By Brad Gray
Tips and race by race preview by Brad Gray for Randwick’s Kensington meeting on Saturday.
The rail is in the True and the track currently in the Good 4 range, with some showers forecast for Friday.
|Race 1 - 11:40AM #THERACES HANDICAP (1000 METRES)|
3. Aeecee Beau made plenty of improvement from his first to his second trial for training partnership Gai Waterhouse and Adrian Bott. In that latest trial win at Randwick the Rubick two-year-old tracked the speed before sprinting clear, showing he has acceleration in his armoury. What was most impressive though, was his strength through the line. Sam Clipperton sticks with the horse having steered him around in that hit out. Drawn the middle looks ideal as he hasn’t shown brilliant early speed to date so doubt he’ll be able to lead a couple of the speedier youngsters engaged. It’s not an easy race to tackle with half the field unraced but at the double figure odds, happy to gamble on Aeecee Beau being above average.
Dangers: 2. Spaceboy ran second to Tassort, albeit by 5.3L on debut, before finishing third to Unite And Conquer and Exhilarates at Wyong. Looks to have strengthened up over his break, going off two strong trials. Reports are that he is flying. This is the race he needs to stand up in. 1. Covert Ops is suited back to 1000m, the distance he ran second in the Breeders’ over on debut. Conversely, the query for 10. Badia is back to 1000m. She's likely to settle out the back too. 13. Jay Curve is good roughie off a couple of hidden trials.
How to play it: Aeecee Beau EACH WAY ($10 TAB Fixed Odds)
Aeecee Beau trialling at Randwick – April 15
|Race 2 - 12:15PM EVENTS BY ATC HANDICAP (1000 METRES)|
Take out 7. Exceltic’s runs at 1200m or further and it’s a pretty handy record. We now know that the three-year-old is a short course sprinter. Like how this race sets up for him fresh and with 4.5kg less than his more fancied rivals at the top of the weights. They’ll run along and if he stay in touch in the early stages no horse will be hitting the line harder. He knocked off his maiden at Gosford first up last preparation before running on strongly behind Star Fall over 1000m at Randwick with Punters Intelligence revealing last 600m of 33.06s, comfortably the quickest in the race. He is a backmarker so will need the breaks to fall his way however for taking the gamble, we’re being rewarded with double figure odds. No trial into this, as was the case when he won first up last campaign, so he’ll be jumping out of his skin.
Dangers: 1. Heart Conquered is the current Kensington 1000m track record holder having broken it the last time we saw him at the races. He is a horse we know can do it at both ends. However, the handicapper has well and truly caught up with him now. He looks a touch vulnerable here at the short price being first up and with a jockey on board that hasn’t ridden him before. Heart Conquered is a very fast horse but 3. Golden Tycoon won’t hand up without a fight. Back from 1400m and with three runs under his belt, he’ll want to lead and run along. Throw 5. Brook Magic and 6. Mossman George into the speed battle too. 4. Revenire profiles well fresh (4:2-2-0) and on a good track.
How to play it: Exceltic WIN ($9.50 TAB Fixed Odds)
Exceltic running second to Star Fall over 1000m last prep
|Race 3 - 12:50PM TAB HIGHWAY CLASS 3 HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
4. Art Of Dance wasn’t disgraced in a BM70 at Warwick Farm last time out, beaten 2.1L by High Shine. She worked to sit outside of Perfect Pitch early but never crossed so wasn’t able to ever really find her feet. There was merit in her finishing as close as she did, especially with the 58kg on her back. She comes back to Highway company here and after Sam Weatherley’s claim, gets in nicely with 54.5kg. The lightly-raced six-year-old should be able to slide across from the outside draw. She might be a touch suss running a strong 1400m but the race doesn’t look to be stacked with speed. Her only failures in the past have been on wet tracks. She is a handy mare also boasting a 3.9L defeat to Missile Coda (with Irithea second) and a 1.75L third to Cuba. At the odds, willing to gamble that she gets control.
Dangers: 2. We Concur fits the profile of a lightly-raced horse from the Matt Dunn stable and we know how dangerous they are in Highways. This three-year-old is versatile enough to settle anywhere but expect him to be in the first four from the inside draw. Has won three from six and has the scope to continue improving. 1. Al Mah Haha was brave at Randwick last start given the big weight, seven weeks between runs and wide run throughout. He can only improve off that and Tash Burleigh has elected to claim this time. Throw 11. Laughing Or Crying into your multiples. Will get back but be hitting the line with just 50kg on his back.
How to play it: Art Of Dance WIN ($9 TAB Fixed Odds) and SAVE We Concur ($3.10)
Art Of Dance at Warwick Farm last start
|Race 4 - 1:25PM ATC HERITAGE CENTRE TOURS HANDICAP (1800 METRES)|
Banking on 1. Sondelon running to a pattern. After trialling so strongly prior to commencing this campaign it took the four-year-old two runs to build a fitness base. It was only then, third up, he was able to crush his rivals, which included Supernova, from the front. He then had four weeks off before being sent to Muswellbrook for the Cup. He didn’t like being in behind runners nor the wet track. He then faded late to finish fourth over the Warwick Farm mile. With those two runs under his belt expect Adam Hyeronimus, who rode him the last time he won, to take no prisoners out to 1800m. It’s the Lonhro gelding’s first crack behind 1600m but he has always given the impression he’d be at his best out to 2000m. Tipping Hyeronimus will be keen to apply the blowtorch early to some of the more fancied three-year-olds engaged to see what they are really made of.
Dangers: 7. Fun Fact hasn’t had any luck in his last two runs. In the G2 Carbine he was trapped wide while last start in the G3 Frank Packer he was chopped out. He’s a big chance in this. 13. Duchess Of Lennox has found a home with Chris Waller after two brilliant wins at Scone, albeit in a maiden and Class 1, for former trainer Stephen Jones. She is a three-year-old filly still learning her craft but with enormous scope. Very wary of her here. 4. Ombudsman is likely to find the trip still a touch short and might still be a run away but he’s trending to be in the money somewhere now third up.
How to play it: Sondelon EACH WAY ($7.50 TAB Fixed Odds)
Sondelon winning third up at Rosehill in February
|Race 5 - 2:05PM TAB REWARDS HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
The Hawkes-trained 9. Kapajack makes his return here after making a huge impression on debut back in December over 1100m at Rosehill in a BM78. That day he beat Mister Songman and Easy Eddie, two horses that have really gone on with it since. There was substance to the win on the clock too, with Punters Intelligence revealing a last 600m of 33.05s and a last 200m of 11.05s, the quickest across the entire meeting. The overall time was faster than the Listed Starlight Stakes on the same day, won by Invincible Star. He had two runs after that but the soft track second up and then quick back up a week later were the excuses offered. It was a rushed campaign to qualify him for the Magic Millions. Happy to forget those two efforts. The speed on here will suit. He’ll work through grades at this time of year.
Dangers: 4. Miss Exfactor resumes here for Joe Pride (ex Tony Gollan) and like what we’ve seen from her in two trials. The last time we saw her at the races she was pressured in front at Doomben to finish fourth behind Winter Bride. Should be able to box seat. Goes even better on wet ground but she still poses the biggest threat to Kapajack. 1. Catesby won first up last campaign (for Godolphin) and rarely runs poorly. The four-year-old’s Gosford trial suggests he has returned in great order again. Don’t underestimate him. 7. Super Ex won three of his first four starts but injuries have curtailed his career since then. Likely to need the run first up.
How to play it: Kapajack WIN ($2.50 TAB Fixed Odds)
— Racing NSW (@racing_nsw) May 2, 2019
|Race 6 - 2:45PM KENSINGTON HANDICAP (1300 METRES)|
12. Echo Gem will give these something to catch with 53.5kg on her back and a run under her belt. The Gai Waterhouse and Adrian Bott-trained filly was beaten at Wyong first up but she was forced to sit outside of the leader, unable to control the race, only to be collared in the last 100m. Add into the mix that it was lumping 61kg and eight months between runs. Her jockey here James Innes Jnr should be able to roll across from the wide draw and take up the running second up. She improved sharply second up in her first campaign to win comfortably at Canterbury before backing that up with a second to Osorno at Warwick Farm. Like how this race sets up for here.
Dangers: 10. She’s Furline drops back from the G3 James Carr last start with the jockey reporting that she didn’t see out the 1400m. To 1300m looks okay. Has won on the Kenso before. 3. Strome was slow out again first up at Gosford but rounded up her rivals impressively. She possesses a big finish but could be looking for a touch further now. 2. Shokora lines up for Hayes and Dabernig and was only two lengths off Tulip first up at Caulfield last time in. She did more than enough in her trials to suggest she is ready to go. 13. Red Chandelier is in with a shout too.
How to play it: Echo Gem WIN ($5 TAB Fixed Odds)
Echo Gem first up at Kembla Grange
|Race 7 - 3:25PM TAB.COM.AU HANDICAP (1250 METRES)|
11. Murillo is worth another chance here at the odds on offer. The import, with Peter and Paul Snowden, was heavily backed on his Australian debut to start equal favourite (it was $5 the field) but never saw daylight at any stage. That looks the right form reference for this race. He just couldn’t go the early speed and found himself behind a wall of runners. It’s a smaller field here, which can only help. Prior to that the four-year-old had trialled well at Randwick, running along in front before finding at the finish to win well. The former Aidan O’Brien-trained sprinter is already a two-time Group Two placegetter. We didn’t see enough of what was under the hood first up to be charging in but given he is double figures odds off a run we can put the pen through, it’s worth speculating that the money was right.
Dangers: 3. Passage Of Time was another luckless runner in that same race. He protested unsuccessfully against the winner 2. Top Striker. Passage Of Time resumed a gelding there and despite his second up record (4:0-1-0) not being as appealing as his first up record, on paper (5:2-2-0), there is more to it than meets the eye. He has finished fourth in three of his second up runs and two of them were behind Osborne Bulls. Like him kept to the sprint trips. Only knock is the odds. Don’t want to overlook the obvious here either as Top Striker is flying. 7. Problem Solver was wide the trip again in that same race, having also been well supported, and knocked up late as she was entitled to do.
How to play it: Murillo EACH WAY ($8.50 TAB Fixed Odds)
Murillo’s luckless Australian debut
D’Bai’s last start Group Two win in Dubai for those that haven’t seen it
|Race 8 - 4:05PM MAY HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
4. Man From Uncle was chopped out badly when having his first start for Claire Cunningham at Randwick but we saw just enough to suggest that the Warwick Farm-based trainer has the Group Two winner firing again. After winning three of his first five starts under Anthony Cummings, two of them Group races, he was transferred to Darren Weir but was a shadow of his former self often refusing to load into the barriers. Cunningham was an astute choice for the five-year-old rogue and with TLC looks to have already curbed his bad habits. Out to 1400m suits now second up and hoping that Plan A for jockey Chad Lever is to be positive as there doesn’t look to be a great deal of speed engaged. There’s no denying he has the talent to win.
Dangers: That speed is likely to come from 14. Something Fast and 6. Turnberry but found it hard to make a solid case for either with Something Fast up in grade and Turnberry probably looking for the mile now. 8. Star Of The Seas should be able to use the inside draw to be handy. He was wide the trip in a deeper race than this last start and boxed on bravely. The four-year-old has been up for a long time now but has never raced better. There’s a case that 12. Spring Charlie should have won the Provincial Championships Final having been held up momentarily. Does he spear across from the wide draw to be on speed like we saw from his first up? Just needs to jump cleanly. The same can be said for 11. Renewal.
How to play it: Man From Uncle EACH WAY ($8.50 TAB Fixed Odds)
Man From Uncle got chopped out first up
|Race 9 - 4:45PM AUSTRALIAN TURF CLUB HANDICAP (1550 METRES)|
10. Agassi was outstanding winning this track and trip last time out. The three-year-old was attacked in front, running along at a good clip but still found at the finish. Punters Intelligence reveals his last 200m was comfortably the quickest in the race (12s flat) despite working so hard throughout. That was a benchmark 64 against his own age and here he is against the older horses but on that same day as his last start win there was BM70 won by 9. Pelorus Jack over 1550m and Agassi’s win was more than 10 lengths quicker! Prior to that he was only three lengths off Green Aeon and then a length off Ringerdingding in the G3 Carbine over The Championships. Reasoning that his big spike was courtesy of getting back onto a good track. We can expect some regression but if he runs anywhere near that here, he should be winning.
Dangers: 6. Fuchu settled a long last in the Provincial Championships Final but rattled to the line. The blinkers go on and can certainly see him turning the tables on 2. Bobbing. Meets him 3.5kg better at the weights too. Both look suited out to the mile now. 4. Mushaireb dashed quickly to win at Warwick Farm first up. This is harder but we don’t know the ceiling of this lightly-raced yet. Tactics will be interesting from the wide draw. Might force Glyn Schofield to roll forward. The toppie 1. Live And Free did more than enough first up but is anchored by a big weight here. Next time for him.
How to play it: Agassi WIN ($2.50 TAB Fixed Odds)
— Racing NSW (@racing_nsw) May 2, 2019