Good enough to win if right so keep an eye on the betting.
How to play it: Fox Swift E/W ($8.00 TAB Fixed Odds).
Fox Swift runs fifth in a Randwick trial on April 15
|Race 4 – 3.00PM HARRY ANGEL NEW TO DARLEY HANDICAP (1300 METRES)|
D-Day for 9. Kolding who returns as a gelding after proving very costly in three runs after a first-up win last time. Luckless two starts back, to be fair, then every chance behind Sondelon at Rosehill in February. Trial was sound and he’s entitled to round them up.
Dangers: 4. Watchdog enjoyed a consistent campaign in the spring and might just have had enough when he put in a rare bad one at Rosehill in November. Nice quiet trial, drawn soft and he should produce something fresh. 5. C’est Davinchi took a couple of runs to win one last time in but he put two together then struck a heavy track to blot his form. Solid back onto a good track before a break. Hit the line well in his trial and he’ll improve on whatever he does here but a win wouldn’t shock. 6. Bella Success doesn’t win as often as she threatens to but she does perform fresh and she’s generally not too far away. Each-way chance but if things pan out for her she’s also capable of surprising.
How to play it: Kolding WIN ($2.00 TAB Fixed Odds).
Kolding runs third in a Rosehill trial on April 8
|Race 5 – 3.40PM MENDELSSOHN HANDICAP (1800 METRES)|
5. Mangione had a perfect run at Gosford and looked the winner a long way from home as he sailed past the leaders in the straight. Up in weight staying in similar grade and if he can repeat the effort he’ll go close.
Dangers: 3. Subban is big odds considering he’s won two of his last three in good style and the form through his latest win stood up with the runner-up winning at Hawkesbury during the week. 2. Californiafirebird has been around the mark without winning and comes off a month’s break since a fair run on a heavy track. Blinkers go on and drawn well. Each-way. 4. King’s Peak has been racing well on wet tracks and arrived in time to dead heat at Kembla last start. Up and comer drawn well and no surprise to see him feature in the finish.
How to play it: Mangione WIN ($1.90 TAB Fixed Odds).
Mangione wins at Gosford on April 10
|Race 6 - 4:20PM ANZ BLOODSTOCK NEWS HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
5. Bring The Magic was unwanted in betting first-up at Gosford but found the line like a coming winner into fourth behind Kylease who looks smart. She has threatened but 1400m around here suits and from barrier one you’d imagine she won’t be so far off them. Good chance.
Dangers: 10. Pop Girl is a filly with promise coming off a break since toweling up her rivals in a maiden in February, the runner-up has won since. Nice trial coming in and she should be thereabouts. 2. Rapture Miss is a smart middle distance mare resuming and while the trip is short of her best you had to like the way she found the line in her Moruya trial. She’ll get back but it’d surprise if she’s not charging home. 6. D’Oro Rain was too good on a heavy track at Gosford second-up. Two other wins were in the country so it’ll be interesting to see how she measures up. 3. Waruna finished midfield in the Provincial Championships Qualifier at Wyong first-up. Fitter and a good track suits so don’t leave her out.
How to play it: Bring The Magic E/W ($5.00 TAB Fixed Odds).
Bring The Magic’s first-up fourth at Gosford on April 10
|Race 7 - 5:00PM TAB.COM.AU HANDICAP (1550 METRES)|
5. Julian Rock was huge at his Australian debut at Warwick Farm over 1400m on a soft track and has blinkers on for this task. No harder here, a gap between runs is no issue, extra trip a plus and has a 2kg claim. If he runs up to that fresh effort he can win.
Dangers: 10. Bocelli went too well in the Country Championships Qualifier to sack him on his failure in the Final. Lightly raced and a good track will be a plus. Each-way claims at least. 2. Be Mindful has won his last three on good tracks so if you overlook his heavy track failure you could say he’s a progressive type who has earned a shot at this level. Looks capable of figuring. 11. Nobu is back from a New Zealand Derby campaign where he was safely held. The trip is a touch short but the race has fallen away a bit so he's worth keeping in mind.
How to play it: Julian Rock WIN ($2.30 TAB Fixed Odds).
Julian Rock’s eye-catching third at Warwick Farm on March 13