By Brad Gray
Tips and race by race preview by Brad Gray for Randwick on Saturday.
The rail is out 9m from the 1600m to the winning post and 7m the remainder. The form has been done for a heavy track.
|Race 1 - 11:45AM INDUSTRY CELEBRATION RACE DAY HANDICAP (1300 METRES)|
4. Badoosh is somewhat of an enigma but his best is certainly good enough to win this. The Matthew Dunn-trained gelding has never raced on a soft track let alone a heavy won but love how he let down in the wet in the latest of his trials, behind Heart Of The Oak and subsequent winner and stablemate Quatum. He is by Sebring out of a US-bred mare that won her maiden on a Heavy 10. First up last preparation he was sent around odds on and beat Queensland star Vanna Girl before getting a long way back in a Highway Handicap and never looking likely. Fourth up he then ran Vanna Girl to 0.3L at the Sunshine Coast. Isn’t the fastest beginner so barrier 1 should give Jason Collett the chance to recover quickly and hold a spot. The stable is flying too.
Dangers: 9. Fling should only be carrying 49.5kg given she is a 55 rater in a BM72 so the claim of Brock Ryan really only gets her down to what should be her ‘true weight.’ Regardless, the All Too Hard mare has been ultra-impressive in her two outings since joining Matt Dale’s stable. She showed plenty of ability as a two-year-old in Victoria for Hayes and Dabernig highlighted by a third in the G2 VRC Sires. 3. Syncline over did it in front at Hawkesbury last start and fell into a hole late. He had already pinched a winning break, however, and scrambled home. Got away with it in a Class 1 provincial race but will need to curb his manners to win in town. Has the talent though. 7. Bazooka gets the blinkers on after running second to Giovanna Run last start.
How to play it: Badoosh WIN ($5.50 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT
"Fresh up last preparation he beat Vanna Girl."
— Racing NSW (@racing_nsw) July 31, 2020
|Race 2 - 12:20PM TAB HIGHWAY CLASS 3 HANDICAP (1200 METRES)|
5. Halcyon House has won two on the bounce heading into his first crack at a Highway Handicap. Has really savaged the line in both of those wins. The Luke Morgan-trained gelding is yet to be tried at 1200m but has won out to 1100m and considering how powerful he has been late in his races, should get the journey. The last defeat he suffered was at the hands of Skara Brae when he was sent around a $2.10 favourite at Scone. Since then he got home by half a length at Muswellbrook before putting his rivals away at Moree despite dropping back to 950m from 1000m. It can be dangerous trusting short course form but there’s been substance to what he has been doing on the clock and with big weights.
Dangers: 16. Niccirose is flying this preparation but racing without much luck. Was scratched from an 1100m Highway a fortnight ago presumably with this one in mind. It does set up better over 1200m with three weeks between runs. Was very brave behind Royal Banquet two back. 15. Mr Magical fell just short in trying to reel Tallis in last start in a Highway, with the winner aided by the Kensington track bias. That was four weeks between runs, and maybe just topped on his run late. The 1200m looks to suit. Jumps a grade here though, into a Class 3. 1. Beacon has a stack of weight but handles the wet and is ticking over well for his new trainer Peter Sinclair.
How to play it: Halcyon House WIN ($7 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT
Halcyon House winning at Moree last start
|Race 3 - 12:55PM ATC THANK YOU JOCKEYS HANDICAP (1300 METRES)|
All of a sudden 7. Kordia finds himself in a BM94 having won a 78 impressively first up before giving away too big of a start in a BM88 last start. Despite the rapid jumps in grade the Godolphin-trained three-year-old looks very well placed with 52kg on his back. At Rosehill three weeks ago the son of Epaulette drifted back to last from the wide draw in a field of 11 before rattling home in 34.91s for his last 600m (Punters Intelligence), being one of only five horses across the entire meeting to break the 35s mark home. There was a lot to like about his late strength and in a much smaller field here, out to 1300m and with speed up front from 2. Man Of Peace and 6. You Make Me Smile, he won’t have any excuses.
Dangers: Love the way 4. Cinquedea attacked the line first up last preparation behind Trumbull at Kembla Grange clocking 33.86s for his last 600m. The leader got complete control and in third was Poetic Charmer. Has seen one heavy track in the past and was gunned down by Phaistos. The four-year-old’s trials suggest he has returned as well as ever. 1. Noble Boy was posted deep throughout last Saturday in Listed company. Man Of Peace was aided by the rails bias last start but he’s so tough and versatile, reluctant to hold the drop back to 1300m against him.
How to play it: Kordia WIN ($1.80 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT
Kordia last start running on from last
|Race 4 - 1:30PM FOUR TIME CHAMPION SIRE SNITZEL SPRINT (1000 METRES)|
10. Emanate trialled like a rocket at Hawkesbury suggesting she has come on from her first racing preparation in which she won a Wyong maiden at start number two before being nabbed by Dirty Work and L’cosmo in a blanket finish on the Kensington track. She was forced to sit outside of the leader there having drawn wide. That was a big leap for her to make yet she transitioned easily. If she is half as good as her pedigree promises (by Lonhro out of Guelph!) she’s got a bright future. It makes her a full brother to Encryption, who ran fourth behind Nature Strip in heavy ground. Drawn barrier 1 and with the gate speed she possesses, doubt anything with have the early toe to cross her. Suspect we’ve just scraped the surface as far as seeing what she’s really made of.
Dangers: 5. Escaped resumed a gelding this preparation and it might be the making of him. Put the writing on the wall with two impressive trials before winning at Hawkesbury over 1000m on a heavy track. Looked sure to be run down half way down the straight but kept finding to win going away on the line. Would have liked the runner up Front Money to win at Warwick Farm on Wednesday to frank the form but the quinella there came down the outside so be a touch forgiving. Staying at 1000m perhaps a little knock. 4. Karaja held her own in Listed company last preparation.
How to play it: Emanate WIN ($3.10 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: ODDS
Emanate trialling at Hawkesbury recently
|Race 5 - 2:10PM HAPPY CLAPPER SPECIAL ACHIEVEMENT HANDICAP (1600 METRES)|
What stands out for Joe Pride’s lightly-raced gelding 8. Derbari straight off the bat is the 50.5kg. This is not a deep race. Originally wanted to take on the form through that Kensington race, where 1. Zourhea nabbed him on the line given the pedestrian last 600m but the sections from the first half of the race highlight that the leader went way too hard. Overplaying, and in the end offsetting, the leader/rail bias of the meeting. Derbari was camped outside of that speed and did well to still show a little kick. The gap back to third was comfortable enough and there’s a 4kg swing at the weights in Derbari’s favour. He’ll have to absorb the pressure of 4. Mercurial Lad but hard to imagine it being as quick a lead speed as what he faced last start.
Dangers: 2. Word For Word is fronting up for the ninth time this preparation which all began back on April 13. She has won just two from 18, one of those coming three back nabbing Bound To Win on the line. James McDonald breached the whip rule on that occasion in his urgings. She doesn’t have any upside but this is as winnable a race she she’ll ever find and she brings the strongest form lines, so she doesn’t have to improve. Zourhea, up to 58kg for his, is a grinding type of mare so may have been flattered last start but she has returned well. She’ll hope the leaders run along again. There aren’t too many other ways to turn in this. 6. Adana is capable of popping up.
How to play it: Derbari WIN ($2.40 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: EVENS
Derbari and Zourhea last start
|Race 6 - 2:50PM NSWROA TROPHY HANDICAP (1800 METRES)|
2. Kiss The Bride is presented with the perfect set up here for him to chalk up win number five in his career. He has drawn wide but James McDonald could find himself outside of the likely leader 7. Monsieur Sisu. Last start the Bjorn Baker-trainer gelding popped in just behind the speed and was given his chance to run down Le Lude but the 7kg difference in the weights coupled with Le Lude’s fence-in-run advantaged at that Kensington meeting proved a bridge too far. There should be any excuses now fourth up. Two runs ago the son of Savabeel cruised into the race won by Agassi before topping on his run late. He won third, fourth and sixth up last preparation so now fully fit, expecting him to keep producing.
Dangers: When 5. Orcien hooked out to set out after the leaders in that same race as Kiss The Bride he looked likely to go straight past them but his run came to an end, as Punters Intelligence sectionals back up. The 1800m is probably his outer limits and couple that with the track bias. Was only beaten 0.8L by Kiss The Bride though. Orcien has easily accounted for 3. Night Of Power in their past two meetings, albeit over 1500m journeys. 1. Decroux was given a peach of a ride from Nash Rawiller to get the Jason Deamer-trained stayer home at Canterbury last start. For Deamer, Decroux has had four starts at 1800m and beyond for three wins. Not convinced he is a genuine wet tracker but runs well here all the same.
How to play it: Kiss The Bride WIN ($2 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT
Kiss The Bride and Orcien last start
|Race 7 - 3:30PM ATC THANK YOU STABLE STAFF HANDICAP (1100 METRES)|
2. Inanup is now seven from 22 yet this unassuming six-year-old’s greatest achievement is to consistently slip under the radar. All the better for his followers. The son of Bon Hoffa returns that little bit better each campaign and it’s been no different this time back having thundered home behind Adelong first up from the rear having drawn wide before Nash Rawiller detoured back to the inside second up to score a comfortable victory with subsequent winner Poetic Charmer back in third and Kordia in fourth. Inanup jumped five ratings points after that but the claim of Brock Ryan, who has won on the Jarrod Austin-trained gelding before, takes 3kg off. Like the three weeks between runs as he races so well fresh, handles the wet and back 100m doesn’t look a problem.
Dangers: 4. Black Magnum should have won last start. No doubt. Playing Devil’s advocate, however, it was a bunched finish with the winner Spaceboy posting a very weak last 200m. Runner up Prairie Fire has run only fairly since then too. Black Magnum beat Inanup home in their only prior meeting (Feb 22, 2020) but thought the run of Inanup was superior given where they landed in the run. 7. Sangria is a very sharp galloper as evidenced by her recent Randwick trial win. Faces some seasoned older sprinters here so needs to harness that speed. 6. Grimoire has trialled up nicely and could run on into the money at odds.
How to play it: Inanup WIN ($3.80 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: EVENS
Inanup winning last start
|Race 8 - 4:10PM ATC THANK YOU TRAINERS HANDICAP (1800 METRES)|
Want to give 4. Fulmina the chance to bounce back. She was disappointing last start given she SP’d $2.20 with the stable and jockey blaming being ridden too close. Korcho won that race and has since gone on with it while New Arrangement and My Swashbuckler are seasoned staying types. Not convinced that was the case. Perhaps the 2000m against the boys on a heavy track just found her out. She didn’t let down like we saw two back when unleashing a devastating turn of foot at Rosehill, clocking the fastest last 200m of the entire meeting. Fulmina drops back to 1800m and back to her own sex, the same set up which saw her win so impressively the start prior. There’s enough there to give her another opportunity. Tom Sherry knows her well having already ridden her four times (for two wins) and claims down to 54kg.
Dangers: 3. Itz Lily can trot out almost every excuse in the book as to why she hasn’t won this preparation, the latest of those being a savage track bias which ultimately saw her posted deep throughout. Barrier 1, blinkers on and 54kg. Don’t be surprised if she runs very well. 2. Guise mixes her form so is impossible to back with any confidence but she warrants respect at her best. Can see 9. Etheridge improving sharply second up, as she has a habit of doing. Ran right through the line first up over 1400m. She’s the knockout. 10. Montefilia was outstanding first up against the bias but isn’t well placed here with 54kg (48kg true weight). 1. Monegal and 7. Le Lude both rate mentions.
How to play it: Fulmina WIN ($3.10 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT
A reminder of what Fulmina is capable of
|Race 9 - 4:50PM ATC THANK YOU OWNERS HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
7. Miss Redoble was found to have suffered cardiac arrhythmia last start when she was gone at the 400m and dropped out to finish last. Forget that, she’ll bounce back and we’re getting inflated odds because of that forgivable failure. She did SP $5.50 in that event. The mare’s form prior to that was rock solid behind the likes of Bound To Win, Threood and Word For Word. They were all in fillies and mares races but this isn’t any harder. Has been four weeks between runs but was kept up to the mark with an effortless trial romp at Hawkesbury, jumping in front before winning by the length of the straight. Second and third there are winless in a combined 23 starts but the daughter of Drumbeats did it oh so easily. Handles the wet no problem either. Overs.
Dangers: 2. Julian Rock looks ready to go fresh up on the back of a stylish Hawkesbury trial win. Was one of the favourites for the Country Championships Final in April but faded after finding himself in front. Has enough wet form to be confident he’ll handle it and his best is certainly good enough to win this. 5. Steel Diamond is holding her career best form and warrants respect. 9. Charretera is a perpetual tease with 12 minor placings from 19 starts, but only two wins. Was beaten by the barrier last start but looked to peak on his run 100m from home. Going well enough to win but buyer beware. 1. Stella Sea Sun comes out of that same race and was disadvantaged racing on the inside. Black Wand was lapped on Wednesday which throws a query over 6. Off Shaw’s last start win.
How to play it: Miss Redoble EACH WAY ($10 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT
Miss Redoble trialling since last start
All the fields, form and replays for Randwick on Saturday