Tips by Brad Gray
Tips and insights for Rosehill. There are winners to be found for nine races!
It’s tricky to predict how much rain will fall but the form has been done for a Soft track.
|Race 1 - 11:25AM JOHN MILLER HALL OF FAME HANDICAP (1200 METRES)|
Virdine won like a smart two-year-old on debut. He was held up for much of the straight but when he saw daylight he sprinted quickly to pick up handy filly Envy Of All. He was a touch keen in the run so will only keep getting better with racing and he has drawn to get the run of the race from barrier 3. One out, one back would be lovely thanks Rory. Ipso Facto ran third behind him there after travelling deep the entire trip. Doubt there will be much between them again here but Virdine has immeasurable upside.
Danger: Ipso Facto is capable of turning the tables with a kinder run in transit. Silence is a smart colt. He didn’t look to love the heavy track last start but it shouldn’t be quite as wet here and Debonairly franked the form of the race in a Listed race at Scone.
How to play it: Virdine WIN
Virdine’s winning debut (watch for Ipso Facto too)
|Race 2 - 12:00PM GEORGE MOORE HALL OF FAME HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
Passage Of Time finds a very suitable race here and the probability of a wet track doesn’t dent his chances having won his maiden comfortably on heavy ground at Kembla Grange. He was beaten on his merits last start but New Universe looks a very promising animal and doubt the step back to 1200m from 1350m was ideal. Back out to 1400m here, he can bounce back. Two back he was beaten by White Moss but he didn’t get the cleanest of runs throughout and should’ve finished much closer. The wet track also plays into his hands and brings White Moss back a touch. James Cummings has a very good opinion of this Northern Meteor colt.
Danger: Despite White Moss’s form suggesting she is more dynamic on top of the ground she is fit and flying at the moment. Her win at Warwick Farm last start was a career-best. Gretna seems to have gained plenty of confidence out of her recent Warwick Farm win backing it up with a narrow second at Randwick.
How to play it: Passage Of Time WIN
Passage Of Time running second to White Moss at Wyong
|Race 3 - 12:35PM SAINTLY HALL OF FAME HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
New Universe was brilliant winning on his Australia debut, dashing home in 33.05s for his last 600m and setting a new class record in the process. The drop back to 1100m isn’t ideal but it’s all about education at this early stage in his career and an effort to make sure he settles in his races. That shouldn’t be a worry here with Memes setting a good clip out in front. She should also have Diplomacia for company. New Universe is untried on anything worse than Good but with the Kiwi blood running through his veins, tipping he doesn’t mind the wet.
Danger: Memes has won two on the trot but this is a very stiff test for her and Jason Coyle said during the week that even he is surprised that she has progressed to town so quickly this time in. Still, she’ll be the one to catch out in front. Doubt Kawaikini can turn the tables on New Universe but she’ll be thereabouts again.
How to play it: New Universe WIN
New Universe rocketed home on his Aussie debut
|Race 4 - 1:10PM TAB HIGHWAY PLATE (1500 METRES)|
Hay Now is yet to finish out of the top two in eight career starts and you have to respect the judgement of Matty Dale in thinking that the time is now right to try her in town at a Highway Handicap. She has proved way too good for her rivals both runs this time in and has no trouble getting through rain-affected tracks. Dale believes she is actually better with the sting out. Out to 1500m doesn’t look to be a problem either.
Danger: Art Attack is really savaging the line in his races this preparation and looks right at the top of his game now as a four-year-old. He’ll get back from the barrier but will be tearing down the middle of the track late as massive odds ($41 with TAB). Red Knot will be the opposite and making his own luck out in front.
How to play it: Hay Now and Art Attack WIN
Hay Now winning comfortably at Wagga last start
|Race 5 - 1:45PM LLOYD WILLIAMS HALL OF FAME HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
Secret Trail was brilliant winning at Canterbury first-up last campaign dashing home with sharp late splits. She was then very unlucky not to win again at Rosehill after covering ground behind the talented Upscale. Her form over 1100m is excellent (6:2-1-2) and is a proven fresh performer. Happy to overlook her most recent Queensland runs where although she was disappointing, she still wasn’t beaten far. Off one quiet trial, she could explode here and prove too classy as the highest rated horse in the race.
Danger: Plenty of chances here outside starting with Old Man Sam who has raced very consistently this campaign apart from one 1400m failure. Likes the wet and ran well in the Wagga Town Plat last start. Dissolute and Pepperberry must be respected, with the latter always running well fresh.
How to play it: Secret Trail WIN
Secret Trail first-up last campaign
|Race 6 - 2:25PM J B CUMMINGS HALL OF FAME HANDICAP (2000 METRES)|
Broadside is ready to win now third-up and out to 2000m. He was never on the track first-up at Warwick Farm before boxing on soundly at Hawkesbury last start. He has been back to the trials since to keep his engine ticking over. He hasn’t had a chance to get out in front and control a race yet this campaign which is when he does his best work. Expect Josh Parr to be given the instructions to lead at all costs. Broadside is a bulldog and loves a scrap. He won over 2000m third-up last preparation too.
Danger: My Psychiatrist looks as though she will run last at the top of the straight on most occasions but she rallies again. Deanne Panya is the last rider to win on her and reunites with the mare which is a big plus. That was fourth-up over 2000m at this track too. History repeats? Mortar Platoon won’t fancy this Sydney rain.
How to play it: Broadside EACH WAY
Broadside winning third-up last preparation
|Race 7 - 3:05PM WINX HALL OF FAME HANDICAP (1500 METRES)|
Careless will be fighting out the finish here. It’s just whether he can stick his neck out far enough to win. He is cherry ripe now third-up out to 1500m after a very encouraging second to Cannyescent last start when taken on out in front. Mark Newnham has got this ex-Godolphin five-year-old racing so consistently. If the topweight Moher want to hum across from the wide gate and take up the running, Newnham said he has no qualms with taking a sit. Either way, he’ll be in the first three and running and barring something going wrong, should be in the first three hitting the line.
Danger: There are a few wildcards here that could pop up on their day starting with Ininzabeel who was luckless at Hawkesbury first-up. Liapari has found a suitable race here while Believe is just about ready third-up out to this trip after a long layoff.
How to play it: Careless EACH WAY
Careless boxing on to run second last start
|Race 8 - 3:45PM T J SMITH HALL OF FAME HANDICAP (1200 METRES)|
Bonny O’reilly has started favourite in all seven of her career outings and rarely lets the punters down with five wins and a second. The miss was first-up last campaign when she was set an impossible task from a wide gate at Canterbury (but still ran well). She doesn’t tend to win by margins however don’t let that deter you as she has the knack of running very sharp time. Bjorn Baker makes no secret of the fact that he thinks she is a Group winner in waiting. If that’s the case, this is a good test for her against some handy male sprinters.
Danger: Joe Pride has been holding off running Painte chasing wet tracks. His patience will be rewarded at Rosehill on Saturday. He was very good first-up and has had a tickover trial since with Panya in the saddle to get a feel of the five-year-old. Could the gelding of Mogador be the making of him? Perhaps, but want to see it first!
How to play it: Bonny O’reilly WIN
Bonny O’reilly’s first-up win at Rosehill
|Race 9 - 4:25PM LIGHT FINGERS HALL OF FAME HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
Want to give Dagny the chance to redeem herself after an indifferent run at Canterbury last start. She didn’t get the clearest of passages but not sure it would have made that much difference in the end. She steps out to 1400m here and gets the blinkers on first time. Tommy Berry will need to earn all of his riding fee to shift her off the fence from the inside draw at some point but with clear running, she is capable of bouncing back. She’s a very talented mare who has won three from four since transferring to Chris Waller.
Danger: Knit ‘N’ Purl is due a turn of good fortune after a luckless preparation. It’s her style to get back and prey for openings at the right time which she might get here from the cosy gate. Stilettoed Vixen hasn’t been far away in strong races this preparation and was a third-up winner last time in.
How to play it: Dagny WIN
Dagny’s impressive first-up win prior to her Canterbury run