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Front Runner Newsletter (Stay on Track Selections)

STAY ON TRACK - SELECTIONS

Results since 1 January 2018 (based on $5 each-way): -$200.60
Our last 10 Form line (where our tips have finished): 4343065010

The $1m Group One Golden Rose Stakes (1400m) highlights the day's racing at Rosehill Gardens on Saturday where Graff is the early TAB favourite in front of The Autumn Sun and Lean Mean Machine.

The rail is out 3m, the track should stay in the good range and the first set to jump at 12:10pm.

This week’s selections: BG

Saturday 22 September – ROSEHILL GARDENS (GOOD 4)

QUACKERJACK (Race 1) Keen on this Mark Newnham-trained colt in the opener at Rosehill. He has found the perfect race to bring up win number three in his career. He never got a crack at his rivals first up. Despite an interrupted run in the straight, before Josh Parr had to throw the handbrake on at the 150m, Quackerjack still produced the second best last 600m split in the race. The last 200m he went to the line untested but still clocked the third fastest last 200m split. There was money for him that day too, suggesting he’d run well. Brenton Advulla rides here, he maps to tuck in behind the speed from the good draw and there’s a query on early favourite Gem Song wanting further than 1300m now. Don’t think you can miss if you play him each way. $5 TAB Fixed Odds.

Trainer Mark Newnham (Pic: Bradleyphotos.com.au)

RAPTURE MISS (RACE 2) Canberra trainers have wasted no time in getting back among the Highway Handicap winners’ stall having been reinstated. Tipping that trend to continue with the Matt Dale-trained Rapture Miss. The five-year-old blew her rivals away at Moruya first up before a wide draw cost her any winning hope in a Highway second up. Her run was still full of merit though, running sixth after settling a long last. Tommy Berry sticks with her so was obviously impressed with what he felt and she should be able to settle midfield from the better draw here. The extra 100m won’t do her chances any harm either given she has run well out to 2000m in the past. $8 TAB Fixed Odds.

THINKIN’ BIG (Race 3) It’s not the most conventional preparation for this promising galloper, resuming here over 1800m having last raced back in late July, however like what we’ve seen from the colt so far. The last time we saw him her won at Rosehill over 1500m but was only getting warm across the line. Being a brother to Stampede, this is the trip he is looking for. He maps to dictate this small field and if they leave him alone in front he has shown in the past he can quicken and prove hard to run down. He has trialled twice and the latest of those was particularly strong at Wyong where he held off stablemate Cabeza de Vaca. You’ve just got to put your faith in Gai Waterhouse and Adrian Bott that they’ve got him fit enough. $6 TAB Fixed Odds.

YOUNGSTAR (Race 5) This four-year-old was outstanding first up in the Tramway Stakes. Where was the customary flat spot we are used to seeing from her? She motored to the line clocking a very slick last 600m (32.97s for those interested). That was significantly faster than Lanciato, a horse we know can run big late sectionals. She was really warming up the last 200m too. The knock here is she’ll be looking for further than 1500m second up having tackled 1400m fresh. That’s true, there is no denying that. However, tipping her class still gets her home and the three weeks between runs helps. With Arbeitsam and Cabeza De Vaca rolling along, she’ll get her chance to let rip over the top with just 53.5kg on her back. Follow her all spring, she’s very good. $3.30 TAB Fixed Odds.

CHAMPAGNE CUDDLES (Race 6) Want to give this mare another chance. She travelled into the straight like the winner in the Sheraco first up but never really looked comfortable on the wet ground. She was very heavily backed too. Perhaps her previous form on wet ground was deceptive. Tipping her to bounce back on top of the ground. She has drawn barrier 1 again (like last start) so will be able to stalk the leaders. From what we’ve seen of this familiar bunch of mares in the past – Prompt Response, Daysee Doom, Dixie Blossoms etc – is that there’s rarely much between them and the run of the race dictates the finishing spots. $4.80 TAB Fixed Odds.

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