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Front Runner Newsletter (Stay on Track Selections)

STAY ON TRACK - SELECTIONS

The $600,000 G1 Coolmore Classic headlines Rosehill Garden's eight race card with I Am Serious the early favourite ahead of Melbourne visitor Jamaican Rain.

The rail is in the True and as for the track, all eyes will be on the skies with rain forecast. On Friday, we get another look at a strong crop of fillies in the G3 Kembla Grange Classic.

This week’s selections: BG

Friday 15 March – KEMBLA

RESTRAINED (RACE 3) This galloper won two on the bounce for James Cummings and Godolphin before being tipped out. It’s the profile of a horse that it generally pays to follow when trained by the blue army. The son of Lonhro will keep improving. His winning margins were only narrow but he makes his own luck and shows determination when the race is there to be won or lost. Has trialled twice and although they weren’t anything flash, he wasn’t asked to extend. If we get a wet track, my confidence levels only increase as his trial, albeit different to race day pressure, on a heavy deck at Warwick Farm last campaign was the best he has produced. $4.20 TAB Fixed Odds.

POHUTUKAWA (RACE 7) Concede that the early price is no spoil but this horse is airborne. She just hasn’t got the chance to show it yet! Her first up run in the Light Fingers has been well documented with her last 600m was second to only Winx across the meeting. Last start she was looking for runs closer to the fence in the Surround Stakes but they never came. She is untried out to the mile but we do know she liked wet ground. In fact, she loves it. All three of her career wins have been on soft and heavy tracks. Should settle midfield with the blinkers going on. $2.25 TAB Fixed Odds.

Saturday 16 March – ROSEHILL

YOU MAKE ME SMILE (RACE 1) The market looks to be really underestimating the chances of this horse. The four-year-old has never raced better. He has finally worked out how to harness his speed. That saw him win three on the bounce before Jason Coyle tested him in group company last start. The horse started favourite and although he ran fourth, he certainly wasn’t out of his depth. He just got a touch keen early. Convinced that was due to him drawing 1 and having to be driven out to hold the fence. No such dramas here drawn out. Best of all, he is a swimmer. $7 TAB Fixed Odds.

The Coolmore Classic awaits of I Am Serious 

VERRY ELLEEGANT (RACE 5) This is a top class filly. She still has the tendency to overrace, which was evident at her first start fro Chris Waller (ex Weir) but she still had the class to burst through and run Amphitrite to a length and go straight past Fundamentalist, who we know has since run two Group One seconds in the Surround and Randwick Guineas. Verry Elleegant was headed for the Australian Guineas but had to change course after an elevated temp on race eve. She is a month between runs here but that’ll ensure she is fresh enough to dash home over 1500m. Ticks the wet track box. Suspect she’ll simply prove too classy. $3.70 TAB Fixed Odds.

I AM SERIOUS (RACE 7) Can’t remember the last time I have been this confident in a mares Group One race! This five-year-old has had the perfect lead in. Her first up run was a beauty. She didn’t win but she always improves lengths on what she does first up, just have a look at her second up record (4:2-1-1). Last preparation she ran second to Flow fresh before giving Avilius a fright. The wet track won’t stop her, in fact, it’ll just ensure they don’t outsprint her. Have been waiting for I Am Serious to get to this race ever since she trialled so well back in late January and early February. Time to cash in. $5 TAB Fixed Odds.

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