By Ray Hickson
Tips and race by race preview by Ray Hickson for Wednesday’s Warwick Farm meeting. Selections based on a heavy track.
Race 1 - 1:25PM KEENELAND SEPTEMBER YEARLING SALE HANDICAP (1100 METRES) |
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3. Burma Star made a dash for home first-up at Canterbury only to be cut down late, but he did fight quite well when the winner stuck the head in front. Slight change of gear might be significant and he’s had the heavy track run under his belt. Can only be better for it and hard to beat.
Dangers: 10. Gambers was given her chance in stakes company at her second start before a spell on the back of a handy debut. Both runs on good tracks. Trialled nicely on heavy ground leading into this and stays under notice. 4. Defiance is on debut and you couldn’t fault his two trials in the past few weeks including the latest on a heavy track. Any support would be significant. 1. West Of Swindon is now with Ciaron Maher and he comes through a couple of strong trials with the most recent third in the same heat as Skyhook. All his good race form, placings in the Golden Gift and Silver Slipper, is on firmer tracks and that’s the query.
How to play it: Burma Star WIN ($3.20 TAB Fixed Odds).
Burma Star runs second at Canterbury on August 6
Race 2 - 2:00PM INGLIS XTRA BONUS MAIDEN SERIES HANDICAP (1300 METRES) |
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10. Koibito found it too sharp for her on debut, getting back early, but she still ran a nice race behind Nashville Jack at Randwick last month. Back in class and up in trip are pluses for her and she should be a lot more competitive.
Dangers: 13. Magenta Skies is a nicely bred filly making her debut having taken a little time with a couple of trials in the autumn. Found the line under a nice hold to win her latest on heavy ground at Randwick two weeks ago. Respect. 9. Spice Prawn has tended to get a long way back in her races this time in which isn’t helping. Ran on into fourth at Canterbury last time after a close second to Without Peer fresh. The latter’s a handy form line. Worth another chance. 5. Mean As was given a good sounding out to win his latest trial at Warwick Farm on a heavy track over the shorter 779m. Market a good pointer at the 1300m.
How to play it: Koibito WIN ($4.60 TAB Fixed Odds).
Koibito runs fourth at Randwick on July 26
Race 3 - 2:35PM TAB HANDICAP (1100 METRES) |
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7. Southern Heiress is a filly on the way up and she followed a runaway Newcastle maiden with with a solid effort to remain unbeaten at Canterbury two weeks ago. She was strong on the line there and is a good chance again.
Dangers: 8. Vanessi has a 2kg turnaround on Southern Heiress for their clash and that gives her a shot at turning the tables. Was only first-up there so a bit fitter and she’s a threat. 6. Fleeting Spirit is trialling nicely for a handy first-up performance though she’s not been tested on a wet track on race day. Improved with each run last time in and if she does that again she should run well. 2. Mergeila hasn’t raced for 10 months since a narrow second to Pippie Beach in October last year. That was on a soft 7 which is encouraging for her resumption on a heavy track. Tucked away in her trial and while early favourite the betting will be interesting.
How to play it: Southern Heiress WIN ($4.60 TAB Fixed Odds).
Southern Heiress wins at Canterbury on August 6
Race 4 - 3:10PM CAPTIVANT @ KIA ORA HANDICAP (1000 METRES) |
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4. Prima Bella is a proven heavy tracker and she ran right up to some good support when scoring over this track and distance three weeks ago. Up in weight but in career best form at the moment and no reason she won’t go close.
Dangers: 2. President is an interesting runner now with the Jason Coyle stable and gelded. Won a maiden first-up last time in and his two recent trials have been in good company. If he handles the heavy on race day he could surprise. 6. Bev’s Nine has won two from two at the provincials with his debut win on a soft 7. Toughed it out to score at Kembla Grange back onto a good track almost a month ago. Has to be included in the chances. 8. Rantan is overdue a change of fortune having been caught on the wrong part of the track in her fourth at Randwick last month. More than capable if the breaks go her way.
How to play it: Prima Bella WIN ($5 TAB Fixed Odds).
Prima Bella wins at Warwick Farm on July 30
Race 5 - 3:45PM ASAHI SUPER DRY HANDICAP (1600 METRES) |
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7. Island Dream stretched out with plenty of purpose to win second-up at Canterbury on a heavy track and she should be even better for the two runs going onto another heavy surface. Wide gate of little concern with her style and she’s a major player.
Dangers: 2. Kapakiri ran on from the back when resuming at Kensington with a close up fifth over 1400m. The extra trip a plus and while he’s yet to win under 1800m the heavy track helps him to that end. Sure to run well. 4. Fairway Star handled the conditions nicely to score an impressive win over this course on a deteriorating track. Yet to win on heavy but the track was downgraded last time after her race so that’s no minus. Can show up again. 12. American Starlet is getting close to a win and she probably looked the winner fleetingly before Fairway Star cut her down. Racing consistently and is an each-way chance.
How to play it: Island Dream WIN ($5 TAB Fixed Odds).
Island Dream wins at Canterbury on August 6
Race 6 - 4:20PM HAWAII FIVE OH @ VINERY HANDICAP (1400 METRES) |
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3. Hulu looks a good each-way hope bringing recent heavy track form to town after an easy win in Muswellbrook’s Bengalla Cup. Obviously needs to measure up in metro grade now but it’s the right race and conditions to give her that shot.
Dangers: 9. The Replicant revelled in the ground to score a rare win at this track two starts ago then typically close up again at Kensington last week. His record says you can never leave him out of discussions, particularly on a heavy track, and he can run well. 4. Signor Tortoni was no match for the winner at Randwick a few weeks ago but battled on okay to run third. Hasn’t done a whole lot wrong to date and is in the mix. 10. United Kingdom is a market watch first-up having raced just once in the last nine months and with no exposed wet track form. Quiet trials haven’t given a lot away but is proven fresh. Keep safe.
How to play it: Hulu EACH-WAY ($18 TAB Fixed Odds).
Hulu wins at Muswellbrook on July 27
Race 7 - 4:55PM PRIVATE LIFE @ COOLMORE HANDICAP (1200 METRES) |
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14. Ringarosa has been honest in three runs for the new stable and showed she’s not too far off a win with a close second at Canterbury two weeks ago on heavy ground. Versatile and would only have to hold form to be a genuine hope.
Dangers: 13. O’Invincible was runner-up at Canterbury two starts back with Ringarosa in third then odds-on favourite at Kembla and just outgunned on the heavy 10 there. Drops in weight and has to be considered. 3. Metaphorically won what’s turned out to be a handy form race when leading all the way a month ago. Just has to do it on a more testing track and he’d be one of the chances. 1. Tenderize is proven on heavy ground and resumes in favourable conditions but with a poor first-up record. Trials good and blinkers on first-up so could surprise.
How to play it: Ringarosa EACH-WAY ($7.50 TAB Fixed Odds).
Ringarosa runs second at Canterbury on August 6
All the fields, form and replays for Wednesday’s Warwick Farm meeting