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Randwick Winners - Tips For Saturday 24th October

By Brad Gray

Tips and race by race preview by Brad Gray for Randwick.

The rail is out 4m and form has been done for a Good track, albeit with rain forecast for Saturday.

Race 1 - 12:50PM FORUM GROUP KIRKHAM PLATE (1000 METRES)

2. Jumbo Goal was as green as grass in his Randwick trial but he looks to possess an engine. The Exceed And Excel colt was slow into stride in his one hitout before getting onto heels half way down the straight. Jumbo Goal resented that and started overracing but when Nash Rawiller, who rides the chestnut here on debut, found clear running there was plenty to like about how the two-year-old went to the line. The trial was won by subsequent impressive Victory Vein winner Captivant while Bacchanalia, who finished fourth in that same race, also went around in Jumbo Goal’s trial. Outside of Enthaar, Captivant is the second best youngster we’ve seen step out in Sydney to date so happy to trust him as a reference point.

Dangers: 10. Mura Mura was the opposite to Jumbo Goal in her trial. She used the inside to hold the front, sped along and found a kick when given the slightest of reminders. It was a professional display. The time was quick for the morning with only Eduardo clocking a faster overall figure. 12. Tanzimat hasn’t been asked to do much in her two trials but what she has done, she’s done it very easily. Looks a natural. She is a full brother to Beyliks. The barrier does not look kind, however. Godolphin-trained 7. Camino Real is in a similar boat. It was hard to tell what was under the hood in her quiet trials. 5. Total Babe has race experience on her side. If she wins this, how good is Enthaar?!

How to play it: Jumbo Goal WIN ($5 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: EVENS


Jumbo Goal trialling behind Captivant

Race 2 - 1:25PM TAB HIGHWAY HANDICAP (1800 METRES)

2. Prince Of Arragon has to cope with the drop back from 2400m to 1800m but that’s the only knock on the four-year-old. Maybe he didn’t stay, but he also pulled up slow to recover. The blinkers go back on here. He was a winner at Warwick Farm in a BM72 the start prior to that when a heavily backed $3.70 second favourite, beating Frenzied, Magic Over The Bay and Pressure. That was with Tim Clark in the saddle, who rides here. The son of More Than Ready has had consistent provincial form all preparation. This will be his ninth run of the campaign but three weeks between runs gives Steve O’Halloran the chance to freshen up the gelding, put some speed back into his legs. Prince Of Arragon looks beautifully placed in a Class 3 against a field of horses with country or Highway form.

Dangers: 9. Eva’s Deel is a lightly-raced mare with three wins form eight starts and her recent form suggests another victory is imminent. Like how she found the line last start behind an all-the-way winner. Fourth up out to 1800m looks perfect for the daughter of Dundeel. 11. Cosmic Haze comes through that same race. 5. Rent A Rock and 13. Leardo filled the placings behind Amy’s Shadow last start over the mile. They were no match for the winner late but raced like they are looking for this trip.

How to play it: Prince Of Arragon WIN ($6 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT


Prince Of Arragon winning at Warwick Farm two back

Race 3 - 2:00PM AMD BRIAN CROWLEY STAKES (1200 METRES)

1. Destination attacked the line behind Wild Ruler in the Heritage Stakes the last time we saw him at the races. That was off a month freshen which is the preparation James Cummings has replicated going into this. The son of Exceed And Excel clocked a slick 32.87s last 600m there with a 10.75/10.89 close for this two final 200m splits. That’s humming. Wild Ruler has won again since and is hard in the market for the G1 Coolmore. Wouldn’t think this colt would be out of place in a race like that either off his recent form. Has to stretch his brilliance to 1200m, running beyond 1100m for the first time, but all indications are that it won’t be a problem. The map lends itself to a very cosy run for Destination too, stalking the pace before picking the leaders off with his devastating turn of foot.

Dangers: 5. Tommy Gold profiles as the forgotten runner. Has always shown glimpses of ability throughout his four-start career and returned last preparation with a dominant first up win that has produced seven subsequent winners. Has trialled up sweetly this time back to indicate at least a repeat performance. 2. On The Lead’s form ties into Destination through Wild Ruler, having closed nicely in the Roman Consul last start. Certainly a winning hope, as is 3. The Bopper but can’t come into him here as the early favourite in his biggest test to date. Yes, he still smashed the clock when going down to a fit older horse in Black Magnum last start but Written Beauty went just as fast two races later.

How to play it: Destination WIN ($3 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT

Race 4 - 2:35PM ROBRICK LODGE FILANTE HANDICAP (1400 METRES)

3. Archedemus stepped out for Team Hawkes for the first time at Caulfield a fortnight ago and liked what we saw from the seven-year-old having sat outside of a very strong speed. The race was set up for the closers so Windstorm and Phaistos were entitled to run him down late. The son of Lope De Vega had trialled nicely prior to his return. 4. Cuba is the other speed horse here but Archedemus crossed him comfortably last start. With any kind of control in this, Archedemus looks the main threat to up-and-comer 8. Criaderas who’ll be out the back. Last preparation, Archedemus, when trained by Joe Pride, was brave in the Hawkesbury Gold Cup before wet tracks, coupled with the inability to find the front in two races thereafter, derailed his campaign.

Dangers: Lightly-raced Criaderas is certainly the one Koby Jennings will be looking over his shoulder for. The four-year-old is a winner of four of his five starts. Last time out he got home over the top of Zakat with a luckless Bottega in third (giving him 7kg). He is untapped but does he warrant being odds on in a field with even more depth than last time? And is he looking for the mile now? Cuba is a hope but the run of Archedemus was far superior last start. They are too close in the market. 1. Ranier was only beaten 1.4L when third in the Theo Marks behind Wild Planet and Funstar. That looks a deep race now. Why the six weeks between runs since though? Lumps 62kg too.

How to play it: Archedemus EACH WAY ($7 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT


Criaderas winning last start

Race 5 - 3:15PM CLUBSNSW CITY TATTERSALLS CLUB CUP (2400 METRES)

Having a throw at the stumps with 9. Knights Order given he is the only leader in a staying race that could be won by any of the nine runners. The import faded late first up in the Port Macquarie Cup but raced keenly in the early stages having parked on the outside of stablemate Entente who ran his rivals into the ground. That was after two years on the sidelines. Formerly trained in Great Britain the son of So You Think has won four from 10 and was only beaten three lengths by Danceteria at Newmarket as a three-year-old. Two of his wins have come in Rating 90 and Rating 85 level races. Off just a benchmark of 80 in Australia he sneaks into races like this on the minimum. It’s a leap of faith but you’re braver than me if you’re willing to back 4.Djukon or 3. Girl Tuesday at short odds.

Dangers: On Girl Tuesday, we can be very forgiving of her last start failure in the G1 Metrop where she sat outside of the leader. That’s not her go. Glen Boss’s hand was forced from the wide draw. Her runs prior to that were encouraging, or maybe ‘teasing’ is a more apt word for her. Like how she found the line in the Premier Cup and Kingston Town when ridden quietly, and the three weeks between runs works well for her. Djukon was no match for Attorney last start where he had every possible chance. 1. Grey Lion finished third and has since won himself. 2. Rondinella has had a busy preparation but she is a very fit mare now and found the 2000m last Saturday too sharp having dropped back from the 2400m of the Metrop.

How to play it: Knights Order EACH WAY ($18 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: ODDS


Knights Order knocking up at Port Macquarie

Race 6 - 3:55PM BAR 83 BONDI STAKES (1600 METRES)

2. Prime Star took late ground off 1. Peltzer in the Stan Fox Stakes having been forced back to last from the wide draw. He maps to be giving away another head start in this but liked the way he closed. That was jumping 1200m to 1500m. Thought his run ended at about the 50m mark, which allowed 3. Acrophobic to level up again after he breezed straight past him at the 200m mark. Punters Intelligence reveals that Prime Star’s quickest 200m section in the race was his 400-200 (11.05s), showing a brilliant burst of acceleration. His last 600m was 34.32 with the next best 34.62, so 2L quicker. Three starts back the three-year-old sprinted sharply to beat Destination, who subsequently ran second to Wild Ruler. There looks to be more pressure in this which is key in making a case for Prime Star to turn the tables.

Dangers: Peltzer will have 4. Street Dancer and 9. Elizabeel for company up front but he’s the class runner here. Controlled the Stan Fox from the outset last start, having been gassed in a brutally run Golden Rose prior. Acrophobic was doing his best work across the line in the Stan Fox over 1500m. He looks best suited of the trio out to 1600m and gets the winkers on for the first time to presumably negate the flat spot he hit. Elizabeel was luckless last Saturday in the Reginald Allen after being shuffled back in the middle stages. That was her first crack at 1400m and on that, she could be better again out to the mile.

How to play it: Prime Star WIN ($3.80 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT

Race 7 - 4:35PM DAILY PRESS THE NIVISON (1200 METRES)

2. Sweet Deal has had four weeks off after a disappointing run in the Golden Pendant. The race was run to suit backmarkers but she finished closer to last than first. Maybe that first up win over 1100m with 59kg flattened her? Either way, the little break gives John Thompson the chance to start again to some extent. We've seen enough of this mare to know that her explosive best would win this and she has drawn to get the run of the race, whether that be from in front or just in behind. Will be hoping this rain stays away as she is better on top of the ground.

Dangers: 4. Jen Rules has returned better than ever. Her two runs in the Sheraco and Golden Pendant tell us that. Just needs to use her middle draw to settle closer. It’s a similar case for 3. Evalina. 5. Seasons didn’t run 1400m last start so forgive her that. The barrier looks tricky here, however. 8. Athiri has won two on the bounce and although steps up in grade on paper, the field she beat last start included the likes of Hilo and a luckless Handle The Truth. Then there’s 6. Wandabaa and 7. Blazing Miss, two underrated mares despite their exceptional strike rates.

How to play it: Sweet Deal ($6.50 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT


Athiri winning last start

Race 8 - 5:10PM SOUTHERN CROSS HANDICAP (1200 METRES)

Benchmark 88s don’t come much deeper than this! One failure and 1. Inanup goes back to being ignored by the market. In his last five wins the seven-year-old has jumped $11, $8.50, $7, $9 and $5. Now, that ‘failure’ was in the G3 Show County where he found himself in front. It’s a race that subsequently provided the Epsom quinella. Prior to that the gelding won two on the bounce, comfortably beating Prime Candidate at Rosehill before overcoming trouble to score at Randwick. Trainer Jarrod Austin has freshened him up with The Hunter in mind so expect there to be some improvement but he is a horse that always run well first up. Brock Ryan claims 2kg bringing him down to 59.5kg. This is a 91 rater in an 88 after all. From the perfect draw he can only run well.

Dangers: 4. Outrageous is another runner here that the market has overlooked. His most recent first up runs have been much better than they look on paper. Last time out he was back and wide behind Snitz, posting the second quickest last 600m of the entire meeting. The preparation prior to that first up he was wide the trip behind Signore Fox. Has trailled well and drawn beautifully. No knock on 5. Hilo . He is bursting to win now third up after two terrific runs, with the trade off having to back the favourite in a very open race. Then there’s 3. Through The Cracks , 12. Superium, 7. Edison and 8. Oxford Tycoon!

How to play it: Inanup WIN ($7.50 TAB Fixed Odds) and Outrageous WIN ($12) Odds & Evens: SPLIT


One of Inanup’s wins last preparation

Race 9 - 5:50PM SHARP EIT HANDICAP (1600 METRES)

Happy to forget that 6. Betcha Flying ever ran last start. Wipe it from the record. The four-year-old parked outside of the leader Discharged in a fast run race over the Randwick mile. She was entitled to knock up late. The daughter of Uncle Mo jumped a heavily backed $4 shot in that race. She drops back in grade here and although slides up in the weights on the back of that, like how this race sets up for her from the middle draw. Sam Clipperton should park her just worse than midfield and let her flood home late, with the map looking to favour the closers with good speed up front. There is no doubt at her running a strong mile, we know that much, and she is a very fit horse now tackling this fifth up.

Dangers: 11. Icebath has been in and around the money all preparation, without winning. She was deep-ended last start when fifth in the Silver Eagle but she held her own. Was beaten less than a length in the Kembla Grange Classic at her one previous try at the mile but the tip still has to be a slight query. Perhaps she is looking for it now. We’ll only know after Saturday. 12. Petronius was only 0.3L behind Icebath two starts ago before being rolled as an odds on favourite at Warwick Farm by 3. Fortress Command so that all ties in. 13. Invinciano is racing as well as ever but the common theme throughout her career is that she races best when she can settle in a controlling position. All five of her wins have been from either in front or outside of the leader. Does she get that set up here? Unlikely.

How to play it: Betcha Flying WIN ($8.50 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT


Betcha Flying’s forgive run last start

All the fields, form and replays for Bondi Stakes Day at Randwick on Saturday

 

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