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Front Runner Newsletter (Stay on Track Selections)

STAY ON TRACK - SELECTIONS

Results since 1 October 2018 (based on $5 each-way): +$44.00

Our last 10 Form line (where our tips have finished): 7531721841

Racing returns to Royal Randwick on Saturday for the running of the G2 Fugen Construction Villiers Stakes (1600m) while the support card includes the Listed Razor Sharp Handicap (1200m) and $500,000 Inglis Nursery (1000m) for the two-year-olds.

The rail is in the True with the track, as of Thursday afternoon, rated a Good 4. Keep an eye on that though as rain is forecast ahead of the weekend. The first jumps at 1:10pm local time.

This week’s selections: BG

Friday 14 December – CANTERBURY PARK (GOOD 4)

DEVACHAN (RACE 1)
Suspect we’ll see another very smart two-year-old step out in the Godolphin blue in the opener at Canterbury on Friday night. The market has found this filly too, unfortunately, and her price took a further cut when Chris Waller pulled out his pair Krameric and Accession. The Exceed And Excel filly has only had the one trial over 900m at Rosehill but she showed a brilliant turn of speed when Kerrin McEvoy asked her to chase down the leader and she picked him up. McEvoy sticks here and he’s the right man to the job to get her home from the trick draw. $2.50 TAB Fixed Odds.

CONNEMARA (RACE 4)
Want to give this mare another chance after being a shade disappointing first up. The run was fine but like trainer Bjorn Baker, I had this four-year-old pegged as the type that would charge through the grades at this time of year before tackling black type races in the early autumn. She tagged the two leaders at Canterbury, and they ran the quinella. She raced like a horse looking for a touch further so Baker has found a 1250m assignment for her second up. There is no shortage of speed drawn inside of her so the setup is awkward but if Jason Collett can slot her in, she’ll take holding out. Too classy to dismiss off her fresh run. $3.60 TAB Fixed Odds.

Saturday 15 December – ROYAL RANDWICK (GOOD 4)

Military Zone beating Danawi (Pic: Steve Hart)

MILITARY ZONE (RACE 2)
Have been wondering when this three-year-old would return having trialled so well at Canterbury back in mid-November. It’s not the most conventional preparation, with no second trial and unsighted for a month but in the Snowdens we trust. The 1100m is as short as this gelding wants to perhaps it was in order to keep him fresh. He’s a talent though, having won two from four including an impressive win over subsequent Group winner Danawi at Randwick over 1200m. He settled last and rounded up his rivals. He’ll face a similar task here but it isn’t beyond him. $6 TAB Fixed Odds.

CHARLAYNE (Race 3)
I’m aware that Seasons is in the race but she represents no value at the price ($2.10). Charlayne is a mare I’ve been keen to back a number of times recently but has been scratched on three occasions! Here she is though and although it’s a deep race, we’re getting big odds about a talented galloper capable of exploding fresh. Read nothing into her quiet trials. She bled last time we saw her race so it’s not unusual for trainers to be reluctant to put them under too much pressure. Drawn middle Kerrin McEvoy will be able to have her midfield, which is important because there doesn’t look to be a great deal of speed in the race. Worth a ticket at the $15 TAB Fixed Odds.

DOUBT DEFYING (RACE 7)
Like how this year’s Villiers Stakes sets up for the Queenslander Doubt Defying having been freshened since contesting the G1 Mackinnon Stakes over the spring. Prior to that the Steven O’Dea-trained five-year-old had won two on the bounce – the Sale Cup and first up, winning at Randwick over 1400m. That Randwick win was on a heavy track and he glided through the going. There is a dumping of rain forecast for Friday in Sydney so keep an eye on that because if it arrives, his chances enhance even further. Can see Doubt Defying box seating behind the two leaders drawn wide and enjoying the run of the race. $8.50 TAB Fixed Odds.

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