By Ray Hickson
Tips and race by race preview by Ray Hickson for Wednesday’s Warwick Farm meeting. Selections based on a Good track.
|Race 1 – 12:50PM AUSTRALIAN TURF CLUB PLATE (1100 METRES)|
5. Stardome was scratched from Kembla Grange on Tuesday to tackle this race and it probably looks an easier race than he would have contested down south. He won a 794m trial earlier this month in very good fashion, especially considering on his breeding he should eventually run 2000m at least. Happy to be with him in the small field.
Dangers: 3. Golden Shoulder could have easily won his latest trial at Gosford had jockey Grant Buckley wanted. Both trials have been sound and no doubt Tracey Bartley wouldn’t kick him off in town if he wasn’t showing plenty. Well worth keeping safe. 2. Fortification had excuses on debut at Kembla, sitting wide on the pace, and he boxed on pretty well to run fourth there back in April. Recent trial at Warwick Farm was handy and will have every chance though I’m wary he started $17 on debut and is much shorter here. 4. Hostwin Supreme was removed from a tougher race on Saturday to run here and he was given a decent hitout in winning his latest trial at Rosehill. Must be a quirky type as he’s wearing plenty of gear on debut.
How to play it: Stardome WIN ($2.30 TAB Fixed Odds).
Stardome wins his trial at Warwick Farm on September 7
|Race 2 - 1:25PM ANZ BLOODSTOCK NEWS HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
3. Kolding has had no luck at all in his two starts to date and I thought he’s performed quite well under the circumstances. He’s been forced to sit wide and work and hasn’t given up, beaten less than two lengths last start at Randwick. Perfect gate this time and looks to have an opportunity to show what the ability he has.
Dangers: 1. Ranier chased home Miss Fabulass first-up then tried very hard when wide throughout behind Reginae at Randwick. He’s up 4.5kg and may be forced to work wide out again here but he has the form to suggest he’s the one to beat. 6. Nakeeta Jane made a promising debut running home strongly into second in the same race as Kolding at Randwick. She may be afforded a much sweeter run this time around from the inside alley and if she can take advantage she’s a genuine contender too. 2. Matowi seemed to have his chance on the pace after crossing from the outside barrier at Randwick and just battled on. Prior to that he was narrowly beaten by Tarka which is handy form. Drawn out again here so will need luck but is not out of it.
How to play it: Kolding E/W ($6.00 TAB Fixed Odds).
Kolding runs a game fourth at Randwick on September 5
|Race 3 – 2:00PM TAB REWARDS PLATE (1100 METRES)|
12. Voila tried to lead all the way first-up at Randwick a couple of weeks ago only to be outgunned late by stablemate Tough Larry. Back into a fillies maiden for this and with the inside gate and a couple of favourable scratchings she’s sure to be in this race for a long way.
Dangers: 10. Show Some Leg is another to trial quite well ahead of her debut. Let run and broke right away at Randwick last month then kept under more control when narrowly beaten at Wyong. Keep an eye on betting. 1. Adamina was a well supported favourite and went down in a 900m scamper at Newcastle. She’s Group 3 placed but perhaps she hasn’t come back quite as well. This will tell us. Also have to include 11. Unguarded who was outclassed when resuming in the Light Fingers but showed enough in her first prep to suggest she’s capable of being competitive.
How to play it: Voila WIN ($2.70 TAB Fixed Odds).
Voila is narrowly beaten at Randwick on September 5
|Race 4 – 2.35PM HYLAND RACE COLOURS HANDICAP (2200 METRES)|
Seeing is believing and if what 4. High Bridge produced at his Australian debut wasn’t a fluke (he was $7.50 out to $11) then he’s only going to be better suited out in distance. He appreciated a decent tempo at Canterbury and held a dominant margin on the line, easily running the fastest last 200m of 11.91 (Punters Intel). It’s appearing likely he’ll be able to tail them in a truly run staying contest and given he can only be improved he’s the one to beat. Price is a bit short for my liking though.
Dangers: 6. Keep Up is going to win a race soon the way he’s coming along this time in. Excellent effort at Canterbury second-up then again ran on well up in class at Rosehill on September 8 on a sticky track. Serious threat for mine. 3. Cormac is flying with successive wins at this sort of level and only rises 0.5kg on his last start win at Randwick. Well ridden when too good over this course a couple of weeks prior and is hard to leave out. 7. Iron Duke is the up and coming stayer in the race with two very easy wins at Newcastle against his name. He’s been on the pace and really asserted some authority and it wouldn’t surprise to see him measure up.
How to play it: High Bridge WIN ($2.00 TAB Fixed Odds).
High Bridge wins impressively at his local debut at Canterbury on August 29
|Race 5 – 3.10PM THE AGENCY REAL ESTATE HANDICAP (1200 METRES)|
I was a fan of 12. Jen Rules off her trials prior to her debut win back in June and I see no reason to jump off. She didn’t appear all that happy in the heavy ground but ran down Mizzy who went on to be competitive in Group company recently. I thought she trialled well again a couple of weeks ago and she’ll I think be even better on top of the ground. Thrown in the medium end of the pool but looks up to the challenge.
Dangers: 6. Velocita has a very handy record if you overlook her two failures in May interstate. She won well when resuming last time in and wasn’t knocked around behind a speedy mare in a short trial. Would love to see her at 1400m fresh again but drawn well and I’d be surprised if she’s not competitive. 2. Ridicule appeared to have her chance for mine when placed behind Smart Melody first-up at Wyong. While that is good form she finished a couple of lengths off the second horse and wasn’t closing in. Unless she was seriously underdone there I can’t see a lot of scope for improvement but she’s honest and has to be in the mix. 8. Invictum Domina is a likely improver on her first run for the Widdup yard where she hit the line okay late over 1000m. She’s much better off at this trip and if she can get herself onto the pace, which is what she excelled at in Melbourne, she could run a cheeky race at odds.
How to play it: Jen Rules WIN ($3.20 TAB Fixed Odds).
Jen Rules digs deep to win on debut at Canterbury in June
|Race 6 - 3:45PM EVEREST CARNIVAL SPRINT (1100 METRES)|
Prepared to stick solid with 2. Esperance who has had excuses in his two defeats this time in but run well on both occasions. Way too far back on an on-pacers day first-up and went very close then refused to settle much closer to the speed and didn’t have a lot left last time. There looks to be enough speed here for him to settle and hit the line and if you took the $1.70 last time you’re entitled to back up.
Dangers: 9. Chabreet was widely expected to win first-up at Newcastle and did it quite easily over the 900m scamper in maiden company. Showed promise last time in against some smart two-year-olds and while he’s only getting 3.5kg from a hard, tough competitor like Esperance he has plenty of upside. Respect. 1. Super Ex hasn’t raced since Christmas where he took on a couple of stakes races against the likes of Pierata in Queensland. There’s some good form around his three wins in the late winter last year and he has trialled well on two occasions. If he happens to get control he can take some running down. 5. Chalk rarely has things go his way in his races but if he has some luck he’s more than capable of winning. Three runs after a cracking fresh run last time in were only fair but he is first-up again and did nothing wrong in his trials. Drawn to get every chance.
How to play it: Esperance WIN ($3.20 TAB Fixed Odds).
Esperance runs third at Canterbury on August 29
|Race 7 - 4:20PM ON TOP OF THE WORLD MILE (1600 METRES)|
12. Palmateer was on the back foot when the gates opened at Rosehill a few weeks ago and she made up plenty of ground to run into fourth behind All Too Soon, clocking the second fastest last 200m of 12.02 (Punters Intel) behind the winner. Back to midweek level and out to the mile again are both in her favour and if she can get a smooth ride from a tricky gate this race is there for the taking. No good thing but should run well.
Dangers: 2. Excelsior was a dominant winner over this course almost a month ago then up to Saturday company and gave a big sight on a heavy track behind Zourkhan. Rises 4kg but racing so well he will be hard to beat again. 8. Newtown Bluebag generally races well but has a low percentage racing style so doesn’t win out of turn. He managed to get the job done over the mile at Wagga last start and that followed a sound effort at Canterbury in this sort of company. Each-way chance. 5. Love Shack Baby cantered in at Wyong in early August and on the back of that was sent out $2.60 in the race won by Excelsior a few weeks back. Seemingly had no excuses there but has been back to the trials. Take a bit on trust but if he performs to his best he’s in there with a show.
How to play it: Palmateer E/W ($4.40 TAB Fixed Odds).
Palmateer runs into fourth at Rosehill on August 25
|Race 8 - 4:55PM #THERACES HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
I have plenty of time for the lightly raced 5. Desert Lord and he always looked as though he’d be a better horse with a preparation and a spell under his belt. He was a costly runner-up at $1.80 before a spell but I liked his trial over the short trip and kicking off at 1400m is ideal. The key is he’s racing in blinkers for the first time and if they switch him on he’ll take plenty of stopping.
Dangers: 3. Aqua D’Ivina is a very promising mare who was robbed of her autumn preparation by a bout of colic. She’s been given a good grounding for a return with three trials and I have no doubt she’s capable of winning better races. If she’s wound right up she might just win, either way she’s a danger. 7. Smooth Whiskey doesn’t have a great strike rate but there was something about his trial at Rosehill a couple of weeks back that suggests he’s come back in good order and could surprise here fresh. Prefers a good track and he’s worth some each-way thought. 1. Spring Charlie is racing consistently and got the job done at Newcastle last start over this trip. Drops 2kg and while he might be bumping into a couple of above average types he’s worth including in the chances.
How to play it: Desert Lord WIN ($4.40 TAB Fixed Odds).
Desert Lord finds the line well in his trial at Rosehill on September 3