Tips by Brad Gray
Tips and insights for Wednesday’s Warwick Farm meeting. There are winners to be found for seven races!
The track is in the soft range.
|Race 1 - 12:35PM ALL TOO HARD@VINERY PLATE (1400 METRES)|
Noviero gave plenty of cheek on debut at Canterbury over 1100m and it took a good one in Star Galaxy to run him down. Star Galaxy has since run third on a Saturday behind Lipizzan. Noviero will have to roll across from the wide draw to take up the running but this son of Pierro shouldn’t have too much trouble finding the front again. On the way he was running through the line on debut, the 1400m looks ideal now. Clearly the one to beat in a race without too many genuine winning hopes.
Danger: Mawzoona maps to a charmed run in behind Noviero and with the Snowden polish, has to be respected. Stone will be improved from his debut but will nee to be to turn the tables on Noviero. Animalia is desperate for 1400m and even further after his return at Warwick Farm but he’ll be giving a big start.
How to play it: Noviero WIN ($2.70 TAB Fixed Odds)
Noviero’s game second on debut
|Race 2 - 1:10PM TAB.COM.AU HANDICAP (1300 METRES)|
Special Missile has put in two courageous efforts this preparation. First-up at Kembla Grange he was posed wide the trip but still kept finding to only be beaten 0.6L by El Venetian. He then tackled a bottomless Wyong track and despite going down as race favourite he lost no admirers. On a dry track he’d likely to have started deep into the red and won going away. Like the 20 days between runs to ensure he is over that testing run. Depending on what Hugh Bowman does on Tivoli Street he might even be able to take up the running.
Danger: Tivoli Street is a tease but he gets all the favours from the inside draw, keeps Hugh Bowman and looks set to peak third-up. Obvious danger. Star Of Monsoon is a very frustrating animal but he’ll knock one of these off one day. Dahooil probably wants a touch further but she’s one to watch second-up.
How to play it: Special Missile WIN ($6 TAB Fixed Odds)
Special Missile first-up when posted the trip
|Race 3 - 1:50PM HYLAND EOFY SALE HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
Tennessee Hussy tried hard at Randwick last start but found the class rise a touch too steep while doubt she loved the very heavy conditions. She was beaten near five lengths by Heavenly Anna but was only 1.4L off Dagny and 0.9L off subsequent city winner Yuma Desert. There are certainly no rivals of that quality in this field. Prior to that she took the scalps of Just Dreaming and Calypso Bay. She has been up forever but on her home deck of Warwick Farm, expect her to be right there in the finish with Brenton Avdulla in the saddle.
Danger: Seventhchic has raced in restricted room her past couple and looks ready to fire now fourth-up. Suspect Hugh Bowman will be positive from the wide draw which bodes well for her chances.
How to play it: Tennessee Hussy EACH WAY ($7 TAB Fixed Odds)
Rhymes impressing at Newcastle first-up
|Race 4 - 2:25PM RANVET SALKAVITE HANDICAP (1600 METRES)|
Hittite is a pretty handy filly. She was runner up at Canterbury last start missing by a bob of the heads. She has always given the impression she’d relish the mile. This daughter of Redoute’s Choice, who started her career with Chris Waller then went to James Cummings and is now back with Waller, has drawn very awkwardly but has the services of Hugh Bowman so hopefully he can find cover three-wide to track into the race. Note that Bowman gets off Jaunty to ride Hittite…
Danger: Don’t think Sebrarian’s win was a fluke first-up after turning around some very ordinary form last campaign. He’ll be hard to catch again and the market hasn’t yet shown him enough respect. Jaunty is cherry ripe third-up but happy to play the aforementioned duo at the odds on offer.
How to play it: Hittite WIN ($9 TAB Fixed Odds) and Sebrarian WIN ($12)
Hittite’s narrow miss last start
|Race 5 - 3:05PM ROBRICK LODGE HANDICAP (2200 METRES)|
Roman Son is a very different horse to the one we saw in his first preparation! He has won impressively both times in this campaign and deserves his shot at the midweeks now. First-up this son of Roman Emperor proved too strong at Kembla over 1400m before winning eased down at Newcastle despite a sharp 450m rise in trip straight out to 1850m. This three-year-old is still largely untapped unlike the majority of his rivals.
Danger: Napoleon doesn't win out of turn but he is a hard, seasoned stayer with plenty of miles under his belt. Sometimes that's enough to win these midweek staying races.
How to play it: Roman Son WIN ($2.50 TAB Fixed Odds)
Roman Son trotting in at Newcastle
|Race 6 - 3:40PM BOWERMANS OFFICE FURNITURE MILE (1600 METRES)|
El Venetian is deep into his campaign which should see flying apprentice Rachel King adopt ‘catch me if you can’ tactics. He has had two runs at the mile now and although he hasn’t finished far away from the winner, it’s obvious that he doesn’t have the turn of foot many of his rivals possess. That means King will have be at her best to roll along before pinching a break. It’s a very winnable race for him.
Danger: Calypso Bay was visually brilliant winning at Canterbury in very heavy conditions the last time we saw him. Has been given three weeks between runs to get over that and appears here in the best form of his short career. Must be respected.
How to play it: El Venetian WIN ($4.60 TAB Fixed Odds)
El Venetian last start – he is close to another win
|Race 7 - 4:20PM TAB HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
Cosmic Engine resumed a gelding at Newcastle and much to the chagrin of most punters, took the scalp of the talented Suncraze who, with race fitness on his side, was left with no excuses. Inclined to take the win at face value and suggest that Cosmic Engine can go right on with the job now. This son of More Than Ready has always had the talent but him being two stone lighter looks to have ironed out those racking kinks. With likely leader Lucky Fish's connections have advised that they want to lead while Legistation and Bastia will be there to keep him honest ensuring the pace is genuine enough for Cosmic Engine to get his chance.
Danger: Biggest danger is bad luck! Found it hard to land on an obvious threat. Bastia didn't stay the trip when tested over 1850m the last time we saw him. Has been freshened since to tackle 1400m.
How to play it: Cosmic Engine WIN ($4.60 TAB Fixed Odds)
Cosmic Engine’s first-up win at Newcastle