By Brad Gray
Tips and race by race preview by Brad Gray for Randwick on Saturday.
The rail is out 3m position and the form has been done for a Good track.
|Race 1 - 11:35AM TAB HIGHWAY HANDICAP (1200 METRES)|
Would be a lot more confident with 15. Tejori if it this race was over 1100m but happy to take the gamble that this sharp filly can stretch her talent to 1200m. Nick Olive looks to have a smart youngster on his hands on what she did at Canberra two weeks ago after nearly a year on the sidelines. The three-year-old sat three deep the trip but still won by a widening four lengths and the overall time was two lengths quicker than the meeting’s Federal, a BM70. In her first campaign the daughter of Hinchinbrook was equally as impressive over the Canberra 1000m on debut before Olive went straight to town, where she scrambled through the heavy conditions after starting single figure odds against Catwalk and Switched. Looks set to spear to the front with most of the speed drawn on her outside.
Dangers: 6. Hellenism peaked on her run first up in a high rating Highway Handicap behind Toro Toro. Jailbreak and Foxie La Belle filled the placings last Saturday in a Highway franking that form line. Hellenism clocked the fastest 400-200 split (10.97s) before her last 200m only ranked 7th. The market drift predicted she’d need the run. 1. Cock Match wasn’t beaten far by subsequent Wagga Town Plate winner Irish Songs two back before bolting up with 62.5kg at Goulburn. Danny Williams is flying at the moment. 2. Lucciola Belle, 3. Luna Mia, 10. Ready To Humble, 11. Pauper and 14. Zelago have all claims too in another very deep Highway.
How to play it: How to play it: Tejori WIN ($3.80 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT
Tejori winning first up at Canberra
|Race 2 - 12:10PM CENTRAL COAST MARINERS 2YO HANDICAP (1200 METRES)|
6. Equation is the only first starter here but loved what we have seen from this son of Press Statement in his trials. Taking it as a lead that the colt was scratched from a much easier race on Wednesday at Canterbury to front up here instead. Assume that’s due to the bigger prizemoney carrot with the Maher and Eustace stable eyeing off a late charge into the G1 JJ Atkins in Queensland. With the benefit of barrier 1 expect Tommy Berry, who rode Equation in two of his most recent trials, to punch up and settle in the first three. He has shown a great burst of acceleration in those trials. It’s always a leap of faith backing a debutant but having been waiting for this two-year-old to step out as he looks to be loaded with talent.
Dangers: 3. Kinloch was an outstanding winner at Newcastle on debut, rounding his rivals up over 900m. It was the win of a very smart colt. The third horse there Already Blessed had run second to Macroura prior and then led all of the way at Warwick Farm on Wednesday. It does generally pay to be cautious with 900m form, especially straight out to 1200m. 7. Kukeracha speared through to win well at Geelong and it’s very much the Kurbrick preparation from last year. 1. Valaquenta will appreciate the 1200m first up. Wasn’t disgraced behind the likes of Hanseatic and Tagloa the last time we saw him. 4. Ocean Emperor and 8. Overlord both warrant respect.
How to play it: Equation WIN ($6 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT
Equation’s latest trial – Warwick Farm, April 27
|Race 3 - 12:45PM TOOHEYS F&M BENCHMARK 78 HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
This race looks very different now after the scratchings of the two early favourites Lashes and Adelong which leaves me with 8. Sophiella. She is very consistent mare and is well placed here in barrier 1 to get the drop on the leaders. Races well at Randwick (2:1-1-0) and at the 1100m trip (12:1-4-3).
Dangers: 4. Blazing Miss is a nose away from being undefeated second up and that loss came at the hands of Tenley as a two-year-old. Can improve sharply on what we saw first up behind Lesage and Adelong. Last start winners 5. Lesage and 9. Longbottom also have claims in what is now a wide open race.
How to play it: Sophiella WIN ($5 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: EVENS
|Race 4 - 1:20PM WESTPAC RESCUE HELICOPTER SERVICE 3&4YO BENCHMARK 78 HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
2. Subpoenaed ran the fastest last 600m split across the entire meeting when second to Rubisaki last start, clocking 34.04s. There was some real quality about the way these fillies attacked the line even taking into account the slow lead speed. What we perhaps did learn about this filly last start having failed over 2000m in the Vinery prior is that she is a 1400m-miler. First up over this trip she gave Rari a beating before the barrier beat her when second to Positive Peace at Rosehill. It hasn’t been the most conventional preparation and this will be her sixth run in which is the query but if she holds her form and Robbie Dolan, who rides to take 1.5kg off her hefty weight, can slice a path through the field, her rivals are unlikely to be able to hold her out.
Dangers: There was only a length between Subpoenaed, 9. Celestial Falls and 10. Miss Einstein when the trio clashed back in September last year. It wasn’t the first time Miss Einstein had fished on the heels of Subpoenaed either and on the back of a fast finishing fifth at Rosehill last start, she sets up well to not only turn the tables on 3. True Detective but also Subpoenaed. Celestial Falls looked plain in her three trials but did prior to last preparation too before running Subpoenaed to 0.2L and then belting her rivals at Flemington leading all of the way. 8.Opacity is a three-year-old worth following but could find the 1400m a touch sharp, while the same can be said for 6. Soldier Of Love second up after an eye-catching return.
How to play it: Subpoenaed WIN ($2.90 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: EVENS
Subpoenaed last start in the James Carr
|Race 5 - 2:00PM MASTER BUILDERS ASSOCIATION NSW BENCHMARK 78 HANDICAP (1200 METRES)|
14. Masked Crusader deserves to be a short priced favourite in this BM78. It’s still all in front of this progressive three-year-old while the rest of his rivals here have reached their mark. He was set an impossible task from the rear of the field at Wyong on debut but has won both starts since then. The first of those back in December when streaking clear at Caulfield over 1200m before resuming from a spell at Bendigo recently where he got himself out of a tight spot with a sparkling turn of foot to still win by a length. The Hawkes camp dodged a wet track at Sandown last week preferring to send him up the highway to tackle this. Shouldn’t be far away from the perfect draw and with even luck, should comfortably put these away as he rolls through the grades.
Dangers: 16. Trophies Galore is a big chance of running a hole at odds on the strength of his recent form. The Muswellbrook-trained galloper ran second in a fast race at Newcastle behind Hardspot two back before chasing home Ulysses again over the Newcastle 1200m. Slips down to 54.5kg for this. 15. Superstar Bob did enough first up and will settle a lot closer in this with Tim Clark riding. 5. Segalas is a very honest mare that’ll be around the money again. 12. Mo’s Crown gets the blinkers on for the first time and hasn’t been beaten far in black type races recently. 6. Spanish Dream can improve sharply on top of the ground while 11. Sedition also has place claims.
How to play it: Masked Crusader WIN ($1.80 TAB Fixed Odds) and 14,16 QUINELLA Odds & Evens: EVENS
Trophies Galore running on last start at Newcastle
|Race 6 - 2:40PM SIGNARAMA ERINA/GOSFORD BENCHMARK 78 HANDICAP (1800 METRES)|
2. Laure Me In should have won last start when held up momentarily at the top of the straight before falling agonisingly short behind 10. Welsh Legend. Jumps back 200m here and loses James McDonald but Jason Collett knows the five-year-old well and similar to last start from the low draw, won’t have to spend anything early to lob him into a midfield position. There’s good speed in this which plays into his hands. His last 200m was 11.57s (Punters Intelligence) which was two lengths faster than the next best. That was Yonkers and he franked the form by winning last Saturday. Laure Me In has been teasing all preparation since finding a new home with David Pfieffer but finds another suitable race on a dry track. Surprised we’re getting near double figure odds.
Dangers: 3. Bottega is a juggernaut. He doesn’t sprint but just keeps building and building to the line so the faster they go here the better he is suited. Has run second in Group company in his past two starts behind Entente and the boom young stayer Kinane. Back to a BM78 he lumps 59.5kg. 11. Loveseat has returned in great order giving her rivals a start and a beating at Canterbury last time out. Hugh Bowman sticks and the progression to 1800m third up looks perfect. Welsh Legend maps beautifully again with Brenton Avdulla knowing exactly what is required to get her home again. He time his run to perfection last start pushing the button at the top of the straight.
How to play it: Laure Me In WIN ($8 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT
Laure Me In and Welsh Legend last start
|Race 7 - 3:20PM LUUX PROPERTIES GOSFORD GOLD CUP (2000 METRES)|
It’s easy to be critical of 14. Aliferous’ teasing run of outs this preparation but she hasn’t run a bad race all campaign starting with a fast finishing second to first up back in February over 1400m. She was then beaten two lengths by Doncaster winner Nettoyer, finished alongside 6. Greysful Glamour (who she meets 2kg better off) in the Epona before just missing to Night’s Watch. Four weeks between runs she lined up in the Hawkesbury Gold Cup dropping back to 1500m and despite finishing ninth, she was only beaten 1.9L and clocked the fastest last 600m in the race (33.83s) ahead of the runner up live And Free. Won over the Randwick 2000m as a three-year-old in the Adrian Knox when beating Amangiri. Well placed here with 53kg in a race with half a dozen or more winning chances.
Dangers: Want to keep 11. Scarlett Dream very safe. She’s dangerous on top of the ground and the soft track is what we can put her last start failure down to at Caulfield. Loved her first up run over the mile prior to that. Has been kept fresh again with four weeks between runs. Liked the return of 4. Brimham Rocks and he exploded out to 2000m last preparation, albeit third up. Might still be half a run short but he’ll run well with any luck from the gate. The level of control Greysful Glamour gets lies in the hands of Kerrin McEvoy and 13. Ilwendo. 1. Yulong Prince is anchored by another big weight but won’t have to go back to last like last start. Moved into the race with his stablemate Shared Ambition but had enough by the 200m. 8. Another Dollar next best.
How to play it: Aliferous EACH WAY ($12 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT
Aliferous has had a teasing run of outs but there was plenty of merit in her last start ninth.@BradJGray uses Punters Intelligence to highlight her sectionals ahead of Saturday's Gosford Gold Cup @royalrandwick @ausbloodstock2 @tabcomau pic.twitter.com/IItvl2tDg5
— Racing NSW (@racing_nsw) May 7, 2020
|Race 8 - 4:00PM DEBORTOLI WINES TAKEOVER TARGET STAKES (1200 METRES)|
1. Tactical Advantage spotted speedy filly Villami a big start at Rosehill over 1100m last start in the Hawkesbury Gold Rush but quickened brilliantly under 59.5kg to nail her on the line. He is a six-year-old with 33 starts under his belt but I’d argue he has never gone better than what he produced there. He ran his last 600m in a sizzling 32.59s with a last 200m of 10.87s (Punters Intelligence). They can’t go much quicker than that! His last 200m in isolation was 1.5L quicker than anything else in the field. The trick to Tactical Advantadge is a dry deck, which he should get come Saturday and with 3. Greyworm, 8. Snitz and 9. Murillo rolling along will get his chance from the rear. Hugh Bowman rides too.
Dangers: Greyworm was impressive last start, albeit in a race where he got control from the front. Did love the way the grey ran through the line though, running the second quickest last 200m in the race and the third quickest across the entire meeting. He has won four of his past five and was luckless in the defeat. Huge threat even up 3.5kg and in a race with more pressure. More was expected from 2. Deprive and 6. All Too Royal in their latest outings but have the ability to win this on their day. Snitz has to take another leap forward in this company but deserves his chance. 7. Signore Fox is much better placed at the weights in this than first up.
How to play it: How to play it: Tactical Advantage WIN ($6.50 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT
Tactical Advantage winning last start
|Race 9 - 4:40PM KENTAN MACHINERY BENCHMARK 88 HANDICAP (1600 METRES)|
4. Rapido Chaparro sets up well her third up out to the mile at Randwick. The five-year-old was gunned down by 11. Grand Piano last start but meets him 2kg better off and has more improvement into this with Grand Piano deep into his preparation. Rapido Chaparro lumped 62.5kg on that occasion, dropping back to 58.5kg for this. It’s a grade above that but not a particularly deep race. Drawn 14 is no negative, in fact it’s a lovely draw for Adam Hyeronimus to roll to the front, keeping the horse into a rhythm before just letting him build into the race. Hyeronimus will crank up the pressure from the 800m and this tough son of High Chaparral will be very hard to peg back. The record of Hyeronimus and Rapido Chaparro the last five times they’ve combined is 5:3-2-0.
Dangers: Grand Piano will be closing hard again late, clocking 33.68s for his last 600m last start (Punters Intelligence). That was a length quicker than the next best. Has won three from four this preparation with the defeat behind Entente at Group level. You don’t need me to tell you that 1. Dealmaker doesn’t win very often but the Randwick mile is his go. Did well to get as close as he did last start over 1400m finishing alongside subsequent last start winner Phaistos. Shoots up in the weights back to this grade but Robbie Dolan takes 1.5kg off his 61kg impost. 14. Nordicus possesses a big finish and being a Dundeel could relish the mile.
How to play it: Rapido Chaparro WIN ($5 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT
"He's a tough horse and will be hard to peg back with that set up."
— Racing NSW (@racing_nsw) May 7, 2020