By Brad Gray
Tips and race by race preview by Brad Gray for Randwick on Saturday.
The rail is out 6m and the form has been done for a Heavy track.
|Race 1 - 11:30AM DARLEY 2YO HANDICAP (1300 METRES)|
7. Overlord has a real sense of timing about him third up for Chris Waller and there are a few things in his favour to suggest he can turn the tables on 2. Peltzer. Drawn a middle gate, Overlord won’t have to go back to last again, he gets a 2kg swing and if breeding means anything, this son of Sebring and Red Tracer should relish a wet track. Overlord clocked the second fastest last 600m split all meeting last time out in a race that was run in quicker overall time than Snitz and Masked Crusader. It looks the best form reference any of these two-year-olds offer up and unsurprisingly, Hugh Bowman sticks. This is the race Prince Fawaz and Reloaded ran in last year before running first and third in the JJ Atkins.
Dangers: No knock on Peltzer. Beat Anders on debut at Kembla with Anders subsequently winning by the length of the straight at Wyong. The son of So You Think made all of the running last time out and found plenty. As Macroura proved last Saturday, beware the unbeaten horse. Certainly wouldn’t be surprised to see him in the finish of the Golden Rose over the spring. Don’t discount 12. Perfect Radiance because she only won at the provincials. She faced the older horses on debut and showed great late strength despite sitting outside of the leader in a solidly run race. Only has to handle the track to run well.
How to play it: How to play it: Overlord WIN ($2 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT
Peltzer and Overlord last time out
|Race 2 - 12:05PM TAB HIGHWAY CLASS 3 HANDICAP (1000 METRES)|
8. Tallis is a speed horse down in the weights and we know he handles wet tracks. At the early price, happy to be in the corner of the Colt Prosser-trained three-year-old. Admittedly, the gelding’s heavy track win was a two horse maiden at Port Macquarie so there is only so much you can read into that but his form thereafter was rock solid too. He backed up the heavy track win with a dominant Class 1 victory before being gunned down by Aquitaine and co at Rosehill in a BM64 when only beaten 2.6L. Tallis then ran fifth in a Highway Handicap when he had his chance in front but he wasn’t beaten far and perhaps had come to the end of his campaign as he was tipped straight out after that. Looked good in a recent Taree trial.
Dangers: 10. Mouse Almighty won at a big price at Wagga last start, so of course that SP profile is built into her price here but she relished the heavy track skipping through it from the front to win by two lengths. Her sudden turnaround in form can be put down to banging her out on speed. 1. Cock Match was too keen last start when beaten four lengths by 3. Tejori. He can bounce back. The worry for Tejori is her failure on a heavy track in her first campaign. If 2. Glamour Cat presents fit enough first up she has the class to give this a shake. The wide draw might be inconsequential if it’s a heavy track. 4. Keen Power is unbeaten but well found all the same.
How to play it: Tallis EACH WAY ($8.50 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: ODDS
Tallis trialling at Taree recently
|Race 3 - 12:40PM SPORTING CHANCE CANCER FOUNDATION HANDICAP (2000 METRES)|
The wetter the better for 3. Foxborough given the dominance of her last start Wagga Guineas victory. The step out to 2000m off a three week fresh looks ideal coming into this. The daughter of Dissident won last start by a widening 5.5 lengths and although she beat largely country-class gallopers, there was good strength about her last 600m. Particularly loved her acceleration from the 600-200m skipping through the ground to put a space on her rivals before throttling down. The filly had a frustrating run of outs in her first racing campaign and only broke her maiden in the Canberra Guineas Preview first up this campaign. John Sargent has her flying now though and looks well placed to win to make it three from six this campaign.
Dangers: 8. Stockman and 10. Crown Affair both come off impressive provincial wins on wet tracks. They need to take the next step but most in the field here are in the same boat. Stockman has the more upside of the two and profiles like he'll get through the ground. Happy to bet around 5. Reinvest at the price. The time out of his last start Wyong win was very slow, albeit in a sit and sprint, and second, third and fourth from that race haven’t even got near the winner since.
How to play it: Foxborough WIN ($3.90 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT
How much can you take out of the sectionals from a heavy track win?
— Racing NSW (@racing_nsw) May 22, 2020
|Race 4 - 1:15PM TAB LIVE VISION HANDICAP (2000 METRES)|
8. New Arrangement looks set to peak now for Chris Waller and only has to handle the conditions to win this. The lightly-raced four-year-old is still in his first Australian preparation but the deeper he gets into his campaign, the closer he is inching to what will be his third career win. He has been cluttered up inside horses in his last two runs, finishing third on both occasions, behind Costello and Welsh Legend, and then Yonkers and Gone By. Those form references stack up well in this race with most of his rivals here simply treading water in similar races. He is the one banging the door down to break through and doesn’t have a long list of convictions. Finds James McDonald and looks his race to lose.
Dangers: 5. High Opinion gave away an impossible start in the Wagga Cup last start and although beaten six lengths, he did well to get that close in the trying conditions. Hasn’t won since February 2018 but that’ll toughen him up for this if it turns into another slog home. 7. Rock Dove scored a stylish win at Warwick Farm last start and tackles this race off a similar freshen. Liked her trial at Hawkesbury since. 11. Loveseat was heavily backed last start over 1800m but never threatened. Won out to 2400m last preparation so might be looking for the extra trip. 10. Lord Gododdin another good roughie for Waller/Bowman
How to play it: New Arrangement WIN ($3.70 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT
New Arrangement last start
|Race 5 - 1:55PM AT SEA HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
5. Southern Lad loves Randwick (8:2-2-2), handles all tracks and doesn’t have to take much improvement off what he did first up in the Wagga Two Plate, when a fast-finishing second behind Irish Songs, to win this. James McDonald does the steering and although drawn widest, that’s unlikely to be a disadvantage if the forecasted rain arrives. The five-year-old gelding made a good leap forward last campaign winning a BM94 beating Special Reward before starting favourite in the Listed Carrington Stakes. On paper, the form guide suggests that the son Ocean Park drops off a touch second up when comparing it to his first up stats but confident that has simply been circumstantial. This is a very suitable assignment and he is a deserved favourite.
Dangers: 3. Coruscate is up and running, handles the wet and has been in the money in his latest three runs. 1. Passage Of Time is the class runner but a wet track over 1100m with 60kg first up appears a big task but the fact Joe Pride hasn't scratched suggests he is forward enough to run well. Want to see 2. Invictus Salute first up but his best (second to Winx at WFA!) is certainly good enough.
How to play it: Southern Lad WIN ($2 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT
Southern Lad in the Wagga Town Plate first up
|Race 6 - 2:30PM CALYX @ COOLMORE AUSTRALIA HANDICAP (1500 METRES)|
This race looks tailor made for 10. Miss Einstein. She tackles it third up so she’s at her top and we know from her Heavy 10 win at Warwick Farm last preparation that she swims. Last start the lightly-raced four-year-old was badly chopped out of a run at the 75m mark. Perhaps she wins with clear running. She’s certainly in the finish anyways. Liked her return first up too where her 34.03s was the fastest last 600m in the race (Punters Intelligence). She has clearly come back in great order and it was third up last campaign that she found winning form having matched motors with Subpoenaed in two runs prior. She then won again at short odds on the Kensington track. Suspect this Dundeel mare will be running around in black type races over the winter.
Dangers: The stablemate 2. Bold And Wild has won three on the bounce which included a narrow Warwick Farm victory first up. It was a sit and sprint so there was more merit than the margin suggests. Three weeks between runs and straight out to 1500m a little knock on a likely testing track. Have got plenty of time of 8. Opacity and the wet track will make this 1500m a test which suits but waiting for him to get out towards 2000m again.
How to play it: Miss Einstein WIN ($3 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: EVENS
"It was third up she did this to her rivals last preparation on a Heavy 10."
— Racing NSW (@racing_nsw) May 21, 2020
|Race 7 - 3:10PM EXCEEDANCE @ VINERY HANDICAP (1000 METRES)|
13. Switched can only run well on the strength of her form lines last preparation. She was pipped by Aquitaine twice last campaign which now reads well taking a line through Fituese. One of those seconds was at Randwick over 1200m while on the two other occasions she has raced at the track she finished third to Funstar and got within half a length of Catwalk in heavy conditions. Hawkesbury-based trainer Brad Widdup has twice sent the filly to the trials on her home track and she has looked good working through the line under minimal pressure, one of those being behind 2. Enfleurage, one of her key rivals here. There are a number of control freaks in this race that like to wheel along in front uncontested, but Switched is equally comfortable nipping in behind before pouncing late.
Dangers: 11. Longbottom was no match for Blazing Miss last start but she’s very honest, handles the wet, is hard fit and finds James McDonald. It doesn’t happen too often but 1. All Stand was simply out sped when back to 900m last start. Has been bouncing between stables recently but trainer Mark Stewart has won four from six with the six-year-old. Enfleurage is a speedy filly and went close in Group Three company the last time we saw her. 4. He’s Super Lucky is a complete unknown on anything worse than a Good track but he possesses a killer finish. Barrier 1 isn’t ideal given his pattern though.
How to play it: Switched WIN ($3.60 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: ODDS
Switched trialling alongside Enfleurage – May 11
|Race 8 - 3:50PM OCTAGONAL HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
3. Archedemus responded to a change of stable first up in the Hawkesbury Gold Cup, showing a glimpse of his best form which saw him progress from winning his maiden to beating Tom Melbourne in a Group Three all in the space of six months. He won seven from eight starts in that purple patch before losing his way. Now with Joe Pride, the money was relentless for the six-year-old upon his return so he’d obviously pleased Pride in his work. He’s a winner of two from three second up and loves wet tracks. He comfortably beat one of the best wet trackers around in Star Of The Seas on a Soft 7 one day at Rosehill. The way he races suits wet tracks as he levels out when asked to quicken, building his revs as opposed to accelerating.
Dangers: 4. Dealmaker’s best trip is the mile but a testing 1400m has him in the mix once again. He is edging closer to that elusive third win of his career and ran right up to his best when giving Grand Piano a scare last start. 9. Oakfield Missile has won two of three this preparation and looks well treated down on the minimum. Thought 8. Got Unders and 12. Man Of Peace were also both capable of running better than their odds suggest. Gambling that 2. Miss Fabulass will need this being five weeks between runs and with the Stradbroke grand final. 1. Redouble floats in and out of form but looks to be going as well as ever.
How to play it: Archedemus WIN ($3.50 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT
Archedemus first up for Joe Pride
|Race 9 - 4:30PM SKY RACING ACTIVE HANDICAP (1200 METRES)|
3. So Taken is racing as well as ever and it took an exceptional performance from Rocha Clock last start to keep her out of the winners’ stall. Prior to that she raced without luck in better races than this – a BM88 behind Snitz and the Group Three Birthday Card. Would be quite bullish about her chances had she draw wider. The concern is barrier 2 for a mare that drifts back and I can’t imagine a scenario where the fence is the place to be come the last race on a wet track at Randwick. Sometimes the jockeys fan on the turn and it’s the rider that takes the short cut on the rail before angling out that is rewarded. The four-year-old in Chris Waller’s stable handles the wet better than most and is well placed again to end her run of outs.
Dangers: 2. Lisdoonvarna is adept in wet ground and has shown enough in her two runs back to suggest she is just about ready. She’s another one that looks awkwardly drawn so low so Glen Boss will have a few earlier decisions to make. Maybe he gives her a dig to be handy. The booking of James McDonald for last start winner 12. Jay Jay D’ar is intriguing given Waller’s strong hand. She’s capable of taking another step here having won a midweeker last start. 9. St Covet’s Spirit is easy to like off her Dawn Passage and Rubisaki form but is a month between runs, drops back to 1200m and strikes a wet track. 13. Voila loves the wet and has plenty of fresh form. It’s just a question of how forward she’ll be.
How to play it: So Taken WIN ($7 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT
So Taken behind Rocha Clock last start