Tips by Brad Gray
Brad Gray's tips and insights for Royal Randwick. There are winners to be found for nine races!
Randwick was rated a Soft 5 at the time of writing but track manager Nevesh Ramdhani is hopeful of an upgrade to a Good 4 surface come Saturday morning. The rail moves out to the 10m position with the first race set to jump at 11:35am AEST.
|Race 1 - 11:35AM ATC MEMBER FOR A DAY HANDICAP (1200 METRES)|
Dracarys has the pedigree and ability to make a splash in the early spring races leading into the Golden Rose. He has a similar profile to that of Mediterranean who also resumed in July before tackling the Rosebud. Anyways, long story short, this million dollar colt promises to be a very smart sprinter and we’ll get a chance to see his turn of foot on a firm deck having only been sighted on heavy tracks to date. The last time we saw him he started favourite in the Group Two Skyline Stakes. Tipping he’ll prove too classy for his rivals.
Danger: Assimilate is still very much a work in progress according to the Snowden camp but he’s no doubt a talent. It was a stylish provincial win to open his account on debut. Colosimo has won both of her trials for Chris Waller since being transferred from Steven O’dea in Queensland. Monitor market confidence with her.
How to play it: Dracarys WIN ($3.60 TAB Fixed Odds)
Dracarys’s debut beating Brook Magic
|Race 2 - 12:10PM TAB HIGHWAY HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
Going to the well again to back Suncraze. What’s that definition of insanity again? Jokes aside, this frustrating three-year-old only looked to get his mind on the job the last 200m or so at Warwick Farm but still had the audacity to just miss in a photo finish. He is clearly not the easiest horse to ride so Corey Brown will be much better for the outing last start. Suncraze also gets the blinkers on for the first time to help him concentrate and the 1400m at Randwick should be right up his alley. He’ll give his rivals a start again but drawn wide he’ll have plenty of room to wind up. After six straight seconds, it’s time for a long overdue win and he won’t find a more suitable race.
Danger: On The Fiddle lines up for Matty Dale and you have to respect him in Highway Handicaps based on his outstanding record. The horse is still untapped. The same can be said for Mick Miladinovic’s filly Magic Annie. Her last start Canberra win was very strong. Nic’s Vendetta of course beat Suncraze last start.
How to play it: Suncraze WIN ($2.25 TAB Fixed Odds)
Suncraze’s fast-finishing second at Warwick Farm
|Race 3 - 12:45PM ATC OWNER BENEFITS CARD HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
Memes is no doubt close to the end of her preparation but it has been a spectacular one. The daughter of Time Thief has had six runs for four wins and two placings. She started this preparation as an eight-start maiden too! She has won both of her Randwick starts – beating In Times Of War and then Aquatic – and won them comfortably. That, and the drop back to 1100m, can see her turn the tables on Magic Alibi who bloused Memes last start at Rosehill. Drawn barrier 1, she’ll punch through to control the race from the outset.
Danger: Upscale strikes the most suitable race of her preparation here. She’ll get a dry track and is much more dynamic over 1100m. Clipper had every chance at Caulfield last start but has to be respected as a filly still on the rise.
How to play it: Memes WIN ($4.20 TAB Fixed Odds)
The last time Memes raced at Randwick
|Race 4 - 1:20PM SYDNEY SPRING CARNIVAL NOW ON SALE SPRINT (1000 METRES)|
Super Too always trials like a rocket so don’t get too carried away with her 12 length romp at Warwick Farm. However, she is a very smart filly and is a deserved favourite. There is a stack of speed engaged in the race but doubt they’ll have the early toe to match it with this filly. Jockey Deanne Panya said she would be surprised if she was headed too. She has won three from three over the 1000m. Star Crossed, Lion Couchant, Cudabeen and Legerity are all speedy types but tipping Super Too will be off an gone.
Danger: If Super Too overdoes it or falls in a hole the last 50m, Cudabeen is the map horse to take advantage. She has won two from two since being transferred to Snowden and should track Super Too into the race.
How to play it: Super Too WIN ($2.80 TAB Fixed Odds)
Super Too’s latest Warwick Farm trial – July 14
|Race 5 - 1:55PM SCHWEPPES HANDICAP (1200 METRES)|
Thought the first-up effort of Spending To Win was full of merit at Warwick Farm. The Snitzel colt landed three-wide outside of the two leaders but still kept finding only for the flying Kings Of Leon to peg him back. He finished fourth in the Group Three Eskimo Prince last campaign so you’d be right in thinking he has the right profile to be winning this suitable assignment. Post race Hugh Bowman said he was disappointed which suggests the camp went in with plenty of confidence. Maps to get every chance, especially with Nictock scratched who looked the only other leader.
Danger: Parlay Vous finished alongside Spending To Win at Warwick Farm and should be afforded every chance again here from the cosy draw. Aquatic is agonisingly close to another win but have to risk him back to 1200m and drawn wide. Chatuchak was luckless first up.
How to play it: Spending To Win WIN ($2.60 TAB Fixed Odds)
Spending To Win’s first-up second
|Race 6 - 2:35PM ATC HERITAGE VOLUNTEERS HANDICAP (1800 METRES)|
Sound Proposition had the race gifted to him at Randwick the last time we saw him, co-leading off a crawling pace however he put his rivals away with consummate ease as he was entitled to. There is not a great deal of speed engaged here either which should allow Rachel King to roll across from the wide gate and control proceedings again. It hasn’t been the most conventional preparation having stepped out for Kris Lees for the first time a month ago over the mile. Now here he is out to 1800m. Don’t forget he is a Group One winner in New Zealand and was Group One placed in March this year at Ellerslie.
Danger: Loyalty Man shouldn’t be too far away from the action map-wise and started hitting his straps fourth-up last campaign. Man Of His Word just missed in a blanket go in the Winter Stakes last week running second to Slightly Sweet. He is in terrific form but doesn’t look suited by the lack of tempo.
How to play it: Sound Proposition WIN ($3.80 TAB Fixed Odds)
Sound Proposition winning at Randwick last start
|Race 7 - 3:15PM JULY SPRINT (1100 METRES)|
That’s A Good Idea is a rising eight-year-old but showed no signs of his age in his most recent barrier trial, extending nicely over the concluding stages to take out his heat. He is a dead-set dry tracker and needs to feel his hoofs rattle! With the surface heading towards a Good 4, he’ll get his chance. Team Snowden said during the week that he is very forward for this assignment before adding that the weight is no concern because he is such a big unit. It’s a tricky little race to map with only seven runners but what we do know is That’s A Good Idea will be in the first two with Highly Geared. It’s been a while since he has been in such a suitable race.
Danger: Felines beat That’s A Good Idea at Hawkesbury and should get a similar drop on him this time. It’s just whether the tempo is as genuine. Reldas is a capable sprinter on his day.
How to play it: That’s A Good Idea WIN ($5 TAB Fixed Odds)
That’s A Good Idea’s latest trial – July 10
|Race 8 - 3:55PM WINX IS COMING HANDICAP (1200 METRES)|
The penny has really dropped for Kings Of Leon. His third at Wyong behind Star Crossed was outstanding from the rear of the field before he improved on that again to win at Warwick Farm unleashing his customary sharp turn of foot. He takes on older horses here and has drawn widest in the field of 10, but with Hugh Bowman doing the navigating expect him to get his chance to run over the top of his rivals again. Two scratchings means a field of eight so he shouldn't be spotting to big of a start now. He’s fit and flying. Keep following him over the winter months.
Danger: Bolero King kept trying at Canterbury last start after a big win off a long break at Gosford fresh. Should get his chance with Kings Of Leon and his last start conqueror Torpenhow spotting him a start.
How to play it: Kings Of Leon WIN ($2.40)
Torpenhow and Bolero King fighting it out at Canterbury
|Race 9 - 4:35PM #THERACES HANDICAP (1500 METRES)|
It’s a leap of faith but Gold Ambition looks ready to add to his tally of two wins from 24 starts. He pinched a break at the top of the straight at Warwick Farm the last time we saw him only to be reeled in by Liapari and So Willie. He paddled late and still looked to be half a run short. No such excuses fourth-up and now Tim Clark has had a ride on him, he’ll be out to play catch me if you can again. A number of his key rivals have drawn off the track. It’s easy to forget that he is Group One placed! He ran third in the 2016 Randwick Guineas behind Le Romain and Press Statement.
Danger: Steyne has won four on the trot now and although this is his toughest test to date, we still don’t really know his ceiling. Has been smashed in betting but looks skinny at the current $3.40 TAB Fixed Odds. Invincible Knight will need things to go his way from carpark draws but is a must for the quaddie and exotics.
How to play it: Gold Ambition EACH WAY ($15 TAB Fixed Odds)
Gold Ambition giving a sight at Warwick Farm