By Brad Gray
Tips and race by race preview by Brad Gray for Rosehill.
The rail is in the True and the form has been done for a good track.
|Race 1 - 1:15PM DE BORTOLI WINES HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
Bjorn Baker thought highly enough of 12. Hide Your Heart to accept in the $1m Golden Gift a few weeks back, before scratching due to the wide draw. The daughter of Sebring is set to make her debut here though, having drawn nicely in barrier 4. She has trialled on three occasions now and although she has been niggled to hit the line, have liked the way she has responded. Go back to her first trial in September and she found the line behind Gimcrack placegetter Total Babe before having two more hitouts, beating 6. Sliders, albeit under more pressure, and then most recently finishing second to 13. Princess Spice. It’s an easier style of trial to get a read on as opposed to those two-year-olds that cruise home without being asked to quicken.
Dangers: Princess Spice is trained by Tash Burleigh and to be ridden by Shaun Guymer (his only ride for the meeting), so we’re sure to get a big price. The daughter of Sooboog couldn’t have done much more in her one trial. Flit’s little sister Sliders is the only winner here so comes up the nominal favourite but she does look beatable. Has to stretch her speed from 900m to 1100m now. 8. Hodsgon is another that boasts race experience having run fairly in the Victory Vein and then the Golden Gift. This looks a step down from those races. What do we do with 5. Hunnam with the blinkers going on? He was heavily backed on debut but the wet track was blamed for his failure. 11. Centro Storico has trialled up well too.
How to play it: Hide Your Heart EACH WAY ($8 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT
Hide Your Heart and Princess Spice trialling at Warwick Farm
|Race 2 - 1:50PM BISLEY WORKWEAR HANDICAP (2400 METRES)|
2. Almania should really have panels on these. The five-year-old was imported as a Cups horse and although this spring came too soon for him, his Australian debut was an encouraging one. It was over 2000m at Flemington and after getting a long way back in the run he made steady ground to just miss in a driving finish. There was two lengths over first to fifth but given the rivals he faces second up in a BM78 out to a more suitable 2400m, it doesn’t take much imagination to conclude that he’ll be too classy for this company. It’s curious placement from Kris Lees but perhaps the goal is to bump his benchmark rating up so the son of Australia can assure himself a spot in better races over the Sydney autumn.
Dangers: 1. He Runs Away has won three of his past four, albeit all in Queensland, but winning form must be respected in this profile of staying race. Apprentice Thomas Stockdale takes 2kg off the 62kg impost. Joe Pride’s stayer 4. Stockman is very one paced once he gets out in trip so he can be found out on dry tracks by horses with a turn of foot but in his favour here is the step out to 2400m and the blinkers going on for the first time. Should be at his top now fitness-wise fourth up. There aren’t too many other ways to turn. 7. Relucent was relegated to second on protest last Saturday by stablemate Accountability, however, like many of these here, there is very little upside there.
How to play it: Almania WIN ($2.50 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: EVENS
|Race 3 - 2:25PM TAB HIGHWAY CLASS 2 HANDICAP (1200 METRES)|
Untapped three-year-old 5. Another One has it all still ahead of him. The Wagga-based gelding, trained by Gary Colvin, ran a luckless second to Lion’s Roar on debut, with Mr Moppett in third, at Wagga on Town Plate day before making amends second up. Lion’s Roar of course ran second to Montefilia in the G1 Spring Champion Stakes in his subsequent preparation. Another One was tipped straight out thereafter but resumed where he left off, by belting his Class 1 rivals over 1200m at $1.50 and running sharp time. The son of Super One has settled in front to win and in the second half of the field, so expect the wide draw to dictate the tactics with Jason Collett likely to find cover, let him balance up and flood home. Could be a Country Championships prospect.
Dangers: 2. Art Cadeau really impressed last time out, winning a Rosehill Class 3 Highway. This being a Class 2, he has to lump 61kg but he still warrants being at the pointy end of betting. He was potentially a touch flattered by the heavy track last time out but he goes on all surfaces and did clock the fastest last 200m split of the entire meeting. 10. Kattegat will give away a start, especially from the draw, but he showed last campaign he’s capable of knocking off a Highway and like the way he trialled at Canberra recently.
How to play it: Another One WIN ($2.40 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT
Another One winning at Wagga last start
|Race 4 - 3:00PM QUINCY SELTZER HANDICAP (1300 METRES)|
Backing the class of 1. Segalas to get her home. The five-year-old is seven points clear in the ratings as an 84 rater and although that means she lumps 61kg in a BM78, Tom Sherry’s 2kg claim sees her in with 59kg, just 5kg above the minimum. Not too bad, all considered. It was Sherry who gave Segalas a charmed run last start which saw her score over 1200m at Rosehill. Bring The Ransom ran fourth and has since won while Miss Einstein placed behind Great News. It’s by no means a formidable form line but this isn’t a deep race. Segalas has won five from 19, placing in a further eight of those. Just needs a touch of luck early slotting in from the tricky draw to finish in the money once more.
Dangers: Not sure how to line up the Victorian 6. Write Your Name but Archie Alexander has found a very winnable assignment for his five-year-old dry tracker. Resumed at Ararat where Titan Blinders got control in front, and that horse has since won again. 8. Darleb didn’t get a crack at his rivals last start, in the race won by Bring The Ransom. He’d no doubt have fought out the finish but he was $21 there so there’s a risk he’s overbet in this, especially in early markets which can gravitate to luckless last start runners. 5. Promotions has had every possible chance at his last two outings but nothing was beating Frosty Rocks three weeks back. 2. Americana Magic was only beaten 1.8L by Through The Cracks and Edison last start at Newcastle. If either of those were here, they’d be favourite.
How to play it: Segalas WIN ($6.50 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT
Segalas winning at Rosehill last start
|Race 5 - 3:40PM IRON JACK HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
7. Plaquette was probably entitled to win down the Flemington straight as the $3 favourite, however, that was her first crack at the track. The Godolphin-trained sprinter has found a very winnable BM78 to atone, back around a bend. The four-year-old tore home to run second prior to that, just finding the 1000m a touch too sharp. Punters Intelligence has her clocking a sizzling 32.85s last 600m. There was some depth to the race too with subsequent winner Hulk finishing third while Superium (luckless since) ran fourth. Dating back to her maiden win earlier this year where she ripped clear of Spaceboy to smash the clock at Canterbury, the daughter of Exceed And Excel has shown stakes class ability for a while now. It’s fallen into place for her another two times since then and James Cummings has placed her perfectly to bring up win number four.
Dangers: 4. Jay Jay D’Ar is a capable mare on her day, coming off an eight week freshen having run third behind Athiri and Prime Star. That was a fast-run race which perhaps told late at the end of 1200m. There is less depth here, she draws to do no early work and she won over 1100m two back. 11. Monte Ditto was competitive at this level all last preparation, and was hard in the market. Forgive the margin of his first up defeat at Canterbury with smart filly Najmah proving too slick. Throw him into exotics at the very least. Keen to see what 12. Lady Banff can do on top of the ground with her last three runs all on wet tracks. She has been well supported in early markets.
How to play it: Plaquette WIN ($2.70 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT
"She has always teased to be better than benchmark level."
— Racing NSW (@racing_nsw) November 26, 2020
|Race 6 - 4:20PM ATC CUP (2000 METRES)|
Not prepared to give up on 1. Wolfe just yet. The big thing in his favour here is getting back on top of the ground. The six-year-old’s last three runs were all on wet tracks. His record on good tracks reads 10:6-1-1. That’s a more accurate reflection of his ability. The last time we saw him at the races was back in August in the G1 Winx Stakes. It was well documented that the leaders went way too hard with Dreamforce finishing out the back with Wolfe. Forget that run. The gelding has had two trials and will be ready to go for the Waterhouse and Bott yard. It was only last year he won a G3 Coongy at Caulfield at $3.50 before starting $21 in the Caulfield Cup. Expect Tim Clark to jump onto the back of 6. Greysful Glamour in the run which is a lovely set up for Wolfe to bring his A-game which would see him win this.
Dangers: 4. Black On Gold cut the corner to win Hawkesbury’s Ladies Day Cup, beating Archedemus, but that was no fluke. The seven-year-old broke a long run of outs there but had been racing well the past few preparations, without much luck. Brenton Avdulla could very well give Black On Gold the same run in this from the inside draw. 2. Mantastic and 5. Savacool made plenty of late ground behind Black On Gold and started shorter in the market, which warrants respect. It’s been rocks or diamonds for 6. Greysful Glamour lately but her recent Sydney form is good enough to win this. She just hasn’t fired a shot in Melbourne between those efforts which makes her tricky to assess. 9. Laure Me In and 11. Rocha Clock, having her first crack at 2000m, deserve a crack at this on the back of last start wins. 10. Bonvicini was luckless last start but she’s too well found to entertain here.
How to play it: Wolfe EACH WAY ($9 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT
Wolfe winning a recent Randwick trial
|Race 7 - 5:00PM FUJITSU GENERAL FESTIVAL STAKES (1500 METRES)|
6. Phaistos was well held in the Sale Cup last start but it was on a heavy 10, and he was only second up out straight out to the mile. On that, the gelding’s history suggests that 1600m is right on his upper limits. The five-year-old did run a massive race when third in the Scone Cup last preparation over the trip with Punters Intelligence revealing a slick last 600m despite covering a stack of ground but he’s yet to post a win at the mile. In his one previous run over the Rosehill 1500m Phaistos put his rivals to the sword, albeit in a BM74. Prior to his Sale Cup run, Phaistos resumed at Caulfield in the Listed Weekend Hussler where he split Windstorm and subsequent Gong winner Archedemus. That was on a firm track over 1400m. This race sets up perfectly distance-wise now third up and he can use the draw to settle in the second or third pairing.
Dangers: Don’t be surprised to see 4. Irithea bounce back. First up she didn’t find the front over 1200m while second up she struck a soft track and found the pace too hot. Off two forgives, she’s the best longshot here. Now third up and on top of the ground, she’ll run along and give these something to catch. Wary of 2. Ranier albeit off a flat run in The Hunter. He raced like he wants this extra journey and is 8:4-2-2 for Hugh Bowman. 10. Outrageous was a dominant first up winner at Flemington three weeks ago but there’s a question mark over the depth of that race with second, third and fourth all since failing. 15. Through The Cracks, 14. Evalina and 9. Sambro look the closers.
How to play it: Phaistos WIN ($4.80 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: EVENS
A reminder of what Phaistos is capable of
|Race 8 - 5:40PM SCHWEPPES STARLIGHT STAKES (1100 METRES)|
4. Snitz came into his own last preparation transitioning from a Class 6 galloper into a genuine stakes class sprinter. After winning first up at Randwick, in quicker time than the Hall Mark Stakes, he then won the Takeover Target before starting second favourite ($7.50) to Classique Legend in the June Stakes. He was beaten 0.7L but that’s an exceptionally strong reference for this, not only the losing margin but his SP. In first markets we’re getting the same price in a race sans the newly crowned world’s best sprinter Classique Legend. Drawn barrier 2, Nash Rawiller will have plenty of options early. There is no shortage of speed so would expect the six-year-old to box seat. On the strength of his recent trial hitout, he looks set to return just as well this time back.
Dangers: 14. Varda was no match for the flying Ancestry down the Flemington straight but want to be very forgiving of that now she’s back around a bend. The mare trialled exceptionally well prior to her return and is two from two at Rosehill. 1. Viridine meets Snitz 2kg worse off from their one previous clash and has a length to turnaround, but he’ll get last say given what’s sure to be a truly run race. 13. Inanup is very honest and like the set up back to 1100m on a dry track. He’s drawn to be in the right spot and has trialled nicely since last start.
How to play it: Snitz WIN ($3.80 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: EVENS
Snitz trialling at Rosehill recently
|Race 9 - 6:15PM ROSEHILL BOWLING CLUB HANDICAP (1500 METRES)|
Confidence is tempered a touch due to 9. Fulmina’s awkward gate but she’s destined for bigger and better things than BM78s. The four-year-old went out on a high at the backend of last preparation by caning her rivals over 1800m. It capped a campaign where she won three of five and one of those losses was in a head bobber with Zing. All of those runs were on soft or heavy tracks so that’s a little concern getting back onto a dry track but the last time she raced on a good surface she beat Colette and Tampering at Kembla Grange over the mile to break her maiden. Not sure what the tactics will be from out there but the 1500m at Rosehill is a very fair start so if she can find a back, she possesses the turn of foot to reel these in. That was on display in her June win at Rosehill where she clocked the fastest last 200m split of the meeting, over 1800m.
Dangers: 11. Great News absorbed plenty of early pressure at Newcastle last start yet still held off Enchanted Heart. The 1500m looks a perfect progression for her now and she’s drawn to bounce out and make her own luck once more. She’ll likely have 2. Two Big Fari for company, who raced like he wants this trip now. Getting the big boy up and rolling might be his best chance of finding winning form again. 8. Super is airborne at the moment, winning three on the bounce. He’ll need the seas to part from barrier 1 but he has the turn of foot to win in this grade. Interesting that trainer Mark Minervini prefers Super to the outside of horses. Read more on that here. 4. Betcha Flying has been up a long time now but she showed last week that there’s still some petrol in the tank.
How to play it: Fulmina WIN ($7 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT
Fulmina winning a recent trial at Warwick Farm