By Ray Hickson
Tips and race by race preview by Ray Hickson for Wednesday’s meeting at Warwick Farm. Selections based on a Soft to Heavy track.
|Race 1 – 1:25PM TAB REWARDS HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
The Godolphin colt 7. Roheryn looks a smart type and he’d only have to handle the conditions to be the one to beat on what we’ve seen at the trials. He’s a half-brother to multiple stakes winner Romneya who was fine in soft going. Won a trial back in November then put away and resurfaced a couple of weeks back and impressed sailing away at Warwick Farm over about 800m. Expect him to run well.
Dangers: 2. Bentley Magic looks over the odds to me on the way he attacked the line first-up at Wyong in what was admittedly a weaker race but his performance was outstanding. He had excuses at his other start and it wouldn’t surprise to see him run another big race. 4. Aurman Zou is an interesting first starter from the Waller/Bowman combination and there’s no real wet indication from his trials or pedigree (Zoustar won on a soft 6). But his trials have been solid, the latest a bit green, and he’s worth keeping safe. 3. Napoleon Solo debuted at 1250m and battled on into a place in a good form race back in July on a Soft 7 and he won a recent trial pretty well. Blinkers going on might sharpen him up and he’s drawn to have every chance.
How to play it: Roheryn WIN ($1.90 TAB Fixed Odds).
Roheryn’s impressive trial win at Warwick Farm on September 24
|Race 2 - 2:00PM ANZ BLOODSTOCK NEWS HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
Bit of a D-Day for 5. Tell Me as she’s finally struck a good barrier to give us a chance to see what she’s really made of. All three starts to date have had merit and so long as it’s not a bottomless track she’ll handle the ground. Beaten two lengths by Sandbar on debut and two trials have been sound. Every chance to break through here.
Dangers: 7. The Art Of The Bar was sent out $2.50 favourite at her last start and finished two lengths from Graff after stumbling out of the gates. Two typical Waterhouse/Bott trials and she’ll go forward from the wide gate. Well worth considering. 1. Colombina is also resuming and she’s mixed it with some handy types in her five starts to date as well. Too far back at her last run at Warwick Farm back in May but found the line well. Trials have been quiet and she’s a definite chance. 2. Sunsuzie was game on a wet track before a break at this track back in May at her second start following a more than handy debut and she’s also fitter for two nice trials. Wouldn’t be counting her out.
How to play it: Tell Me WIN ($3.80 TAB Fixed Odds).
Tell Me’s latest trial at Rosehill on October 2
|Race 3 – 2:35PM PRIDE OF DUBAI@COOLMORE AUSTRALIA HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
2. Destiny’s Own didn’t give up the chase when he resumed with a close up third at Rosehill on a deteriorating track a couple of weeks back. He’s a horse that improves with racing and the extra 100m is right up his alley. He should be able to land outside the likely leader Danzie and if we’re not one run short he’ll take a power of beating.
Dangers: 3. Danzie has been a little costly to punters since he started his previous campaign with a win and he had his chance in front when narrowly beaten at Kembla Grange second-up. He’s okay on soft ground and he should have his chance from the front. 5. Morpheus is a lot better than what his second-up effort in the Spring Stakes at Newcastle where he was in the market but never came into the race. Ran well fresh and back to midweek grade he can feature. 4. Andaz has been disappointing on the whole but he showed improvement third-up at Rosehill and turns up in blinkers for the first time. He doesn’t want it really heavy but on his best form he has his chance to be in the finish.
How to play it: Destiny’s Own WIN ($3.40 TAB Fixed Odds).
Destiny’s Own resumes with a solid third at Rosehill on September 26
|Race 4 – 3.10PM HYLAND RACE COLOURS HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
2. Waruna is an up and comer who appears to have struck a very winnable race for her city debut. Showed a nice turn of foot to pick them up and race clear at Coffs Harbour second-up and she’d only have to be competent in the wet to be very competitive against a group of horses who have largely met their mark. Just a bit of luck in running needed and she’ll go close.
Dangers: 4. High Low Bet is back in Sydney after three runs in Melbourne in the autumn at midweek level. She’s promised a bit but yet to really stamp herself. One trial in the lead up and she sets up to run well. 1. Velocita didn’t improve as much as I thought she might second-up but no excuses here down a notch in class. On her form early last preparation she’s more than capable of taking this out. But you’d want each-way odds. 3. Alnaas handles a wet track as she showed at Hawkesbury two starts back. Just fair last week over the mile but probably less depth in this race and she could improve.
How to play it: Waruna WIN ($2.90 TAB Fixed Odds).
Waruna scores easily at Coffs Harbour on October 2
|Race 5 – 3.45PM THE AGENCY REAL ESTATE HANDICAP (2200 METRES)|
1. Go Benny looks as good a chance as any as he’s a horse that races up on the speed, can handle most conditions and should be hard fit with five runs under his belt. He battled on pretty well behind a dominant Scratches here last week and without getting too confident he’ll run well.
Dangers: 2. Ilwendo is a lightly raced import who lived up to his short price when scoring at his third Australian start at Kembla over 2000m. He has a soft track placing overseas but otherwise is unexposed here to wet ground. Open enough race so he should be thereabouts. 6. Red Dubawi contested the same race as Go Benny and wasn’t disgraced but I think he’s a bit better with some give in the track so he could easily improve with the soft ground. 8. Shanghai Patrol is an up and comer who made a mess of Class 1 rivals at Canberra at his second start for Matt Dale. Handles all conditions and it probably just comes down to whether he is good enough. Betting closer to the race will tell you.
How to play it: Go Benny E/W ($4.80 TAB Fixed Odds).
Go Benny boxes on for third at Warwick Farm on October 3
|Race 6 - 4:20PM BOWERMANS OFFICE FURNITURE HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
If the track isn’t seriously heavy happy to stick with 8. Jen Rules despite a first-up defeat as favourite here three weeks ago. She was there to win but just couldn’t quite reel in Invictum Domina over the 1200m. That horse has since won again. She’s back 100m which probably suits her and she does have the most upside. Good chance.
Dangers: 6. Miss Invincible had to do plenty of work first-up and I thought she fought on very well to be beaten a half length at Wyong by Power Rush. She’ll be fitter and with a much kinder draw she can certainly be competitive in a race like this on what she showed last time in. 11. Power Rush of course won that race at Wyong after having a perfect run and getting up on the fence to win. Done nothing wrong and she has to be included, I just don’t think there’s a lot between the two. 7. Moccasin Miss has been around the mark lately and was runner-up in the Jen Rules race before placing behind Deity here last week. Hard to leave her out of the chances too.
How to play it: Jen Rules WIN ($2.50 TAB Fixed Odds).
Jen Rules runs third at Warwick Farm on September 19
|Race 7 - 4:55PM INGLIS READY2RACE SALE HANDICAP (1600 METRES)|
2. Aqua D’Ivina had her first run since a colic attack and was heavily backed when narrowly beaten over 1400m here three weeks back and she will be so much better for that run. Showed plenty of talent but has been lightly raced so far and with Girl Tuesday out of the race she's clearly the horse to beat.
Dangers: 6. Miss Shanti will be fitter for two runs back from a spell and both runs have been handy enough. Has five lengths to make up on Girl Tuesday and probably can’t do that but can see her improving into a place. 5. The Cartoonist may not have handled the step up in distance when finishing midfield at Rosehill on September 26. His previous form was honest and he has a heavy track win to his credit so is more than capable of bouncing back. 8. The Iron Maiden might be a nine-year-old but she's racing well this time in and hitting the line. Probably not a winning chance but no surprise to see her run into a place.
How to play it: Aqua D'Ivina WIN ($2.40 TAB Fixed Odds).
Aqua D'Ivina is narrowly beaten first-up at Warwick Farm on September 19
|Race 8 - 5:30PM EVEREST CARNIVAL HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
5. Up Trumpz is no star but he is racing very consistently at the moment and fought on quite well behind Esperance here last start. Should be hard fit now after four runs back and he has some form on soft ground so that’s not a big issue. If he can hold his form he should be in the finish of this.
Dangers: 13. Roosevelt resumed with an even effort behind classy colt Written By at Caulfield only beaten two lengths. Takes on older horses but massive class drop and while drawn awkwardly he could easily run over the top of them. 14. Sausalito hit the line quite well late when seventh in the same race as Up Trumpz and has form around that horse from a placing here back in April. Might want a shade further but sure to be running on again. 8. All In Rhythm failed in his only start last prep when favourite and there was obviously an issue as he went straight for a break. Trialled nicely on a heavy track recently and if he finds the front he could give a sight.
How to play it: Up Trumpz E/W ($4.60 TAB Fixed Odds).
Up Trumpz stays on well for second at Warwick Farm on September 19