By Ray Hickson
Tips and race by race preview by Ray Hickson for Wednesday’s meeting at Warwick Farm. Selections based on a good track.
|Race 1 – 1:35PM VANCOUVER YEARLINGS IN 2019 PLATE (1200 METRES)|
The way this race looks to map 5. Green Aeon should be able to control his own destiny in the lead. He’s a well bred gelding, half-brother to Group 1 winner Politeness, and both his trials of late have been what you like to see. Led all the way at Canterbury in his latest and will be the one to run down.
Dangers: 4. Full Recognition bumped into a smart one in Classique Legend on debut and he held his ground without threatening the first two home there. Different sort of race and he’s likely to track the leader and be the first to throw out a challenge. Respect. 6. Phoenix River produced an eye-catcher on debut behind Trope then may have been ridden upside down to suit the pattern at Rosehill. Whether the small field suits from a pace perspective remains to be seen but a win wouldn’t surprise at all. 3. Bondi Boy might be a rung below a few of these but he’s trialled well since his first campaign and was city placed on debut. Place hopes here as well.
How to play it: Green Aeon WIN ($4.40 TAB Fixed Odds).
Flying Aeon wins his trial at Canterbury on February 25
|Race 2 - 2:10PM PLUCK @ VINERY HANDICAP (1000 METRES)|
3. Enforcement was sent out favourite in the Inglis Nursery on debut and loomed like was going to run straight past them before weakening to finish midfield. But his two trials back have been encouraging, he matched it with Rome then given a good test in winning the latest. Drawn well and expect him to be competitive.
Dangers: 5. Garrison is a stablemate to Enforcement and he is another that has trialled up nicely. Beat a subsequent winner in good style in his second trial and he’ll likely run a big race on debut. 4. Escondido was given a quiet trial behind Tassort before revving up down the outside to win at Canterbury. He’s drawn wide but there should be reasonable speed and with only one turn to get around I can see him running on strongly as he did in the trial. 1. Cardiff went way too quick in front in the Silver Slipper and dropped out but prior to that in a maiden he led until the last 100m and was only swamped by a couple of smart ones that have gone on to better races.
How to play it: Enforcement E/W ($4.40 TAB Fixed Odds).
Enforcement wins a trial at Rosehill on March 1
|Race 3 – 2.45PM ANZ BLOODSTOCK NEWS HANDICAP (1000 METRES)|
2. Evening Slippers is the likely winner here if none of the first starters are exceptional. She started favourite on debut when third behind Time To Reign and Bivouac and that’s good form for a maiden. Two trials back have been excellent, including one over 1045m, and she has every chance from gate one.
Dangers: 12. Sweeping Statement is a big watch on debut. Her second trial was a superb one running a close second at Canterbury after sitting up on the speed. Expect she might go back here and be the one finishing off. 9. Obscene hasn’t been tested in her two trials in the past month and being from the Snowden stable she’s one to keep a close eye on. 4. Chia showed some promise in her first prep and gave a big sight at Rosehill behind Kiamichi in November. No guide on the latest trial when not tested in a strung out field. Keep in mind.
How to play it: Evening Slippers WIN ($2.50 TAB Fixed Odds).
Evening Slippers wins a trial at Randwick on February 18
|Race 4 – 3.20PM THE CHAMPIONSHIPS ON SALE PLATE (1200 METRES)|
5. Got Your Six has the hoof on the till after dealing with Trope and Classique Legend in her two starts so far. Nothing of their quality engaged here. She will either lead or sit outside the lead and only has to run up to what she’s shown to date to go one better.
Dangers: 1. Achondrite had every chance in the lead on debut and was simply run down by a better horse in Mizzy at Canterbury. She was a drifter in betting there so can be expected to improve. Logical threat. 4. Fasika is a well bred filly on debut and she had a bit on her rivals winning a Hawkesbury trial a couple of weeks back. Drawn nicely and if there’s support for her it would be worth respecting. 3. Chilled Rose has been costly in two defeats as a long odds-on favourite this time in for three second placings overall. This is harder than what she’s met to date but the positives are barrier one and Kerrin McEvoy to ride.
How to play it: Got Your Six WIN ($1.95 TAB Fixed Odds).
Got Your Six runs second to Classique Legend at Randwick on February 20
|Race 5 – 3.55PM BOWERMANS OFFICE FURNITURE HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
4. Debate had plenty of excuses first-up and ran well to only be beaten three lengths. Reared at the start and was slowly out then had some trouble early in the straight on a day it was hard to run on. Fitter, barrier one and a small field. Every chance to bounce back.
Dangers: 2. Lady Elizabeth was rewarded for her honesty with a narrow but solid win at Rosehill two weeks ago and this is no harder. Up a bit in weight but she’ll run her usual competitive race. 1. Bubbles’n’troubles had every chance in the run and was very disappointing first-up three weeks ago. She’s a good trialler so no surprise to see her finish off well when back to the trials. Can bounce back but it would be a bit turnaround. 6. Red Chandelier battled on okay for third to Lady Elizabeth who did come from behind her to win. Close to her peak now and she’s in the mix.
How to play it: Debate WIN ($2.90 TAB Fixed Odds).
Watch the stewards vision of Debate at the start of her race at Rosehill on February 27
|Race 6 - 4:30PM EVENTS BY ATC HANDICAP (1600 METRES)|
3. Raqeeq should run well first-up at a mile at good each-way odds. He’s been right on their backs fresh at his two local preps over slightly shorter trips and he was under a hold in his recent trial. He’ll get back but can see him looking dangerous late in the race.
Dangers: 7. Boomtown Rat comes off a handy win at Canterbury on a wet track and the form out of the race is okay with the runner-up winning since. Might be looking for a touch further than a mile now but he’s a good chance. 4. Bull Market rarely runs a bad race and he was there all the way behind Sondelon two weeks ago. Easily won in lesser grade over the mile three back and from gate three won’t be far away again. 1. Great Job is a mystery given it’s been two months since his narrow defeat at Canterbury second-up and he hasn’t had a public trial since. Will roll forward, watch for any support and on his best can be in the finish.
How to play it: Raqeeq E/W ($8.00 TAB Fixed Odds).
Raqeeq has a quiet trial at Warwick Farm on March 7
|Race 7 - 5:05PM TAB REWARDS HANDICAP (1200 METRES)|
6. Tonsor is the horse on the way up in this field and he’s third-up off a strong win at Canterbury on a wet track. Yet to run a bad race and from the draw can be on or off the pace as needed. Just with the upside factor he’s the horse to beat and you know he’ll run well. Read trainer Matthew Smith's comments here.
Dangers: 3. Calculated hasn’t raced for a few days shy of a year and is back as a gelding. Fascinated to see how he performs as he showed plenty of promise as a three-year-old with form around Savatiano and Pierata. Watch for support but keep safe either way. 11. Invictum Domina always runs well fresh and 1200m suits her a lot better than the 1000m did when she resumed last time with a handy effort. Good late in her second trial and no surprise to see her give some cheek. 2. Torpenhow was huge first-up at Canterbury after settling a few lengths off the second last horse before sweeping home to win. Up 2kg but if he puts in like he did there then he’ll be right in the finish.
How to play it: Tonsor WIN ($3.50 TAB Fixed Odds).
Tonsor wins at Canterbury on February 22
|Race 8 - 5:40PM AUSTRALIAN TURF CLUB HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
13. California Concord looks a good each-way hope in a very hard race. He had some support at odds when he resumed at Rosehill two weeks ago and closed off well into third running the second fastest last 600m of the race of 34.48 (Punter's Intelligence). Fitter for that and he’ll only improve as the distances increase a bit. Will need luck, like all of them, but should run well.
Dangers: 12. McCormack was in the same race and he was a bit plain in running sixth but he stayed on fairly enough. He was 1000m up to 1300m so he’ll be better for it and has the blinkers on too. Performed too well in winning his first two starts to sack him. 4. Julian Rock is the big query runner making his Australian debut on the back of two very easy barrier trial wins over 1200m. Hard to line his race form up as his win was on a heavy track and his placing on a synthetic so be guided by the market a little. 3. Grimoire is threatening to win a race and he’s been thereabouts in all three runs this time in. Loomed as the winner early in the straight last start but couldn’t get past Tonsor. Each-way again.
How to play it: California Concord E/W ($18 TAB Fixed Odds).
California Concord runs third first-up at Rosehill on February 27