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Gosford Winners - Tips For Thursday 17th January

By Brad Gray

Tips and race by race preview by Brad Gray for Thursday’s meeting at Gosford.

The rail is in the True with the track rated in the Good 4 range.


4. Zavance is a filly that should come into her own out to the mile. The Peter and Paul Snowden-trained three-year-old, a half-sister to the stable’s Group winning mare Nancy, is still in her first preparation. Last start she reeled in her rivals at Wyong to win over 1350m and while the start prior to that she was no match for 1. Oakfield Captain that was over 1300m. She’ll get her chance to turn the tables over more ground here. She has drawn widest in the small field but there looks to be plenty of speed engaged so Kerrin McEvoy will be afforded the opportunity to take hold and rush home over the top.

Dangers: 2. Judge Judi has only had the one outing for Kim Waugh, formerly trained by Bjorn Baker, and like the fight she showed at Kembla to go down narrowly to Myprayer. The mare is untried past 1400m. That’s the query, especially just second up. Speaking of queries at the mile, Oakfield Captain hasn’t made much of an impression in his two runs over the trip, one of which was last start. 5. Uber Lux rates a mention having won over the Gosford 1600m before. She’ll be at her top now third up but needs to find a few lengths on her last start fifth at Kembla Grange.

How to play it: Zavance WIN ($2.90 TAB Fixed Odds)

Zavance winning at Wyong last time out


Couple of key scratchings here (Press Box and Intrepidus) leaves us with Kris Lees-trained gelding 3. Lifetime Quest. The Exceed and Excel three-year-old was no match for Hildalgo at Scone but tipping that will prove to be a solid form reference. Especially considering it was a maiden run in faster overall time than the BM58 on the same day. The 1200m looks to suit now second up and with Kerrin McEvoy steering, he'll get his chance.

Dangers: 8. Foxpack was heavily backed on debut on Randwick’s Kensington track but only plugged away to hold fourth having parked outside of the leader. This is easier and she’ll be better for the experience. Drawn 1, she'll likely spear out to lead. 5. Schnapps wasn't far away in a midweeker last start. He is threatening to break through but was rolled at Hawkesbury at $1.60 first up.

How to play it: Lifetime Quest WIN ($6 TAB Fixed Odds)

Press Box first up at Canterbury last campaign


9. Monterey Lad strikes the most winnable race in his career at Gosford. The Benfica gelding trained by John Thompson will relish the mile. Everything he has done to date has suggested he has wanted this trip. His two runs back this campaign will have him primed for 1600m third up. Fresh he worked home nicely at Nowra over 1100m before savaging the line late at Canberra over 1300m. The tempo of this race should allow him to settle just off midfield before Robbie Dolan, an apprentice in hot form, lets him rip down the middle of the track. He’s the horse to beat in a tricky race.

Dangers: 8. I’m Kate had no luck at all at Gosford last time out. Just as she was starting to make her run up the fence after settling in behind the leaders, the gate was closed and she lost all of her momentum. The daughter of Savabeel tried to pick herself up again but it was all in vain. Her debut run had merit too as although she was beaten out of sight by Cossetot and Musume, both of those horses won their subsequent start with Cossetot scoring in town. 6. Chief Command just needs to find the front to be winning a race shortly. That could be here. He wasn’t suited last start in the same race as I’m Kate, tucking in behind the speed. He is too one paced.

How to play it: Monterey Lad WIN ($4.20 TAB Fixed Odds)

Monterey Lad hitting the line at Canberra last start


4. Laburnum was backed as if unbeatable first up in town, jumping $1.75 but never looked likely, running fourth. She looked to want further so the query here is only getting an extra 100m and the likelihood of settling last from the wide draw. In her favour however, is the drop back to provincial company and a number of key scratchings. Two of them were speed horses and although you'd think that would harm her chances, it should allow Brenton Avdulla to roll into the race when he wants as opposed to being niggled along to stay in touch. Should win this now.

Dangers: 1. Al Mah Haha has found a new home with Tash Burleigh and trialled very strongly ahead of his return. The former Chris Waller-trained four-year-old has already proved himself a genuine city class horse with a dominant win at Canterbury over 1100m to kick off his campaign last preparation. He went missing a touch thereafter but if he can rediscover that form, he'll go very close in this.

How to play it: Laburnum WIN ($2 TAB Fixed Odds)

Hildalgo slipping clear of his rivals at Scone


2. Tactical Advantage has been up since July but his runs have been spaced and he is showing no signs of his form tapering off. Don’t let the sixth at Doomben last start make you think otherwise as he was beaten by the gate. The five-year-old has won three of his seven starts for Kris Lees with big weights, a wet track and the aforementioned wide draw, the excuses for his defeats. None of those are applicable here. Brenton Avdulla, who has a good association with the horse, will park him in behind the speed from the middle draw. He is a horse that travels so sweetly when on song so here’s hoping Avdulla is swinging off him turning for home.

Dangers: 3. Easy Eddie has never raced in better form. The Joe Pride-trained gelding has won two on the bounce and deserves his shot at Listed level. The same can be said for apprentice Robbie Dolan who has been rewarded for his efforts on this horse, keeping the ride. Tactical Advantage gave Easy Eddie windburn mid last year on the one occasions they met. 6. Demerara finished hard to run second at Doomben last start behind Manicure, while much can be same for stablemate 5. Isaurian, but he ran third in the same race as Tactical Advantage.

How to play it: Tactical Advantage WIN ($3.60 TAB Fixed Odds)

Tactical Advantage vs Easy Eddie back in July


2. Singing won this race last year. Not only did he won it, he trounced his rivals gapping Red Excitement in a distant second. The difference this time around is that he is not deep into a preparation, tackling it fifth up. Instead, he is first up off a 38 week spell. Add to that the 59kg impost as opposed to the 55.5kg he carried last year. There is no denying he is up against it but the temptation lies in the price. He was $2.90 favourite for the race last year, but this year has opened double figure odds. The nine-year-old has looked right on his game in two trials. The late money trail will likely tell the story. Imagine he rolls across to offset the wide draw.

Dangers: Thought 9. Roman Son was entitled to hit the line harder than what he did last time out when finally clear in the Summer Cup at Randwick. He keeps flopping out of the barriers at the start too. Can poke a few holes in him as the early race favourite. 4. Satono Rasen was ridden aggressively to lead in the same race at Roman Son and the change in tactics sparked the seven-year-old back into action. He won’t get that same run here though with 1. Fabrizio running along and 5. Prioritise holding the fence from barrier 1. 6. Sir Plush has to be a risk out to 2100m.

How to play it: Singing WIN ($12 TAB Fixed Odds)

Singing winning the Gosford Gold Cup last year


Five of the nine runners here come out of the same race won by It’s So Obvious . Given she was first up off a 34 week break, they’re up against it beating her now she has had that run. The six-year-old mare worked hard mid-race to sit outside of the leader too. Punters Intelligence reveals she ran 10.82s between the 800-600m. That’s three lengths quicker than the second placed Bombarding (scratched from this race). Drawn 2, Robbie Dolan won’t have to spend as much petrol to find a spot as he did first up. All of her wins have been over the sprint trips too. She’s going to take plenty of beating on her home patch.

Dangers: It’s been rocks or diamonds for 2. Skyray this campaign. It started off on the right foot at Hawkesbury and he showed another glimpse of his best at Warwick Farm two runs back, however not much has gone right in the other three runs. The latest of those was on the Kensington track and the three-year-old pulled up lame. Forgive that effort. He is better than a Class 4 galloper, there is no doubting that. 6. Dunatun was too bad to be true at Rosehill last start after attracting betting support. His second to Baller the start prior is certainly good enough to give this a shake.

How to play it: It’s So Obvious WIN ($3.30 TAB Fixed Odds)

It’s So Obvious saluting first up after a lay off

All the fields, form and replays for Thursday’s Gosford meeting

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