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Punter's Intelligence Wrap - Rosehill 13th July

It’s always a good sign when lightly raced two-year-olds record faster times than the older horses so there’s a lot to like about the debut of high priced colt Spend at Rosehill on Saturday.

The Punter's Intelligence data shows two-year-olds covered the 1100m in 0.22 seconds faster than the fillies and mares a few races later, that race won by Agent Pippa, and all honours must go to Spend.

The first 500m of the juvenile race was run in 30.79, almost four lengths slower than the fillies and mares (30.17) but the second half of the race is a completely different story.

Spend was off the bit coming to the 600m but he was able to reel off the fastest 200m splits from the 800m all the way to the finish and clocked a best of the day final 600m of 34.60.

Not many horses at Rosehill were able to break 12 seconds for each of the last three 200m splits.

In Spend’s case, he really put the foot down from the 400m to the 200m running 11.38 and he was still going best on the line with 11.82 the final 200m.

Given he raced without an official trial in the lead up there’s only upside to Spend and the vibe is he will only get better over further than 1100m.

The runner-up True Detective deserves some credit, he didn’t give up the fight as Spend moved alongside him. He ran 34.96 for his last 600m but just couldn’t match his sprint.

He did fight back in the last 100m but the damage had been done by then.

Agent Pippa looked to run her rivals into the ground in her 1100m but it was more a case of putting them all out of their comfort zone early because they crawled home.

As mentioned her first 500m of 30.17 was slick but her final 600m of 36.21 was around 10 lengths slower than Spend’s final 600m.

Only one horse in that fillies and mares race broke 12 seconds for the last 200m and that was Gala Moshea who was first-up for a year and appeared to be only getting warm late.

Her last 600m of 35.02 was the best of the race by more than a length.

The obvious horse to follow out of the meeting is Cyber Intervention after his slashing second over the 1500m.

As expected he settled near the tail and he sustained quite a long run, running the 600m between the 800m and 200m in 35.88. He also clocked the best final 600m of the race of 36.02 and all this over a distance below his best.

He’s tracking towards a win and a mile and further is right up his alley.

Our Winnie finished fourth in the same race and she has to stay on the radar for her next run, she clocked the best last 200m of 12.25 and the third best last 600m of 36.22.

There was some merit in the first-up run of Best Guess in the race won by River Bird even though his fading seventh might not suggest it.

He almost broke 11 seconds from the 1000m to the 800m (11.01) and ran his first 600m in 36.88, suggesting he overdid it in that first half as he stopped noticeably late running the slowest final 600m of 36.36.

He’ll be better for the run and expect him to be ridden more conservatively next time.

And good old Drachenfels has done it again, posting the fastest last 600m of his 1200m event in 35.25 to keep people interested in him for another start.

The first 600m of that race was run in 36.93, just 0.05 slower than Best Guess, so the effort of Jack’s Bar to hold on and run third had plenty of merit in it.

Fastest last 600m: Spend 34.60

Most ground covered (to win): Eckstein +9.6m

Don’t miss Punter’s Intelligence with Gerard Middleton, Brad Davidson and Brad Gray at 7pm on Tuesdays on Sky Thoroughbred Central.

Click here to download the Punter's Intelligence app.

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