Tips by Brad Gray
Brad Gray's tips and insights for Rosehill Gardens. There are winners to be found for nine races!
The Listed Rosebud sees the likes of Menari, Trekking, Siege Of Quebec and I Am Excited launch their spring campaigns in the $150,000 feature. The track is currently rated in the Good range with the rail out 3m the entire.
|Race 1 - 11:55AM TAB HIGHWAY HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
Have been impressed with the two wins of Super Tonic. She has won over 810m and then 1012m but the way she powered through the line suggests 1100m will be no problem. Coffs Harbour-based trainer Brett Bellamy isn’t a name we’ve come across in a Highway Handicap before so he obviously thinks high enough of her to have a throw at the stumps. She should get a lovely trail from barrier 5. This is the first time she has raced away from home but her rivals will certainly know she is there. Worth an each way ticket at double figure odds.
Danger: Terrified of first starter Another Sin. It’s not a convention way to kick off a horse’s career but it suggests Brett Cavanough has a good one on his hands. His Scone trial suggested as much too. Already $14 into $4.60 with TAB!
How to play it: Super Tonic EACH WAY ($10 TAB Fixed Odds) and SAVE Another Sin ($4.60)
Another Sin’s Scone trial win beating two subsequent winners
|Race 2 - 12:35PM FAIRFIELD RSL CLUB HANDICAP (2000 METRES)|
Vaucluse Bay produced a career-best effort over the 2000m at Rosehill last start and although he rises 6.5kg in weight, doubt it stops him from making it three straight wins. This is another very suitable assignment. Something that the son of Al Maher has lacked in his arsenal is a turn of foot but that certainly wasn’t the case here a fortnight ago. Only has to hold his form to win again. He is currently $2.25 with TAB Fixed Odds and wouldn’t be surprised if he jumped even money.
Danger: Zourkhan went awful last start behind his stablemate Vaucluse Bay but you must respect that he started a $3.90 chance in the race. He was seven weeks between runs so might have just needed the outing. On his recent Melbourne form, he can push the favourite.
How to play it: Vaucluse Bay WIN ($2.25 TAB Fixed Odds)
Vaucluse Bay dominating last start at Rosehill
|Race 3 - 1:10PM MERRYLANDS RSL CLUB PREMIER'S CUP PRELUDE (1800 METRES)|
Arbeitsam is going to take plenty of catching again, especially down to 53kg. His form this campaign has been irresistible winning two from five and being beaten narrowly in two other outings resulting in seconds. The four-year-old is rock hard fit now and will be hall-balling out in front as we’ve come to expect. Ticked the 1800m box two starts back. When these Gai Waterhouse-trained gallopers find their groove, they tend to maintain their form. He’s deep into his preparation but would be surprised if he didn’t show up.
Danger: Loyalty Man was really brave behind Sound Proposition last start. He looked to be under plenty of pressure turning for home but kept finding to only be beaten 0.2L and there was a sizeable gap back to third. He’ll be close enough to Arbeitsam in the run to pounce in the closing stages.
How to play it: Arbeitsam WIN ($2 TAB Fixed Odds)
Arbeitsam winning from the front last start
|Race 4 - 1:45PM DOOLEYS HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
Not an easy race given the lack of an obvious leader. Suggest it will be left up to Sir Plush to take it up, despite being a horse that does his best work when chasing, with Badajoz for company. Despite this, I’m still inclined to side with Denmagic. Would have been much keener on her chances if she had drawn a soft barrier but her first up form is unbelievably strong for this so the $7 with TAB Fixed Odds certainly appeals. In her last three fresh runs she has run third to Southern Legend and Egyptian Symbol, fourth in the G3 Sheraco beaten only 0.6L by Heavens Above while last time in steamed home over 1000m to run second to Dal Cielo.
Danger: Sir Plush should stack them up and get his chance to turn a couple of recent seconds into another win. Being left a sitting shot does leave him open to being gobbled up late though. Zestful is another brilliant fresh horse (three from three first up!).
How to play it: Denmagic WIN ($7 TAB Fixed Odds)
Denmagic’s first up run last campaign
|Race 5 - 2:20PM ST JOHNS PARK BOWLING CLUB HANDICAP (1350 METRES)|
Want to be with this Peacock stepping out as a gelding for the first time. He has impressed in his trials, particularly the latest where he put a gap on his rivals. The work across the line from this Lonhro four-year-old was most pleasing. He resumed in the G2 Australia Stakes last campaign so the Godolphin yard obviously hold him in high regard. First up over 1350m suggests he is fit and ready to go. Blake Shinn rides from a cosy gate.
Danger: The Pharaoh is the box ticker in the race. He is race fit with three runs under his belt, makes his own luck from out in front and his recent form around Memes, Awoke and Arbeitsam reads well for this.
How to play it: Peacock ($4 TAB Fixed Odds)
Peacock’s Rosehill trial – August 1
|Race 6 - 2:55PM SMITHFIELD RSL CLUB ROSEBUD (1100 METRES)|
Menari has been eclipsed by Siege Of Quebec as the race favourite but suspect specialist sprinter Menari could be a touch too sharp for him. Throw into the mix that speedy Perast will be making a pest of himself as far as Siege Of Quebec is concerned. Menari now tips the scales at 570-odd kilograms so he is a big, strong lad. That bodes well for his prospects as an early three-year-old. He has trialled very nicely and he should be undefeated on dry tracks. He was luckless (understatement!) in the Canonbury before wet tracks ruined his chances in the big two-year-old features.
Danger: There is your more obvious threats like Trekking who always shaped up like he’d be a gun three-year-old but don’t discount I Am Excited from running a big race. She possesses a lethal turn of foot and her Warwick Farm trial was brilliant.
How to play it: Menari WIN ($3.10 TAB Fixed Odds)
Menari’s Golden Slipper run
|Race 7 - 3:35PM CANTERBURY HURLSTONE PARK RSL CLUB SPRING PREVIEW (1400 METRES)|
Tom Melbourne… now I know you are already thinking he is a nutcase, how can you tip him!? However, this enigmatic seven-year-old starts a new chapter of his career under Chris Waller and his two trials this time in have been outstanding. In the first of those he coasted to the line with Winx before showing his rivals a clean pair of heels to beat sharp sprinting mare Flippant by more than three lengths. He still looked to want his get his head on the side in that second trial but Waller has said that the Metropolitan-bound stayer is behaving himself at home. Resumed with a luckless sixth over the mile last time in so he has shown in the past that he is sharp enough.
Danger: Washington Heights returned to Gerald Ryan after a Hong Kong stint followed by a lengthy injury so do to what he did first up bodes very well for the early spring. Like the month between runs to get over the win. Sarrasin is the unknown. Also a new addition to the Waller yard and the only time we’ve seen this import here was when he ran third in the Villiers.
How to play it: Tom Melbourne WIN ($4.20 TAB Fixed Odds)
Tom Melbourne’s latest trial – August 1
|Race 8 - 4:15PM CLUBSNSW HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
Gretna was given a real sound out in her most recent trial, putting 9L on her nearest rival! The now four-year-old can be tricky to catch boasting just three wins from 17 outings but she kicks off in a very suitable 1400m assignment here. Throw into the mix what shapes to be a perfect map for her sitting on the shoulder or just in behind likely leader Slumber Party. Outside of that there is not a great deal of pressure. Forget her most recent outing as she pulled up with a poor post race recovery.
Danger: Slumber Party will be rolling along out in front keen to use the fitness edge she has on Gretna. She won her maiden over 1350m but the jury is still out as to whether she gets a strong 1400m at this level. We’ll know after Saturday because she won’t find a more suitable race. Mariquita will be zooming home again.
How to play it: Gretna WIN ($5.50 TAB Fixed Odds)
Gretna’s barrier trial romp – August 1
|Race 9 - 4:55PM CAMPBELLTOWN CATHOLIC CLUB HANDICAP (1500 METRES)|
Special Missile has trimmed up considerably already since opening $6 with TAB Fixed Odds but the $4.80 still holds some appeal. He has won three on the trot and maps to get all the favours again from barrier 4. Last start Imanui charged at him to run third and although that horse is much better suited to Rosehill as opposed to Canterbury, there’s a chance he gets hemmed away on the fence from the inside draw. Those two look set to duke it out at the finish again but it’s hard to knock winning form.
Danger: Imanui of course but outside of that the old boy Nat King Ku finds himself in rare form while Exitozo holds some appeal at $15 on the back of a sound return behind Mana who has since won again.
How to play it: Special Missile ($4.80 TAB Fixed Odds)
Special Missile holding off Imanui last start