By Brad Gray
Tips and race by race preview by Brad Gray for Rosehill.
The rail is in the True and the form has been done for a heavy track.
|Race 1 - 12:05PM TAB HIGHWAY CLASS 3 HANDICAP (1200 METRES)|
7. Art Cadeau ran his last 600m at Kembla Grange first up in 32.79s. That still only saw him run second in the field of four as the $2.50 second favourite. The race turned into a 400m sprint home and the four-year-old was only getting warm through the line. Terry Robinson’s gelding finished last preparation with two seconds in Highway company, only beaten half a length on both occasions. Significantly, both of those were on heavy tracks at Rosehill too, over 1400m and 1500m. With the run under his belt, the ability to handle wet tracks and no query whatsoever over him getting a strong 1200m, this race plays right into his hands. Tommy Berry does the steering and can be positive early to offset the wide draw.
Dangers: 13. Choccy Gaf won on a Heavy 10 at Wagga last preparation. He’ll handle whatever Rosehill throws up. He won at Moruya the last time we saw him while prior to that he was beaten 1.2L in town, finishing on the heels of Bazooka and Montefilia! It was a leader, rail-friendly day mind you. If he was second up here, would likely finds himself top pick at the early price. 2. Cock Match presents here first up too and has 60kg but the wet track won’t stop him. Can’t say the same for 6. Monica’s Star and 8. Blitzar. Both were brilliant winning last start but on dry tracks. Meanwhile, the 1200m could stretch 9. Crackneck and 4. Depth That Varies, especially given the testing conditions.
How to play it: Art Cadeau WIN ($5.50 TAB Fixed Odds) and Choccy Gaf WIN ($13) Odds & Evens: ODDS
It's a @tabcomau Highway Handicap that gets spotlighted this week!
— Racing NSW (@racing_nsw) October 29, 2020
|Race 2 - 12:40PM SCHWEPPES HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
7. Obvious Step hit the line hard in the Listed Reginald Allen last start with only Elizabeel clocking a faster last 600m (Punters Intelligence). Elizabeel was subsequently well backed in the Bondi Stakes, running a credible fourth. Obvious Step had to duck and weave too, suffering interference in the straight. The David Payne-trained filly drops back to a BM72 here and has the same weight. Admittedly, it wasn’t the deepest Listed race last start and there a couple of lightly-raced three-year-old (one colt, one gelding) engaged in this event but she was a heavy track winner last preparation, beating Giovanna Run on the Kenso, and this race sets up well fourth up for her with Jason Collett in the saddle.
Dangers: 10. Ellsberg looked under siege on debut at Warwick Farm but found again and won going away again on the line. Let Me Think has since bolted in at Hawkesbury having finished fourth there. With no weight and plenty of upside, Ellsberg warrants plenty of respect. 1. Enchanted Heart comes off a dominant midweek win but she was given a beautiful ride by Nash Rawiller. He sticks but doubt she finds the same spot in running here. Hard to knock 8. Fortune Seeker’s unbeaten record. Can 4. Air To Air improve back in grade? Perhaps.
How to play it: Obvious Step EACH WAY ($5.50 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT
Obvious Step last start at Listed level
|Race 3 - 1:20PM TRESEMME HANDICAP (1200 METRES)|
Hello 8. Miss Einstein , my old friend. Like how this race sets up for her first up over 1200m on a wet track. She resumes after a frustrating preparation last time around. The five-year-old went winless in five starts, all in BM78 company. It’s the same level she faces again here. First up last campaign she surged to the line from last on a good track behind Oakfield Missile and True Detective. The preparation prior to that she ran Miss Scorcher and Subpoenaed to 0.3L first up at Canterbury. The daughter of Dundeel’s form flattened off deep into her preparation over the winter. Bjorn Baker’s mare has trialled up well on two occasions and the early markets have overlooked her. She’ll get back but charge late.
Dangers: Stablemate 10. Bring The Ransom’s two best runs last campaign were on heavy tracks. She won first up at the midweeks before running a luckless fifth behind Mo’s Crown fourth up. Trialled alongside Miss Einstein and is 3:2-0-1 fresh. 1. Segalas draws well, handles all surfaces and has finished top three in 12 of her 18 outings. 4. Misteed was never a hope first up in a slowly run race and is 11:3-2-1 on wet tracks. She’s winless on dry.
How to play it: Miss Einstein EACH WAY ($7 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: EVENS
Miss Einstein trialling at Rosehill recently
|Race 4 - 2:00PM FUJITSU GENERAL HANDICAP (1900 METRES)|
11. Archanna was nailed on the line in a very similar race to this three weeks ago and can only see her finishing in the money again in this. The daughter of Snitzel has that 2000m run under her belt now and the other thing in her favour is that in her one previous run on a heavy track, albeit on debut in a midweek maiden, she gave her rivals a touch up and clocked good time for the meeting. Suspect that she can only improve again off what she did last start, not that she needs to. Like the way this four-year-old swept past her rivals to win at Canterbury prior to just missing last start, beating Nimalee. She loses the services of regular rider James McDonald but picks up Nash Rawiller, and she should get the run of the race from the perfect draw. No excuses.
Dangers: Chris Waller-trained stablemate 3. Across Dubai is the one the market has missed. Was back to the mile last start and only got warm the last 200m. That was behind 5. Kirwan’s Lane. There is a 3kg swing in Across Dubai’s favour and suspect he wants a wet track. That’s no knock on Kirwan’s Lane having won two on the bounce. 10. Relucent at least warrants a mention given how close he finished to Archanna but he doesn’t have her upside. 6. Navy Cross got control last Saturday over the mile so was entitled to run well but that heavy track run over the mile should see him peak now.
How to play it: Archanna WIN ($3.20 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: ODDS
'The positives find themselves. She’s hard fit, loves the wet and draws to get every chance.'@BradJGray's Runner By Runner Guide to the Iron Jack Golden Eagle.
— Racing NSW (@racing_nsw) October 29, 2020
|Race 5 - 2:40PM RENDR DELIVERY SPRINT (1100 METRES)|
12. Macroura won three from four in her first racing campaign, and improved every time we saw her. She’s still untapped. That winning sequence included beating Wild Ruler at start two, albeit getting 4.5kg off him before dominating a Listed race over the Rosehill 1100m a start later. Co-trainers Ciaron Maher and David Eustace then threw the daughter of Snitzel into the deep end jumping from 1100m to 1400m in the G1 JJ Atkins. She didn’t run the trip, beaten four lengths by Rothfire, but did start hard in the market. On debut at Kembla Grange she got through the heavy conditions so that box is checked too. Has trialled well and although this race is no gimme, the majority of her rivals here have reached their level, with the exception of 9. Plaquette but her wet form is questionable.
Dangers: It’s getting difficult to forecast when 1. Black Magnum’s spikes in form appear but he beat subsequent Brian Crowley winner The Bopper fair and square last start at Canterbury, running very fast time. The heavy track is no concern either and like the three weeks between runs. 8. Lesage has the grounding of two Melbourne runs and won by 4L the last time she raced on a heavy track, albeit at Hawkesbury in a Class 2. 7. Switched got an overdue win last start and gets in very light at 53.5kg. She’ll run well, she always does, regardless of the conditions. 5. Mo’s Crown only has to resume where he left off last preparation to be competitive.
How to play it: Macroura WIN ($3.20 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: EVENS
Macroura winning the Woodlands Stakes last preparation
|Race 6 - 3:25PM KYPREOS GROUP ROSEHILL GOLD CUP (2000 METRES)|
10. Nimalee looks ready to win now fourth up out to a staying trip. The four-year-old has finished in the money in all three runs this time back, the latest a third in the G3 Angst behind Emeralds and Greysful Glamour. Happy to trust that form line given what they did on the clock and the gaps back through the field. Prior to that she ran second to Dancing Gidget and then Archanna over 1500m. Nimalee has shown in her limited career that she handles the wet too. She is untried on heavy ground but is 3:2-1-0 on soft going. Jason Collett will park the daughter of So You Think in the first couple and down on the minimum, she’ll be afforded every possible chance. I‘d be surprised if she’s not in the top three once more.
Dangers: 9. House Of Cartier finished on the heels of Nimalee in the Angst and in the past hasn’t even got warm until she got out to 2000m. Suspect she has returned better than ever. The wet track shouldn’t worry her. 3. Wu Gok will be getting giddy looking out his barn at Rosehill seeing the rain continue to fall. The heavier the better. He is more a 2000m horse than mile and a half so the drop back in trip suits, with the asterisk being that those tough runs may have flattened him. 13. She’s Ideel is another back in trip from the St Leger where she started hard in the market. Like the wet track for her. 8. Morton’s Fork can place at odds while 4. The Candy Man could improve on a heavy track.
How to play it: Nimalee WIN ($4.60 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT
Nimalee last start in the Angst
|Race 7 - 4:10PM YES YES YES STAKES (1300 METRES)|
Just how much did The Everest take out of 3. Eduardo ? We won’t have the luxury of knowing the answer to that until after Saturday but the fact that Joe Pride is prepared to run the front-running seven-year-old says that he is showing all the right signs. It’s been well documented that the gelding went way too fast a fortnight ago. Off his two runs prior to that, he has a strong profile for this. He split Classique Legend and Bivouac in The Shorts, with Dirty Work in fourth. Prior to that he controlled the Missile Stakes from the front and ran the fastest last 200m in the race to win going away. That was on a heavy 9. Nash Rawiller is reunited with Eduardo having ridden him three times for two wins and a second. Little query on barrier 1 at this point of the meeting.
Dangers: All being equal 1. Gytrash is simply too good for this second tier of sprinters, and that’s no disrespect to his rivals. His record speaks for itself. The query in the context of his price is stretching to 1300m and doing it on a very testing track. A surface he has no exposure to. 12. Haut Brion Her is the third Everest runner here and was arguably the best run of all three. She absorbed that frantic early pressure to only be beaten 3.4L. The wet looks okay for her off her soft track wins. Warhorse 9. Man Of Peace gave a sight in The Kosciuszko and comes right into this race with the heavy conditions (10:5-1-2). 7. Star Of The Seas is another that loves the mud (4:3-1-0) but his challenge is coming back from a flat 2000m run to 1300m within a fortnight. Can make cases for 4. Imaging too.
How to play it: Eduardo WIN ($5.50 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: ODDS
Eduardo winning the Missile Stakes on a heavy track
|Race 8 - 4:50PM IRON JACK GOLDEN EAGLE (1500 METRES)|
Have settled on the fact that his race won’t necessarily be won by the best horse in the race, but the best suited. That’s no pot on 18. Icebath but the fact is, she is the lowest rated horse in the field. However, she looked like her old man Sacred Falls in the way she quickened on the heavy track last Saturday, clocking the fastest last 200m split of the entire meeting. That was the last race on a quickly deteriorating track. The positives find themselves. She’s hard fit on the back up off a wet mile win, loves the going and draws to get every chance. What an opportunity for young apprentice Tom Sherry. The four kilo claimer gave this mare a faultless ride last Saturday at Randwick and deserves his shot in a $7.5 million race. Icebath appeals at big odds in a wide open race.
Dangers: 13. Colette is unbeaten on wet ground and all three of those wins were exceptional. The four weeks between runs might be enough to negate that she is looking for further. Only Rock had a quicker last 600m than her in the G1 Epsom. Have got little doubt that 10. Criaderas possesses as much talent as any runner in this field, he just has to iron out a few creases. He was beaten last Saturday as an odds on favourite but still clocked the fastest last 600m of the meeting. He’s no stranger to that accolade either. Another that presents here hard fit, would just love to see him midfield as opposed to out the back. The barrier looks ugly for 12. Funstar but likely leader 8. Just Thinkin’ has drawn to her immediate inside. 9. Bottega can win too.
How to play it: Icebath EACH WAY ($9.50 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT
Icebath winning at Randwick just last Saturday
|Race 9 - 5:25PM QUAYCLEAN HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
There’s every chance that barriers are the least of the jockey’s problem come the last at Rosehill on a deteriorating track so not scoring down 1. Zakat on the basis of the wide draw. The four-year-old is easy to like otherwise. He is hard fit now five runs into a preparation and beat a luckless Icebath second up before holding his own in two subsequent BM88 runs. In the latest of those he split Golden Eagle contenders Criaderas and Bottega. The son of Lonhro drops back to a BM78 with the slip side of that being that she shoots up to 60kg. The wet track holds no fears with Zakat’s combined soft and heavy track form reading 6:2-2-1, nor does the 1400m. Looks his race to lose. Over to you Rachel King.
Dangers: Expected more for 6. Fender in The Kosciuszko last start. He boxed seated but found nothing when asked to quicken. Could it be that he is looking for a wet track? Three of his four career wins have been on soft or heavy ground. That includes first up at Rosehill on a heavy 9. Can bounce back. 13. Surreal Step ran last in the Silver Eagle but was only beaten 2.8L. Drops back a few cogs here, makes his own luck and handles the wet. 15. Mirra Vision is holding her form without threatening. Has been a touch one-paced in her finishes so the wet track looks to suit, particularly given her soft track record.
How to play it: Zakat WIN ($4.20 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT
Zakat placing at Randwick last start