By Ray Hickson
Tips and race by race preview by Ray Hickson for Wednesday’s Canterbury meeting. Selections based on a good track.
|Race 1 – 1:25PM HOLLER @ DARLEY HANDICAP (1550 METRES)|
8. Parche will likely be giving away a start but she did more than enough on debut when an unlucky fourth at Warwick Farm to say she has more upside than most here. She posted the race's best last 600m of 34.48 (Punter's Intelligence). There does look a lack of speed, which is a concern, but on potential she’s the horse to beat. Read trainer Gary Portelli's comments here.
Dangers: 5. Bungalow Bill was unfancied in betting in the same race as Parche and boxed on to hold third from on the pace. His racing style will be a plus here though there’s no doubt Parche would have beaten him with a clearer run. Still, he only has to back up that effort to feature. 6. Colada is coming out of a couple of solid midweek maidens lately including placings to Deference and Yao Dash at this track. Down 3kg and he is a genuine chance. 3. Lewis held his ground on debut behind Reformist at Warwick Farm and has blinkers and an extra 250m in his favour. Looks one of the major chances too.
How to play it: Parche WIN ($2.`40 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
Parche runs fourth at Warwick Farm on August 28
|Race 2 - 2:00PM HEADWATER @ VINERY HANDICAP (1200 METRES)|
2. Dance Hall Girl will lead as she has done in her two wins to date and she did get it pretty comfortable at Warwick Farm first-up. Expecting there could be a bit more pressure on her so she’s possibly under the odds but she's the horse to beat.
Dangers: 1. Miss Scorcher managed to hold off Subpeonaed to win over this course last start and that’s obviously pretty good form. She’ll be prominent in the run and while she’s in top form she is a contender. 4. Sakura is lightly raced and did a good job winning two races in her first preparation. Fitter for two trials and is one who would be suited by a bit of a battle up front. 3. Major Wager had a mixed campaign in the late summer, early autumn which included a stakes placing. Trialled okay against open company and if he finds his best he can feature.
How to play it: Dance Hall Girl WIN ($2.20 TAB Fixed Odds); Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
Dance Hall Girl wins at Warwick Farm on August 28
|Race 3 – 2.35PM EVEREST CARNIVAL HANDICAP (1250 METRES)|
Keen on the chances of 10. Astralis who debuted in a stronger race won by Mandela at Randwick on a heavy track where she was squeezed out as she made her run with the winner. Trialled nicely since then, drawn well and she should go close.
Dangers: 1. Papal Warrior has threatened to win a race and is now with Chris Waller. Enjoyed a nice run in his trial where he gained an inside passage and went on to win. Also drawn well enough to give him every chance. 3. Cock Match has been gelded since his first preparation and looked the part winning his second trial at Rosehill by a comfortable space. Expect him to be right on the speed and he could take running down. 8. Bollywood ran on well when resuming behind Lakia here three weeks ago. Placed in five of six starts and is an eac-way hope again.
How to play it: Astralis WIN ($4.40 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
Astralis runs fourth on debut at Randwick on August 3
|Race 4 – 3.10PM ANZ BLOODSTOCK NEWS HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
6. Kylease is the class runner here and there’s no doubt she has a couple of lengths on her rivals on that score. The outside barrier gives them a chance to beat her but she also has the speed to overcome it. Looked superb in her two trials and is clearly the horse to beat.
Dangers: 2. Grimoire is a handy type resuming and there’s a bit to like about how he’s come back looking at his trials. He rarely runs a bad race, has a soft draw and there’ll be reasonable early speed. Each-way claims fresh. 3. El Mo is another consistent performer who resumes but without a public trial. Narrowly beaten in similar races at Warwick Farm at his last two starts and from gate one will get all the favours. Keep safe. 5. Roosevelt disappointed on his preferred wet ground last time but he was huge in a close third here first-up a month ago. Won’t be contesting the lead here as he did then and he’s back from Saturday company. Can’t leave out.
How to play it: Kylease WIN ($1.70 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: EVENS.
Kylease wins a trial at Warwick Farm on September 5
|Race 5 – 3.45PM TAB HANDICAP (1250 METRES)|
5. Quadriga won a similar race to this when resuming last time in and has come up with the draw that will give him every chance to repeat. Raced wide in his trial on heavy ground in a good pipe opener. Be surprised if he’s not in the finish.
Dangers: 7. Erno is very promising and the horse they have to beat. Narrowly beaten when resuming after sitting outside the lead, he’ll press forward here and probably lands in a similar spot or presses on to the front. The result then depends on how much work he does. 10. Sedition ran third in the same race as Erno last time and arguably should have won it after being shut out of a run at a vital stage. Draw means he will need a bit of luck here too but wouldn’t be leaving him out. 6. Ruthless Agent is capable of running well fresh and he was close up in his only trial this time in at Canterbury. Soft draw, and is an each-way chance.
How to play it: Quadriga WIN ($4.00 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: ODDS.
Quadriga runs fourth in a Canterbury trial on September 2
|Race 6 – 4.20PM AUSTRALIAN TURF CLUB HANDICAP (1900 METRES)|
1. Rapido Chaparro served it right up to the leader over a mile at Warwick Farm, hit the front then came again when headed in a very tough performance. Has failed at 1900m here with the same weight but sets up well to peak and if he can dictate he should give a sight.
Dangers: 8. Achondrite seemed to have every chance when leading as favourite at Warwick Farm a month ago. Unlikely to lead here so she might be a bit more effective. Definite chance. 7. Genoveffa is flying with successive wins at Kembla and Hawkesbury and there was no fluke about either. Has the inside alley and while up in grade wouldn’t shock to see her around the mark. 14. Misty Summer is hard to line up coming off a maiden win at her second start but she was dominant and you'd think Chris Waller wouldn't throw her in this for nothing. Keep safe.
How to play it: Rapido Chaparro E/W ($5.00 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: ODDS.
Rapido Chaparro runs second at Warwick Farm on August 28
|Race 7 - 4:55PM ATC MEMBER TOURS HANDICAP (1550 METRES)|
5. Beaufort Park shouldn’t miss each-way here after finding the line very well into third at Warwick Farm second-up in an on pace dominated race. No excuses fitness wise and the race seems to set up well for him to be in the finish.
Dangers: 6. Johnny Vinko is an interesting runner first-up for John O’Shea on the back of an eye-catching trial at Randwick recently. Kicks off at a suitable trip from a soft draw, O’Shea has thrown a few gear changes at him and if there’s any support he could win fresh. 2. The Cartoonist bobs up now and then and followed a nice win at Wyong with a close up fourth at the Farm in a similar sort of race. Runner-up at only attempt this track and trip and he’s an each-way chance for sure. 4. The Bald Eagle won a similar race three weeks ago leading all the way. Drawn to lead or have the box seat run so wouldn't shock if he's in the finish again.
How to play it: Beaufort Park E/W ($4.00 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
Beaufort Park runs third at Warwick Farm on August 28