By Brad Gray
Tips and race by race preview by Brad Gray for Randwick on Saturday.
The rail is out 9m and the form has been done for a Soft/Heavy track.
|Race 1 - 11:25AM CASTELVECCHIO @ ARROWFIELD HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
Concede that 5. Achiever doesn’t have the upside of many of his rivals with four starts already next to his name but there is no better two-year-old form reference than ‘Peltzer form’ in Sydney at the moment and that’s what this Pride Of Dubai colt brings to the table. He was a well beaten third at Randwick a fortnight ago but finished alongside JJ Atkins runner Overlord with the heavily backed Perfect Radiance in fourth. Achiever started $11 in that race yet and here he is at a similar quote in a race without that level of depth. The start prior to that he was tightened when looking to squeeze through a gap at Warwick Farm behind 1. Acrophobic. There wasn’t as much between them there as the market suggests.
Dangers: 4. Oregon fluffed the start at Canterbury on debut but liked the way he recovered to run third over the 1250m. He’ll strip fitter for the outing and had shown in his trials, that he can settle on speed. 1400m on a bigger track is ideal now. Acrophobic won well on debut and gets on speed favours here but is very well found, that’s the only knock. 2. Jeronimos relished a fast speed at Newcastle last start which suggests he'll be strong late again here out in trip. 3. Yangtze Rapids was an eye-catcher behind Acrophobic but the draw looks tricky while 8. Street Dancer can run a cheeky race at monster odds.
How to play it: How to play it: Achiever WIN ($9 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: ODDS
Achiever running third behind Peltzer
|Race 2 - 12:00PM QUINCY SELTZER HANDICAP (1800 METRES)|
2. Kirwan’s Lane hasn’t finished outside of the top two in his last six starts and despite a busy preparation the three-year-old only appears to be getting better. The John O’Shea-trained gelding was unlucky when second to She’s So Savvy at Newcastle two back before most recently thumping his rivals at Canterbury in a midweeker. That was a BM64 but many of his rivals here fall into the same bucket of horses so it’s not a huge jump in grade and he drops 1kg because of it. Kirwan’s Lane has drawn wide but it’s only a field of 10 and the speed looks to be genuine enough up front to allow James McDonald to pick his rivals off. O’Shea’s team is firing at the moment and Kirwan’s Lane is well placed for that to continue.
Dangers: Have been waiting for 1. Ulysses to find another race where he can put himself in the first two as he is a grinding type. That’s how he has won in the past. Love the way he returned at Newcastle. Then found the 1300m too sharp second up before just missing behind Viren out to 1550m. The son of Dawn Approach is untried beyond the mile but his breeding suggests he’ll get the trip. The 1800m is new territory for 8. Divine Eleven too but is racing like it will suit. 3. Trust The Process is five weeks between runs but won off a similar break to back. 5. Money Magic wasn’t far away from Ulysses last start so warrants respect.
How to play it: Kirwan’s Lane WIN ($3.70 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT
Kirwan’s Lane winning at Canterbury
|Race 3 - 12:35PM TAB HIGHWAY CLASS 3 HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
Godolphin cast off 14. Kattegat has found a home at Moruya with Natalie Jarvis and like what we’ve seen from the three-year-old in his three runs so far. The son of Medaglia D’Oro won his first two starts for his new yard first on his home deck over 1000m before running right through the line to record a powerful win out to 1200m at Goulburn. Suspect the reason we’re getting a price about Kattegat here is his last start ‘failure’ at Queanbeyan when fifth over 1000m as the $3.30 favourite. However, he drifted back to last from the wide draw, crabbed around the sharp home turn at that track but once he balanced up he still charged to the line. There’ll be good speed in this so he’ll get his chance.
Dangers: Plenty of the key chances here come through the same 1000m Highway run a fortnight ago and there’s cases to be made for most of them. 11. Keen Power ran on hard into second behind 17. Biscara but won’t get the cosy run he got on that occasion. James McDonald jumps off 4. Glamour Cat to ride Keen Power but Glamour Cat covered ground there and draws to get the right run to improve sharply. 1. Cock Match will appreciate the extra 100m here compared to last start while 12. Bad Boy For Love had no luck whatsoever and has been overlooked by bookies.
How to play it: Kattegat EACH WAY ($21 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT
Kattegat winning at Goulburn two starts ago
|Race 4 - 1:10PM SCHWEPPES HANDICAP (2400 METRES)|
Do we trust 8. Re Edit to reproduce what she did last start? If she does, she’ll win. She flashed home to run second behind Costello three weeks ago clocking a slick 33.27s last 600m at the end of 2400m with a last 200m of 11.21s (Punters Intelligence). She breezed straight past 3. Humbolt Current late. The worry is it was off a $31 SP (albeit in from $51) having shown very little in her four runs prior this preparation. Two back she was fired to the front in midweek company but folded up to be beaten 12 lengths. Perhaps the quieter ride is what sparked her back into form, which poses it’s own little question mark having drawn barrier 2 on Saturday, but in the same grade over the same trip, happy to take the gamble that she can hold her form.
Dangers: It’s amazing that in 2. High Opinion’s 49 start career spanning six years that he has only ever been tried a handful of times over the mile and a half. It does look the logical progression now, however, having powered to the line in his last two runs. The first of those in the Wagga Cup from a long way back before winning at Randwick over 2000m. 7. Loveseat has four lengths to turnaround on High Opinion but didn’t get the clearest passage home and looks desperate for the extra ground now. 10. Terwilliker maps to get complete control while 11. The Guru offers up a different form line through the three-year-olds but under true weights would carry just 48kg with his low benchmark rating.
How to play it: Re Edit WIN ($5.50 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: EVENS
Can Re Edit do this again?
— Racing NSW (@racing_nsw) June 5, 2020
|Race 5 - 1:50PM CALYX @ COOLMORE AUSTRALIA HANDICAP (1200 METRES)|
5. Burning Crown doesn’t have the most conventional set up being third up with five weeks between runs but his best is comfortably good enough to win this, and Hugh Bowman does the steering. The four-year-old has been scratched a couple of times recently, presumably due to wide draws, but finds a very suitable BM78 to reward Sue Grills’ patience. Burning Crown proved he could handle the wet first up at Warwick Farm bravely holding off mudlark Epic Dan before showing plenty of ticker second up riding a hot speed four wide without cover holding down third behind Dirty Work. He sprinted as well as anything from the 400-200m but felt the pinch thereafter. The other leaders packed up to finish out the back. It was third and fourth up last preparation he strung two impressive wins together.
Dangers: 6. Tony’s Reward is a sleeper in this. Tactics will be interesting from the wide gate but would suggest he’ll be ridden conservatively. That dents his winning chances but only has to return as well as last preparation to be competitive here and trialled well behind Classique Legend this time back. 3. Oakfield Twilight scooted clear last start and fell in to pinch a race over 1300m so back to 1200m, imagine the same tactics are adopted. There is a little case to be made for most runners here, even good wet tracker 12. The Lion and 13. Ragged Rascal right down the bottom having run on late behind Adelong at his last two starts.
How to play it: Burning Crown WIN ($2.70 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT
Burning Crown behind Dirty Work last start
|Race 6 - 2:30PM VALE DARBY MCCARTHY HANDICAP (1200 METRES)|
3. Enfleurage is much better suited out to 1200m second up. She was found wanting first up when tearaway leader and winner Witherspoon ripped her out of her comfort zone over 1000m and she faded to finish a well beaten sixth. This will be a completely different shape and if Hugh Bowman can get any kind of control from up front, and a little breather at any stage, she’s the horse to beat. Keep an eye on the make up of this field with that in mind as a number of the emergencies are speedy fillies. In her eight start career, the daughter of Exceed And Excel has led on four occasions, winning three of them with the defeat a narrow one at Caulfield in a Group Three. She is a control freak. We know she handles the wet, unsurprisingly being out of gun wet tracker Neroli.
Dangers: 1. Segalas chased home Masked Crusader the last time we saw her with Spencer and Mo’s Crown franking that form line since. Is four weeks between runs and looked to plain to the eye in a tickover barrier trial but only has to hold her form to be in the money again. 2. Wandabaa relished the hot speed set by Spaceboy last time out but has obviously returned well and is a winner of five of her 10 starts. Want to be very forgiving of 13. Voila last start from Randwick last start as the track had chopped out come the last race and the field was strung out at the finish. Add into the mix that Voila pulled up lame. Throw 15. Snow Valley into that same bucket.
How to play it: Enfleurage WIN ($3.70 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: ODDS
Enfleurage’s forgivable first up effort
|Race 7 - 3:10PM BOB CHARLEY AO STAKES (1100 METRES)|
1. Classique Legend should win this on class. The four-year-old appears here for a winter cameo ahead of a spring campaign targeted at The Everest but with just one trial under his belt, how wound up will he be for this? Last preparation he resumed off a 19 week break with two 1000m trials under his belt, albeit when resuming over 1200m in a harder race than this, but it’s food for thought. Drawn widest, Kerrin McEvoy will have a decision to make early. There is good speed engaged but with 6. Snitz drawn out with him, he’ll provide a cart across but the gamble then is whether they go quick enough early for a spot to open up for him. Can’t tip against him but approaching him a degree of caution.
Dangers: 2. Jungle Edge and Nash Rawiller look a match made in heaven and the veteran wet tracker should have no trouble finding the fence. The seven-year-old won a Group Three by a space off a seven week freshen two back before covering ground in the G1 Goodwood last start. Forget that run. The last time he ran at Randwick he placed third behind Nature Strip and Redzel. Snitz is flying but his limited heavy track form might suggest he’ll want the track to keep drying. Not too quick to judge him off that though as he has never raced better.
How to play it: Classique Legend WIN ($2.40 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT
Classique Legend’s latest trial at Canterbury
|Race 8 - 3:50PM DRINKWISE MILE (1600 METRES)|
7. Phaistos has returned better than ever this preparation with a win and two narrow seconds to his name. First up he was nabbed in the shadows by Ranier before finding the right part of the track second up but sizzled home to win before the tempo beat him in the Scone Cup. Given he was flushed wide turning for home and the shape of the race, he did a big job to get as close as he did clocking very strong late splits. Thought the mile was on his upper limits last preparation but don’t have that concern nowadays and we know he handles wet tracks. Hugh Bowman is back aboard boasting a 4:2-1-1 record on the four-year-old and Bowman will punch up from the inside to hold a more prominent spot in running. He’s hard to knock and with 14. Man Of Peace and 2. Archedemus keeping each other company up front, will get every chance.
Dangers: Archedemus wasn’t ridden to his strength last start which is striding along in front, grinding his rivals into the ground. He was four weeks between runs there and was back to 1400m. This is a much better set up and Nash Rawiller goes on. 4. Sambro matched motors with Phaistos at Scone but draws awkwardly in this, albeit with James McDonald in the saddle. 11. Dealmaker has a poor winning strike rate, but he is racing as well as ever and his Randwick mile stats are 5:1-2-1. Wasn’t suited back to 1400m last start and prior to that just missed behind Grand Piano and prior to that, Ranier and Phaistos. Then there are last start winners 1. Dr Drill and 14. Man Of Peace.
How to play it: Phaistos WIN ($2.70 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT
"He has returned better than ever this campaign."
— Racing NSW (@racing_nsw) June 4, 2020
|Race 9 - 4:25PM TAB HANDICAP (1600 METRES)|
Have loved the way 9. Itz Lily has attacked the line in her two runs back this preparation and she won’t be giving away as impossible a start from the perfect draw now third up out to the Randwick mile. The four-year-old ran a fast-finishing sixth behind Rocha Clock first up over 1300m suggesting she was in for a fruitful campaign before running into traffic second up which proved costly. With clear running she perhaps wins the race. In her five career runs on soft and heavy ground she is yet to miss a top three finish, winning three of them. Despite winning four of her 14 starts overall, she has been a touch costly to punters in the past with five losses at $6.50 and shorter but all of the signs are that she has returned better than ever and this looks the right race to cash in.
Dangers: You can tie Itz Lily’s form to 1. Opacity through Agassi, but the query with Opacity is if he wants further than the mile now third up off a heavy track win. I’ve got little doubt he is the horse with the brightest future in this race, as his record of four wins from six starts suggests however he’ll spot his rivals a big start. If you make a case for Opacity, 7. Come Along, 10. Greek Hero and 15. Word For Word all have to be in the conversation too. Miss Einstein didn’t fire last Saturday to frank the form but perhaps she just didn’t back up. 4. Guise was beaten 1.6L by Itz Lily first up but can only strip fitter and also relishes the wet.
How to play it: Itz Lily WIN ($5 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: ODDS
Itz Lily was luckless second up