By Ray Hickson
Tips and race by race preview by Ray Hickson for Wednesday’s Warwick Farm meeting. Selections based on a good track.
|Race 1 – 2:20PM TERRITORIES @ DARLEY HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
There was plenty of merit in the debut of 4. Kinship, despite being big odds, in what looked a quality maiden back on Boxing Day. Struck traffic but found the line well, running a race best last 600m of 35.40 (Punter's Intelligence), and has the benefit of experience and a more favourable alley this time. If he’s progressed he’s in the finish.
Dangers: 1. California August had far too much work to do at Wyong last time and it wasn’t a surprise to see him weaken late. Was a month between runs there and gets blinkers off and James McDonald from a nice gate. Logical threat. 5. Private Missile is an interesting first starter from the Hawkes stable and his trials have been a little hidden. He’s nicely bred, watch for any support and if it comes he could take beating. 3. Broadside Armour probably trialled better in the first of his two trials but worth keeping safe. Stable is firing and debuting at 1400m might be significant and render the shorter trials not such good pointers.
How to play it: Kinship E/W ($4.80 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
Kinship runs sixth on debut at Randwick on December 26
|Race 2 – 2:55PM CASINO PRINCE @ VINERY HANDICAP (1600 METRES)|
1. Snips has a bit of a job to do with others claiming away from him but he’s bursting to win in town and this looks the right race. Shade unlucky not to get closer to Rocha Clock two back then probably a bit too far back but kept coming last time over 1550m. If he’s within striking distance on the turn he’ll tale stopping.
Dangers: 7. To Your Health is racing well in mares company and her effort to stave them off and win on January 1 had plenty of merit. She’ll roll forward here and probably sit outside the lead. Hard to ignore if she can repeat that last run. 2. Judge Judi probably finds the lead from gate three and is fitter for a nice effort fresh at Randwick on Boxing Day where he was further back than is his norm. But stepping to the mile will see that change, claim a plus and he’s a big chance. 4. Boomtown Rat went back to last from the wide gate last time and ran on okay, probably should have finished a bit closer too. He’ll need the breaks with the tempo to go his way but wouldn’t shock to see him lift back in class.
How to play it: Snips WIN ($4.80 TAB Fixed Odds); Odds & Evens: ODDS.
Snips runs second at Kensington on January 1
|Race 3 – 3:30PM TAB VENUE MODE HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
They don’t trial better than 7. Parche has leading into this race. She showed plenty of talent on debut in a very strong maiden at this track before going shin sore last start. Straight run to the turn so wide alley not an issue so long as she doesn’t drag right back. Looks to have the motor to run them down. Read trainer Gary Portelli's comments here.
Dangers: 5. Capri Of Tuffy will roll forward onto the speed and she’s bumped into some handy ones of late such as Arousal and Rari. Can’t see any issue with her getting up onto the speed and she looks a very good chance. 2. Whitchety Grub was a drifter in betting but raced up on the speed and battled on to hold a place on debut behind Mars and should be better for it. Will likely look to be right up there again and may be harder to get past., 17. Rainy Day might be the best at odds in the race. She’s shown glimpses in her five starts but she was very good late into second behind Parche in her second trial and if she runs up to that she could be an each-way hope.
How to play it: Parche WIN ($2.30 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
Parche wins a trial at Warwick Farm on January 2
|Race 4 – 4:05PM SKY RACING ACTIVE HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
5. Magic Choir found himself right out of the race at Kensington last time but did run on okay behind Crafty Tycoon without threatening late. He was very good sitting closer to the speed in two prior starts so well worth another chance.
Dangers: 3. Come Along has been excellent in two runs back from a spell and responded to being under pressure a long way out when winning second-up at Kembla. He may be looking for a shade further but can’t knock on the score of his efforts of late. 7. Chapelco gets the chance to lead and control, on paper at least, so he might be worth one more look. Two efforts prior to his last start failure were okay from the front and back onto his home track may spark a lift. 2. Zoffany's Lad resumes with a trial win under his belt and at a suitable trip to give him a chance. Not out of it in a race up for grabs.
How to play it: Magic Choir E/W ($5.00 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: ODDS.
Magic Choir's last start at Kensington on January 1
|Race 5 – 4:40PM SCHWEPPES HANDICAP (1200 METRES)|
3. Lifetime Quest owes punters a bit through a few defeats last time but all will be forgiven if he can seize this chance to score first-up. He’s looked the goods in two trials and while he has 61kg he looks the leader and led all the way at the Farm in August. Clearly on top.
Dangers: 2. Jack’s Bar was a shade disappointing when in the market fresh at Canterbury but raced flat late. Back to the trials since then and worked home well at the finish. Can be hot and cold but when he’s hot he can win a race a like this. 6. Balonne has been racing well in Canberra and never looked in trouble when scoring there late last month at 1400m. He might get back a bit here with the drop in trip but hard to leave one out when Keith Dryden brings them to town. 4. Crafty Tycoon found a race run to suit him when he sat off a solid speed and held off Feather at Kensington two weeks ago. He has put two good ones together and will be running on as usual. Big watch on 8. Anubis whose form says probably no but he had a quiet trial leading into this and James McDonald rides. Market a pointer.
How to play it: Lifetime Quest WIN ($2.30 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
Lifetime Quest runs third in a Newcastle trial on December 30
|Race 6 – 5:15PM HYLAND RACE COLOURS HANDICAP (1000 METRES)|
4. Designer Maid might be worth something each-way in a race that looks to have a stack of speed. Ignore last prep where she clearly didn’t come up, won three of her first four starts before that. Has sat just behind the pace in trials won by Special Reward and Sir Elton. Wouldn’t shock to see her find form.
Dangers: 1. Mossman Gorge did a big job in a stronger race first-up at Kembla Grange then tried valiantly to pick up the leader at Canterbury and just failed. Rarely runs a bad race at 1000m and wide gate not such a big deal. Must be respected. 9. Private Thoughts is coming through the grades well and sat just off the speed last time at Kensington, hitting the front and holding off the challengers. She was an $11 chance there so wary price wise but have to include with the upside factor. 6. Kiss My Swiss was on the speed in the same race and she fought on very well when Private Thoughts hit the lead, refusing to give in. Meets her 1kg better so in the mix again.
How to play it: Designer Maid E/W ($19 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
Designer Maid runs second in a Newcastle trial on December 30
|Race 7 – 5:50PM GRUNT @ YULONG AUSTRALIA HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
6. Feather has found a winnable race and the step up to 1400m is in her favour given she’s been strong late at 1250m in both runs back. Appreciated a fast run race second-up when just missing, clocking the fastest 34.07 for her last 600m (Punter's Intelligence), just needs to be in touch in a race that could be stop start and she gets her chance.
Dangers: 8. Betty Blooms is the probable leader here and she could run a cheeky race. Hard to get a guide in her trials especially the latest with a runaway winner and all her placings are on wet tracks but keep in mind. 5. Rebukes got the job done in a weaker race at Wyong and you’d think given her size she’d appreciate a roomier track here. Needs to prove herself at this level and that’s the risk though the scratchings have helped her out. 11. All Tiara is fitter for a closing effort at Moruya first-up and drops 5kg on that run. She's a consistent mare, while this is tougher she's not out of it.
How to play it: Feather WIN ($2.80 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: EVENS.
Feather runs second at Randwick on January 1