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Neil Evans' Tips For Kembla Grange (Monday)

By Neil Evans

Track Good 4 and rail out 9m from 1100m to WP & +7m the remainder:

Race 1 - 1:35PM CBC/EDMUND RICE COLLEGE PROV. CLASS 1 HANDICAP (1200 METRES)

2. Greyt Thinker was strong through the line in winning a handy maiden at Hawkesbury second-up. Comes back a shade in trip, but trained here and can go right on with the job. 1. Eagles Beware is a lightly raced market watch resuming off a long break and two trials. 3. Ghielmi is a stablemate of the top selection who is also accepted for a race later on the program. Failed dismally when resuming as an odds-on favourite in a weak CL1. More comfortable over this trip, and blinkers are back on. 5. Nantucket Island is another one returning off a lengthy break and two trials for a new Hawkesbury stable. Gap to the rest.

How to play it: Greyt Thinker to win

Race 2 - 2:10PM BROTHER C V BELL CG&E MAIDEN HANDICAP (1500 METRES)

1. Waerea is on the rise after hitting the line to miss by a head here on debut, with a decent gap back to third. Up in weight, but drawn to find a nice trail right behind the speed, and emerges as the one to beat. Big watch on 3. Super Scotch, a colt by Super Seth on debut for the John O’Shea and Tom Charlton stable behind two soft city trials, and is bred to get further. The market is also the best indicator with 2. Savvy Spy, a three-year-old by Savabeel on debut for the Waterhouse-Bott stable off two trials. 6. Swing State can improve into his second start; while 4. Tormanzor is a three-year-old debutant from the Annabel and Rob Archibald yard.

How to play it: Waerea to win

Race 3 - 2:45PM MISS KATHLEEN MCGUINNESS F&M MAIDEN HANDICAP (1500 METRES)

4. Luna Bay is an emerging metropolitan filly who can go one better after missing narrowly at this track on debut after solid market support. The extra 100m is a plus, and so too the inside gate where she can get a sweet run behind the speed in a race of many chances. 9. Bondi Blossom is a progressive filly, and the immediate threat third-up from an economical draw. 6. Made It Italy caught the eye on debut flashing home late into a place from a wide draw, finishing right behind the top selection. 2. Bella Wahine will find this more to her liking after running home okay on debut at Warwick Farm when specked in the market at a big price. 5. Tragedies is lightly raced, and gradually working towards a breakthrough win after working home nicely in Luna Bay’s race 16 days ago. 8. Let’s Be Honest is a second-start improver who can run into the minor money. Expect sharp improvement from 1. Miss Joy who did nothing on debut at Hawkesbury.

How to play it: Luna Bay to win

Race 4 - 3:25PM MASTERS OF THEIR CRAFT SUPER MAIDEN PLATE (1300 METRES)

10. Love Rustler is a filly by Hellbent on debut with gear additions for the Peter Snowden stable. Plenty to like about her second trial where she worked home strong on the bridle from near last. Drawn to get plenty of cover off the speed, and will be strong late with clear air. 1. City Gold Field is primed to break through after running into a place here second-up. 7. Iron Legend, a debutant by Dundeel from the Hawkes yard, has been given plenty of time since working home strongly behind a promising one in a trial five weeks ago, but drawn wide. 12. Saloon Passage is another stepping out for the first time behind a solid on speed trial for the Chris Waller stable. Bred to get further being by Contributor. 2. Playbill is a four-year-old first starter by superstar The Autumn Sun, and a big betting watch off two handy trials. 3. Superata reloading off a seven week break and soft trial, and 5. Aristocrat also returning off two trials as a gelding with blinkers removed; both go in wider exotic plays.

How to play it: Love Rustler to win

Race 5 - 4:05PM CBC/ERC TEAM OF THE CENTURY CLASS 1 HANDICAP (1600 METRES)

7. Southern Prince is a progressive and well bred three-year-old who can make it two straight this prep in a weak race. Swept home from near the back to win first-up, and gets in on the limit weight after the claim. Scratched from a much tougher Group 3 race on Saturday to run here. 5. Naughty Sort is a lightly raced home tracker who also shoots for back-to-back wins here second-up. Tracked the speed fresh before going home best to beat Luna Bay who rates on top earlier in the meeting. 1. Omnic comes back in class third-up with some weight relief after the jockey’s claim.

How to play it: Southern Prince to win

Race 6 - 4:40PM PETER MCGOVERN PRINCIPAL INGLIS XTRA MIDWAY MAIDEN (1200M)

9. Fullalove is a progressive metropolitan filly well placed to strike second-up in just her fourth start. Worked home nicely to be beaten under a length when having her first outing since mid May. Suited over 300m further, and drawn to find a trail just off the speed. 10. Ho Aloha improves further at his fourth start with key gear changes. Big watch on 7. The Prospect, a Wyong-based debutant my multiple Group 1 winner Trapeze Artist, who starts behind two improving trials. 1. Everybody Rise third-up from a wide draw, and 4. C’mon Flyer, a home track debutant with two trials under his belt, can both figure in the money.

How to play it: Fullalove to win

Race 7 - 5:20PM GAMBLE LAW-CLASS OF 2011 CLASS 1 HANDICAP (1000 METRES)

3. Missie Lee is a progressive mare who can win again third-up. Charged home to beat all bar the winner when resuming at Hawkesbury before ridden closer and finishing off best here when solid again in the market. Drawn to to gain the right run with cover. 1. Sociable is a big threat back in this class after running home well in a BM 64 here when resuming off a long break. 7. Luskintyre shoots for consecutive wins fourth-up. 2. Ghielmi drops significantly in weight second-up in a stronger race, with blinkers back on, although accepted earlier in the meeting as well. 6. All The Way Mae is a lightly raced home track filly drawn to be in the finish second-up; while 4. Nymphadora can run a race fresh behind two trials.

How to play it: Missie Lee to win

Race 8 - 5:55PM ERC OLD BOYS BENCHMARK 64 HANDICAP (1400 METRES)

1. Apollo Mission is trained on the track and a smart second-up performer who draws to get a soft run off speed in a race with many chances. Honest weight carrier who should get cover, and be saved for one final surge from the 350m. 3. My Shalom is a big second-up improver coming back in grade. 5. Ivana rushed home to win a similar level race here second-up, and draws to get cover around midfield. 6. Tiger Town worked home late to finish only a neck from the winner in similar company first-up at Newcastle. Watch the market on 4. Hell’s Itch resuming without blinkers off two quiet trials; while 7. Zipitalist, a stablemate of the top selection, heads the rest.

How to play it: Apollo Mission to win

BEST BETS:
R5 7. SOUTHERN PRINCE
R6 9. FULLALOVE

BEST VALUE:
R7 3. MISSIE LEE

All the fields, form and replays for Monday's meeting at Kembla Grange

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