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Punter's Intelligence Wrap - Inglis Millennium Day

Hugh Bowman’s post-race comments about Profiteer might well be the key to the gun colt’s chances of adding a Golden Slipper to his Inglis Millennium triumph.

The champion jockey expressed that he’d like the to see colt switch off and relax, something he certainly didn’t do in the 1100m dash at Randwick on Saturday.

Punter’s Intelligence sectional data paints an unusual picture of Profiteer’s win and illustrates that he didn’t take a rest at any stage. There was nowhere to hide.

He ran the 1100m-1000m in 7.75 then the 1000m-800m in 10.32, 800m-600m in 10.70, 600m-400m in 11.29, 400m-200m in 11.62 and last 200m in 12.59.

Despite having his foot to the floor throughout, Profiteer still ran the third fastest last 600m (35.50) so it’ll be interesting to see if that speed can be harnessed because it can be tough 1200m in a Golden Slipper.

For the second time in her short career Mistaken Identity caught the eye suggesting that more ground will see her produce her best. She posted the fastest last 600m of the race running 35.38 and the last 200m of 12.46.

The two feature three-year-old races couldn’t have been run differently.

The Group 3 Eskimo Prince Stakes (1200m) was pedestrian while the $1m Inglis Sprint (1200m) was a much more brutal contest.

The Face ran the first 600m of the Eskimo Prince in 35.85 while in the Inglis Sprint the first 600m by Malkovich was run in 34.81 or six lengths faster – the overall time was also six lengths in favour of the Inglis race.

With that in mind the first-up run by Prague was noteworthy. He clocked the fastest last 600m of the Eskimo Prince of 34.77 and you’d imagine he has significant improvement in him looking at the difference between his 400m-200m (11.13, race best) and last 200m (12.17).

The winner Peltzer did post the race’s best last 200m of 11.99 so that sets him up well to step up in distance coming off a strong first-up victory.

North Pacific wasn’t aided by the slow tempo after settling well back, though in front of Prague, and his last 600m of 35.14 can be described as fair.

In the Inglis Sprint, more conducive to horses running on, Ole Kirk ran a race best last 600m of 34.43 and he was winding up nicely before clearly peaking.

He ran 11.09 from the 600m-400m and 11.12 from the 400m-200m, both fastest of the race, then ran a last 200m of 12.22. That was second only to Rocketing By (12.13) but says Ole Kirk still has upside as you’d expect for a 1600m Group 1 winner.

Sky Lab announced himself as a potential Derby prospect with a comprehensive second-up win in the Agency Real Estate Mile (1600m).

His last 600m of 34.42 was well over two lengths faster than the next best (Blondeau 34.82) but it’s his last 200m of 11.64 that really stands out.

That time was just 0.02 outside the fastest last 200m of the meeting set equally by Jamaea and Spaceboy (11.62) in the two 1000m races so that shows a touch of class.

While on Jamaea, she easily recorded the fastest last 600m of the Darley Lonhro Plate (1000m) running 33.80 or about two and a half lengths quicker than the next best as she flooded into second from near the tail.

Fastest last 600m: Written Beauty 33.32

Watch Punter’s Intelligence at 7pm on Tuesday on Sky Thoroughbred Central.

Click here to download the Punter's Intelligence app.

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