By Ray Hickson
Tips and race by race preview by Ray Hickson for Wednesday’s meeting at Warwick Farm. Selections based on a good track.
|Race 1 – 2:00PM HEADWATER @ VINERY HANDICAP (1000 METRES)|
3. Kateru is an interesting Godolphin debutant whose two trials without blinkers have been promising and he arrives here with the shades on. Both 800m trials so he’ll be sharp and looks the type to sit back in a race that could be run fast enough for him to have his chance to run them down.
Dangers: 4. Just Field won well on debut then far from disgraced tracking wide behind Libertini at Scone. Thought her first trial was better than the second though both in good quality heats. Should run well. 7. Sulking debuted with an easy win at Toowoomba back in July for Kevin Kemp then changed stables to Team Hawkes. Just the one public trial and she chased Petronius without a lot of pressure put on her. Keep very safe. 5. Fituese led all the way at a short price on debut then beaten favourite at Kembla where it’s fair to say she was disappointing though she was cut out of a run or two in the straight. Could easily improve.
How to play it: Kateru WIN ($6.00 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
Kateru runs third in a Warwick Farm trial on November 6
|Race 2 - 2:35PM VALE MR BILL WATERHOUSE HANDICAP (2110 METRES)|
6. Loveseat is going to start a short priced favourite on the back up from an easy win at Rosehill last week. Small negative coming back in trip again but small field suits and she has a turn of foot. Hard to beat.
Dangers: 3. Californiafirebird had a bit of a non-winner reputation prior to getting the job done in the last stride at Canterbury over 1900m. Placed at this sort of trip prior and is a consistent type who is the probable leader. Can give a sight. 1. Guise showed some improvement second-up at 1550m and was just starting to get warm at that point. The trip is right up her alley, if she finds her best form she is a contender. 2. Baanone battled on okay at 1800m in Saturday company last start. Bred to be able to handle a middle distance so comes into calculations.
How to play it: Loveseat WIN ($2.00 TAB Fixed Odds); Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
Loveseat wins at Rosehill on November 22
|Race 3 – 3.10PM CRT CELEBRATES 50 YEARS HANDICAP (1600 METRES)|
4. Starla is starting to hit her straps now she’s creeping out in distance and she was far too good at Canterbury up to this sort of trip. Time on the day was excellent and with the win under her belt now expecting her to take plenty of holding out.
Dangers: 6. Dorothy Of Oz led all the way to win first-up then fought hard when challenged at Canterbury last time after leading again. Up sharply in trip but likely leader and could take running down. 5. Gone Bye fought back hard when challenged on debut at Hawkesbury to prevail in a close finish. Shapes as though the extra trip will be suitable and he could measure up. 3. Golwen has been competitive in two starts since a maiden win at Kembla. Blinkers on and barrier one so has to be considered.
How to play it: Starla WIN ($2.15 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
Starla wins at Canterbury on November 15
|Race 4 – 3.45PM TERRITORIES @ DARLEY HANDICAP (1300 METRES)|
Everything points to 5. Miss Sure Shot being very hard to beat first-up. Performed well in two starts in July then rested and both her trials have been superb. Drawn to sit wherever she wants and if she runs up to her trials she will go very close.
Dangers: 7. Saas Fee debuted at Hawkesbury back in June and hit the line well without threatening into third. Has trialled twice and finds James McDonald to ride here. Well worth keeping safe. 4. Tracy May has some compelling form lines having chased the likes of California Zimbol and Libertini home in her two starts though she has had every chance. Very quiet trial recently and betting will be your pointer. 3. Somnus wasn't fancied on debut but ran on well to wind up midfield back in May. Two recent trials, has the inside gate and trip looks to suit fresh. Each-way.
How to play it: Miss Sure Shot WIN ($3.20 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: ODDS.
Miss Sure Shot runs second in a Randwick trial on November 12
|Race 5 – 4.20PM VALE MR LES YOUNG HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
5. Zaniah is a very promising mare who put panels on her rivals in two starts back in June and looks to have returned well with a couple of soft trial wins at home. Has the speed to lead or sit handy and will be the one to run down in the straight. Read trainer Kris Lees' comments here.
Dangers: 6. Super Longlea has won both her starts at the provincials and had plenty of support when winning first-up at Hawkesbury three weeks ago. Has the race fitness and run at 1100m and that makes her a big threat. 2. Eveleigh impressed putting two wins together for the new stable then had some excuses up in grade at Rosehill. Wouldn’t have won but should have finished a few lengths closer. Back to the trials for a tick over and she has found McDonald. Keep in mind. 4. Sophiella should have run a clear third last time at Rosehill and the outside gate might play into her favour here as she should be able to roll forward easily. Capable of featuring.
How to play it: Zaniah WIN ($2.00 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
Zaniah wins a trial at Newcastle on November 11
|Race 6 – 4.55PM BOWERMANS OFFICE FURNITURE HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
11. Twentyfour Carat is a promising colt who did a big job first-up to run down the leader and score racing clear at this trip and running faster time than the older horses on the same day. Fitter and down in weight after the claim and should get a race run to suit. Take holding out.
Dangers: 1. Snips will be right up on the speed and he’s done nothing wrong resuming with a strong all the way Kembla win. First go at 1400m but will be right on the pace and be surprised if he doesn’t give a sight. 8. Plenty is a bit of a heartbreaker but ignore his first-up run in stronger company at Newcastle where he just flopped out the back and followed them around. Chance to get a bit more serious here and he has the ability to cause trouble if he feels like it. 4. Ruthless Agent has a habit of bobbing up at this level as he did two starts ago when running on into second at big odds. Again ran on when placed at Kembla last time and is an each-way chance.
How to play it: Twentyfour Carat WIN ($2.00 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: ODDS.
Twentyfour Carat wins at Randwick on November 5
|Race 7 - 5:30PM CRT NSW MEMBERS DROUGHT BUSTER HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
1. Inanup is a good each-way hope at odds first-up and he does usually fire when fresh. Won his first two runs last prep including once over this course and while he ran last in his trial it was a quiet one and he looked to be travelling okay. Claim helps and he can run well.
Dangers: 6. Excellent Proposal is a big watch first-up as a gelding having won both his starts as a two-year-old. First trial was excellent and the second not bad in a close finish. Might find 1100m a touch sharp but wouldn’t surprise if he’s too strong either. 2. Embracer resumes without the blinkers but he has posted a couple of clear trial wins leading into this. Likely leader whose only failure was on a heavy track before a spell. Good chance but under the odds. 3. The Enzo could be the knockout horse. Showed talent as a two-year-old then off a long break and struck wet tracks in all three runs last time in. First trial was excellent, second okay. Finds Bowman to ride and if we are on a good to soft track he can feature at odds.
How to play it: Inanup E/W ($11 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
Inanup’s trial at Rosehill on November 14